Unfortunate-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

8,240

Trades

96,594

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-29 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$3,053

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 68 69f	91	$2.1K	1,027	1,091	-63	No	+$19	04-13 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 60 61f	176	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$20	04-11 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	115	$1.9K	1,072	850	+223	No	+$16	03-07 01:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	42	$1.6K	697	964	-266	No	+$37	03-11 15:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	40	$1.3K	718	634	+84	No	+$27	03-11 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	102	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$12	07-07 04:40
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 80 81f	71	$1.2K	675	593	+82	No	+$13	03-17 15:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 56forhigher	135	$1.2K	652	533	+119	No	+$13	04-08 19:34
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	51	$1.1K	717	457	+260	No	+$13	03-09 06:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	110	$1.1K	792	398	+394	No	+$23	03-28 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	140	$1.1K	604	602	+2	No	+$18	07-10 08:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 46forhigher	97	$1.1K	711	403	+308	No	+$14	04-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	72	$1.1K	581	581	+0	No	+$19	07-16 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	52	$1.1K	605	471	+134	No	+$13	03-11 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	48	$1.1K	584	481	+103	No	+$10	03-13 16:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	51	$1.0K	592	458	+135	No	+$11	03-21 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 62 63f	66	$1.0K	500	549	-49	No	+$9	03-25 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	88	$981	501	501	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	41	$972	495	485	+10	No	+$6	07-17 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	103	$965	492	492	+0	No	+$6	07-02 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	70	$944	689	284	+406	No	+$18	04-01 15:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 72 73f	103	$927	675	272	+404	No	+$16	03-29 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	51	$923	577	364	+213	No	+$12	08-26 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	70	$920	480	450	+30	No	+$7	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	59	$908	460	460	+0	No	+$7	05-27 13:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	37	$888	600	345	+254	No	+$20	03-22 17:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 43forbelow	40	$886	370	522	-152	No	+$4	03-16 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	62	$883	452	441	+11	No	+$7	08-02 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 4?	26	$871	442	437	+5	No	+$6	09-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	22	$857	433	433	+0	No	+$7	09-15 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9653ec…
10-29 20:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6c4878…
10-29 20:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1ddf77…
10-29 19:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xacde89…
10-29 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaea138…
10-29 19:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc176d0…
10-29 17:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1acf20…
10-29 17:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x0981c4…
10-29 17:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf45fcd…
10-29 16:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xf30742…
10-29 16:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x118bfc…
10-29 16:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x36d021…
10-29 16:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18cdb6…
10-29 16:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf36f38…
10-29 15:57:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 29?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x4f897a…
10-29 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xaf5230…
10-29 15:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa0a85f…
10-29 15:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x9b7a92…
10-29 15:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd98bf0…
10-29 15:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb9d4ef…
10-29 15:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8be956…
10-29 15:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3c8fce…
10-29 15:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x314ba6…
10-29 14:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x608eaa…
10-29 14:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xca9fa2…
10-29 12:02:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7110d…
10-29 12:02:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5f22e9…
10-29 11:57:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x65743b…
10-29 11:54:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xff1a5d…
10-29 09:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5bdfa…
10-29 09:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd7c6b5…
10-29 09:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x390062…
10-29 08:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24ce35…
10-29 07:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xee6538…
10-29 07:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb04be9…
10-29 07:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x646c13…
10-29 07:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfbc7df…
10-29 07:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xefdad3…
10-29 07:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e3a36…
10-29 06:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x043351…
10-29 06:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb9d010…
10-29 06:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x047d46…
10-29 05:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcda2ba…
10-29 05:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0ae3de…
10-29 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa4967…
10-29 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x721c5d…
10-29 05:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ac209…
10-29 05:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1eca9c…
10-29 05:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdedd4e…
10-29 05:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x6495fb…
10-29 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x7590f8…
10-29 05:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x36a18f…
10-29 05:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x460b64…
10-29 05:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x78c761…
10-29 05:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc3a3ec…
10-29 04:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x965dfc…
10-29 04:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd53c1e…
10-29 04:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcdd022…
10-29 04:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x23c09a…
10-29 04:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe817c4…
10-29 04:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xea0c47…
10-29 04:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf809a…
10-29 04:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x18d420…
10-29 04:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x5c20d4…
10-29 04:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x01395a…
10-29 03:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa8267a…
10-29 03:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf65819…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x5c6c76…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4c7830…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x25d1c1…
10-29 03:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7690a2…
10-29 03:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf215a6…
10-29 03:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3065a5…
10-29 03:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xbd93f5…
10-29 03:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xc5c29d…
10-29 03:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xdd4568…
10-29 03:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x55c8d6…
10-29 03:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x3ef90f…
10-29 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x19ba4b…
10-29 03:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd9134e…
10-29 02:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x6be385…
10-29 02:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x49e9d9…
10-29 02:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xabf06a…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x7fb3a9…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fab5e…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x47b6d0…
10-29 02:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x2059e7…
10-29 01:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6ea8b7…
10-29 00:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x34fd04…
10-29 00:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcd2294…
10-29 00:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x10fcca…
10-29 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3ff770…
10-29 00:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xb16ad0…
10-28 23:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x9b1d5d…
10-28 23:40:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x2dd85a…
10-28 23:10:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x9129d0…
10-28 23:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc61bb8…
10-28 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11422f…
10-28 21:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7bca26…
10-28 20:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc244b2…