Realized P&L
-$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$198
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
3,620
Trades
17,069
lifetime
Volume
$748.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$2.64K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
99% 90% -$2,136
Sports
1% 83% +$309
Politics
0% 67% -$70
Crypto
0% 49% -$61
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $158 96¢ $193 +$35 09-15 22:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 95¢ $191 -$3 09-15 23:33
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $185 +$5 09-18 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 88¢ $177 +$5 09-14 15:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +160 $139 94¢ $150 +$11 10-30 07:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +150 $112 97¢ $146 +$33 10-01 20:09
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +100 $38 100¢ $100 +$62 09-14 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +100 $91 99¢ $99 +$8 10-01 14:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $64 99¢ $99 +$34 10-01 20:12
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 09-21 17:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $0 09-17 06:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$1 10-02 13:49
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +100 $82 94¢ $94 +$12 09-18 22:31
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$2 09-19 11:17
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$3 09-21 16:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 09-14 13:41
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +100 $70 88¢ $88 +$18 09-16 06:15
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +99 $88 86¢ $85 -$3 09-22 09:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +80 $75 94¢ $76 +$0 09-13 23:35
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +80 $66 94¢ $75 +$9 09-13 22:07
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +70 $66 96¢ $67 +$1 09-21 07:41
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +70 $61 92¢ $64 +$3 09-14 17:25
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +60 $44 85¢ $51 +$7 09-14 20:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +50 $46 97¢ $48 +$2 09-15 20:27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +100 $35 41¢ $41 +$6 09-16 01:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +100 $28 24¢ $24 -$5 10-03 11:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $60 14¢ $20 -$39 09-21 13:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +120 $24 6¢ $7 -$17 09-16 07:01