Unfortunate-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$781

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved (90d)

2,428

Trades (90d)

16,055

79,395 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$256.6K

$1.13M lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-28 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 244 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$3,021

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 68 69f	91	$2.1K	1,027	1,091	-63	No	+$19	04-13 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 60 61f	176	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$20	04-11 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	115	$1.9K	1,072	850	+223	No	+$16	03-07 01:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	42	$1.6K	697	964	-266	No	+$37	03-11 15:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	40	$1.3K	718	634	+84	No	+$27	03-11 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	102	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$12	07-07 04:40
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 80 81f	71	$1.2K	675	593	+82	No	+$13	03-17 15:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 56forhigher	135	$1.2K	652	533	+119	No	+$13	04-08 19:34
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	51	$1.1K	717	457	+260	No	+$13	03-09 06:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	110	$1.1K	792	398	+394	No	+$23	03-28 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	140	$1.1K	604	602	+2	No	+$18	07-10 08:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 46forhigher	97	$1.1K	711	403	+308	No	+$14	04-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	72	$1.1K	581	581	+0	No	+$19	07-16 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	52	$1.1K	605	471	+134	No	+$13	03-11 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	48	$1.1K	584	481	+103	No	+$10	03-13 16:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	51	$1.0K	592	458	+135	No	+$11	03-21 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 62 63f	66	$1.0K	500	549	-49	No	+$9	03-25 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	88	$981	501	501	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	41	$972	495	485	+10	No	+$6	07-17 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	103	$965	492	492	+0	No	+$6	07-02 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	70	$944	689	284	+406	No	+$18	04-01 15:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 72 73f	103	$927	675	272	+404	No	+$16	03-29 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	51	$923	577	364	+213	No	+$12	08-26 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	70	$920	480	450	+30	No	+$7	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	59	$908	460	460	+0	No	+$7	05-27 13:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	37	$888	600	345	+254	No	+$20	03-22 17:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 43forbelow	40	$886	370	522	-152	No	+$4	03-16 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	62	$883	452	441	+11	No	+$7	08-02 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 4?	26	$871	442	437	+5	No	+$6	09-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	22	$857	433	433	+0	No	+$7	09-15 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc596a7…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9224de…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x64d3b1…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x62fd78…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5a8048…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x548488…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4ea1f2…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x401984…
10-28 05:11:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xb15bf9…
10-28 05:11:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9dd65a…
10-28 04:38:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x405d62…
10-28 04:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x573787…
10-28 03:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1deb23…
10-28 02:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x27eba1…
10-28 02:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x4daa4d…
10-28 01:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbf7485…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe1f5c5…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb72e32…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa39113…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53edc0…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3b77aa…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2b9401…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1eee55…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0a0398…
10-28 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0141ca…
10-28 00:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x7b4f78…
10-28 00:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x200126…
10-28 00:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x73b105…
10-27 23:14:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc3a438…
10-27 23:14:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8d8e4b…
10-27 23:14:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2c0596…
10-27 23:00:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x449c34…
10-27 22:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x0b9a0b…
10-27 22:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x88be38…
10-27 22:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xf271d1…
10-27 20:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f044c…
10-27 20:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7203f6…
10-27 20:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x39002f…
10-27 20:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xd44b40…
10-27 20:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcdbc37…
10-27 20:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xaa6d71…
10-27 20:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x86dc54…
10-27 20:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd71e8b…
10-27 20:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xbef872…
10-27 20:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8938f6…
10-27 20:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x820f43…
10-27 18:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x80b65f…
10-27 18:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x8ab745…
10-27 16:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd531b8…
10-27 15:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xfe16a0…
10-27 15:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xe4c4af…
10-27 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f6662…
10-27 15:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x1443ce…
10-27 15:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x25f1ec…
10-27 15:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x1514b3…
10-27 15:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb05046…
10-27 15:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf9c340…
10-27 15:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x839a35…
10-27 15:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x92e150…
10-27 15:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x3c031e…
10-27 15:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x21985b…
10-27 15:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0abe27…
10-27 15:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xe0a936…
10-27 14:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3c3f92…
10-27 14:21:35	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x02d18d…
10-27 13:20:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd9ae1f…
10-27 12:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xeb8346…
10-27 12:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xec343c…
10-27 12:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x36d6a7…
10-27 12:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xaf78f5…
10-27 12:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x349603…
10-27 11:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xa6eb5f…
10-27 11:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xed069d…
10-27 10:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5fccee…
10-27 10:33:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf7f81f…
10-27 10:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x543248…
10-27 10:25:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C or below on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5eb317…
10-27 10:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x6776f8…
10-27 08:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1f9e55…
10-27 08:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdced01…
10-27 08:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x92b66f…
10-27 08:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x535dd0…
10-27 08:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x43db62…
10-27 07:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0e249e…
10-27 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x21f963…
10-27 07:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x967d64…
10-27 07:02:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4935f9…
10-27 06:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf48ab6…
10-27 06:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x73543f…
10-27 06:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83f32b…
10-27 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf28d10…
10-27 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x39ffcc…
10-27 05:52:59	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xf86d9d…
10-27 05:52:51	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x850384…
10-27 05:45:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d9a5a…
10-27 05:44:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb6153b…
10-27 05:42:02	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c2406…
10-27 05:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xc272a2…
10-27 05:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6cc893…
10-27 05:32:44	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xd7010a…