Unfortunate-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

8,206

Trades

96,314

lifetime

Volume

$1.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-27 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 243 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$3,005

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 68 69f	91	$2.1K	1,027	1,091	-63	No	+$19	04-13 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 60 61f	176	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$20	04-11 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	115	$1.9K	1,072	850	+223	No	+$16	03-07 01:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	42	$1.6K	697	964	-266	No	+$37	03-11 15:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	40	$1.3K	718	634	+84	No	+$27	03-11 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	102	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$12	07-07 04:40
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 80 81f	71	$1.2K	675	593	+82	No	+$13	03-17 15:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 56forhigher	135	$1.2K	652	533	+119	No	+$13	04-08 19:34
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	51	$1.1K	717	457	+260	No	+$13	03-09 06:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	110	$1.1K	792	398	+394	No	+$23	03-28 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	140	$1.1K	604	602	+2	No	+$18	07-10 08:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 46forhigher	97	$1.1K	711	403	+308	No	+$14	04-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	72	$1.1K	581	581	+0	No	+$19	07-16 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	52	$1.1K	605	471	+134	No	+$13	03-11 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	48	$1.1K	584	481	+103	No	+$10	03-13 16:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	51	$1.0K	592	458	+135	No	+$11	03-21 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 62 63f	66	$1.0K	500	549	-49	No	+$9	03-25 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	88	$981	501	501	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	41	$972	495	485	+10	No	+$6	07-17 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	103	$965	492	492	+0	No	+$6	07-02 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	70	$944	689	284	+406	No	+$18	04-01 15:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 72 73f	103	$927	675	272	+404	No	+$16	03-29 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	51	$923	577	364	+213	No	+$12	08-26 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	70	$920	480	450	+30	No	+$7	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	59	$908	460	460	+0	No	+$7	05-27 13:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	37	$888	600	345	+254	No	+$20	03-22 17:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 43forbelow	40	$886	370	522	-152	No	+$4	03-16 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	62	$883	452	441	+11	No	+$7	08-02 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 4?	26	$871	442	437	+5	No	+$6	09-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	22	$857	433	433	+0	No	+$7	09-15 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:20:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd9ae1f…
10-27 12:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xeb8346…
10-27 12:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xec343c…
10-27 12:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x36d6a7…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xaf78f5…
10-27 12:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x349603…
10-27 11:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xa6eb5f…
10-27 11:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xed069d…
10-27 10:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5fccee…
10-27 10:33:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf7f81f…
10-27 10:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x543248…
10-27 10:25:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C or below on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5eb317…
10-27 10:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x6776f8…
10-27 08:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1f9e55…
10-27 08:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdced01…
10-27 08:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92b66f…
10-27 08:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x535dd0…
10-27 08:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x43db62…
10-27 07:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0e249e…
10-27 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x21f963…
10-27 07:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x967d64…
10-27 07:02:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4935f9…
10-27 06:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf48ab6…
10-27 06:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x73543f…
10-27 06:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83f32b…
10-27 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf28d10…
10-27 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x39ffcc…
10-27 05:52:59	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xf86d9d…
10-27 05:52:51	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x850384…
10-27 05:45:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d9a5a…
10-27 05:44:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb6153b…
10-27 05:42:02	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c2406…
10-27 05:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xc272a2…
10-27 05:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6cc893…
10-27 05:32:44	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xd7010a…
10-27 05:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x626ba4…
10-27 05:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4588de…
10-27 04:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x646578…
10-27 04:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb3377b…
10-27 02:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x72fc2c…
10-27 02:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe729c8…
10-27 02:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x5eb83c…
10-27 02:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe5b4ad…
10-27 02:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x226d21…
10-27 02:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x678e66…
10-27 02:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x24a715…
10-27 02:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x5dde8d…
10-27 02:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xf8bde7…
10-27 02:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3b11d9…
10-27 02:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xebcd55…
10-27 02:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x2565f6…
10-27 02:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x4a0e51…
10-27 02:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0f772b…
10-27 02:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xb2bb53…
10-27 02:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9ca9bb…
10-27 01:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x57ae8b…
10-27 01:35:41	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -4°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd2cca0…
10-27 01:30:59	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb2b2d1…
10-27 01:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x133e69…
10-27 01:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2e2819…
10-27 00:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4c798c…
10-27 00:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xe52284…
10-27 00:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0da203…
10-27 00:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	37	91¢	$33	0xfac55a…
10-27 00:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xca2a56…
10-27 00:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x1e5287…
10-26 22:38:57	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on October 26?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x4f6830…
10-26 22:38:45	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6ca4b6…
10-26 22:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96ceac…
10-26 22:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6d7750…
10-26 22:29:08	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x994c32…
10-26 21:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2e4934…
10-26 21:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9ed567…
10-26 20:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa67129…
10-26 20:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x5006a2…
10-26 17:57:41	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 26?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x12086c…
10-26 17:52:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 26?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x66bb62…
10-26 17:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd2ca3d…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf33251…
10-26 17:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x58b82c…
10-26 17:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x41ef79…
10-26 17:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b3015…
10-26 17:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcb1887…
10-26 17:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0af25a…
10-26 17:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbdc00f…
10-26 17:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaaadc7…
10-26 16:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfafa95…
10-26 16:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x03a988…
10-26 16:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x391794…
10-26 16:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x86be40…
10-26 16:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2e0224…
10-26 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8589f7…
10-26 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x283adb…
10-26 16:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03aacf…
10-26 15:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x325e1d…
10-26 15:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x96adb0…
10-26 15:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1e3c5c…
10-26 15:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x52424c…
10-26 15:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x1c1168…
10-26 15:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc308cc…