Unfortunate-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved (30d)

489

Trades (30d)

3,228

96,518 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$57.4K

$1.46M lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-29 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$3,041

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 68 69f	91	$2.1K	1,027	1,091	-63	No	+$19	04-13 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 60 61f	176	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$20	04-11 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	115	$1.9K	1,072	850	+223	No	+$16	03-07 01:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	42	$1.6K	697	964	-266	No	+$37	03-11 15:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	40	$1.3K	718	634	+84	No	+$27	03-11 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	102	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$12	07-07 04:40
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 80 81f	71	$1.2K	675	593	+82	No	+$13	03-17 15:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 56forhigher	135	$1.2K	652	533	+119	No	+$13	04-08 19:34
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	51	$1.1K	717	457	+260	No	+$13	03-09 06:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	110	$1.1K	792	398	+394	No	+$23	03-28 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	140	$1.1K	604	602	+2	No	+$18	07-10 08:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 46forhigher	97	$1.1K	711	403	+308	No	+$14	04-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	72	$1.1K	581	581	+0	No	+$19	07-16 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	52	$1.1K	605	471	+134	No	+$13	03-11 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	48	$1.1K	584	481	+103	No	+$10	03-13 16:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	51	$1.0K	592	458	+135	No	+$11	03-21 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 62 63f	66	$1.0K	500	549	-49	No	+$9	03-25 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	88	$981	501	501	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	41	$972	495	485	+10	No	+$6	07-17 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	103	$965	492	492	+0	No	+$6	07-02 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	70	$944	689	284	+406	No	+$18	04-01 15:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 72 73f	103	$927	675	272	+404	No	+$16	03-29 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	51	$923	577	364	+213	No	+$12	08-26 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	70	$920	480	450	+30	No	+$7	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	59	$908	460	460	+0	No	+$7	05-27 13:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	37	$888	600	345	+254	No	+$20	03-22 17:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 43forbelow	40	$886	370	522	-152	No	+$4	03-16 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	62	$883	452	441	+11	No	+$7	08-02 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 4?	26	$871	442	437	+5	No	+$6	09-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	22	$857	433	433	+0	No	+$7	09-15 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcda2ba…
10-29 05:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0ae3de…
10-29 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa4967…
10-29 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x721c5d…
10-29 05:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ac209…
10-29 05:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1eca9c…
10-29 05:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdedd4e…
10-29 05:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x6495fb…
10-29 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x7590f8…
10-29 05:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x36a18f…
10-29 05:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x460b64…
10-29 05:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x78c761…
10-29 05:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc3a3ec…
10-29 04:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x965dfc…
10-29 04:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd53c1e…
10-29 04:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcdd022…
10-29 04:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x23c09a…
10-29 04:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe817c4…
10-29 04:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xea0c47…
10-29 04:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf809a…
10-29 04:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x18d420…
10-29 04:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x5c20d4…
10-29 04:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x01395a…
10-29 03:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa8267a…
10-29 03:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf65819…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x5c6c76…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4c7830…
10-29 03:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x25d1c1…
10-29 03:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7690a2…
10-29 03:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf215a6…
10-29 03:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3065a5…
10-29 03:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xbd93f5…
10-29 03:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xc5c29d…
10-29 03:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xdd4568…
10-29 03:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x55c8d6…
10-29 03:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x3ef90f…
10-29 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x19ba4b…
10-29 03:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd9134e…
10-29 02:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x6be385…
10-29 02:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x49e9d9…
10-29 02:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xabf06a…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x7fb3a9…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fab5e…
10-29 02:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x47b6d0…
10-29 02:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x2059e7…
10-29 01:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6ea8b7…
10-29 00:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x34fd04…
10-29 00:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcd2294…
10-29 00:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x10fcca…
10-29 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3ff770…
10-29 00:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xb16ad0…
10-28 23:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x9b1d5d…
10-28 23:40:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x2dd85a…
10-28 23:10:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x9129d0…
10-28 23:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc61bb8…
10-28 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11422f…
10-28 21:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7bca26…
10-28 20:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc244b2…
10-28 19:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x9defc1…
10-28 18:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdfe633…
10-28 18:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x49c5da…
10-28 17:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa6df64…
10-28 17:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2491ce…
10-28 17:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xe3f5e2…
10-28 17:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x640ab0…
10-28 16:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x59952b…
10-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x62c32d…
10-28 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9bca16…
10-28 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x08a0d9…
10-28 15:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x86fa6f…
10-28 15:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x533887…
10-28 15:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xc35d3d…
10-28 15:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0821c5…
10-28 15:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd160f2…
10-28 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8abe84…
10-28 14:58:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x1b0d45…
10-28 14:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x112ab8…
10-28 14:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x22532b…
10-28 14:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe3690e…
10-28 14:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x6b0277…
10-28 14:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x531e80…
10-28 14:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x34a7c9…
10-28 14:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xebc67a…
10-28 13:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13f8a2…
10-28 13:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x49a900…
10-28 13:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4b0478…
10-28 13:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x62b796…
10-28 13:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6c5bea…
10-28 13:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x037386…
10-28 12:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x38cad7…
10-28 10:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x884278…
10-28 08:33:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x958351…
10-28 08:20:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xabce2e…
10-28 08:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xfb0292…
10-28 07:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96f68a…
10-28 07:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f530d…
10-28 07:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff2547…
10-28 07:53:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xef4986…
10-28 07:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on October 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbdc74f…
10-28 07:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 29?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x283d87…