Unfortunate-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

154

96,762 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$2.55K

$1.46M lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-30 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$3,072

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 68 69f	91	$2.1K	1,027	1,091	-63	No	+$19	04-13 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 60 61f	176	$2.0K	2,024	0	+2,024	No	+$20	04-11 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	115	$1.9K	1,072	850	+223	No	+$16	03-07 01:05
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	42	$1.6K	697	964	-266	No	+$37	03-11 15:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 52 53f	40	$1.3K	718	634	+84	No	+$27	03-11 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	102	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$12	07-07 04:40
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 80 81f	71	$1.2K	675	593	+82	No	+$13	03-17 15:27
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 56forhigher	135	$1.2K	652	533	+119	No	+$13	04-08 19:34
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 63forbelow	51	$1.1K	717	457	+260	No	+$13	03-09 06:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	110	$1.1K	792	398	+394	No	+$23	03-28 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	140	$1.1K	604	602	+2	No	+$18	07-10 08:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 46forhigher	97	$1.1K	711	403	+308	No	+$14	04-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	72	$1.1K	581	581	+0	No	+$19	07-16 12:21
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	52	$1.1K	605	471	+134	No	+$13	03-11 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 38 39f	48	$1.1K	584	481	+103	No	+$10	03-13 16:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	51	$1.0K	592	458	+135	No	+$11	03-21 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 62 63f	66	$1.0K	500	549	-49	No	+$9	03-25 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	88	$981	501	501	+0	No	+$6	06-08 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	41	$972	495	485	+10	No	+$6	07-17 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	103	$965	492	492	+0	No	+$6	07-02 06:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	70	$944	689	284	+406	No	+$18	04-01 15:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 72 73f	103	$927	675	272	+404	No	+$16	03-29 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	51	$923	577	364	+213	No	+$12	08-26 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	70	$920	480	450	+30	No	+$7	05-07 19:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	59	$908	460	460	+0	No	+$7	05-27 13:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	37	$888	600	345	+254	No	+$20	03-22 17:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 43forbelow	40	$886	370	522	-152	No	+$4	03-16 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	62	$883	452	441	+11	No	+$7	08-02 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 4?	26	$871	442	437	+5	No	+$6	09-04 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	22	$857	433	433	+0	No	+$7	09-15 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on November 1?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf56620…
10-30 23:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x15655f…
10-30 21:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf7a105…
10-30 20:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc001b5…
10-30 20:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x947326…
10-30 20:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x564ede…
10-30 19:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x770a31…
10-30 19:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x754c18…
10-30 19:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x857906…
10-30 19:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4b38cf…
10-30 18:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c27d7…
10-30 18:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x35e2be…
10-30 18:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0bfd43…
10-30 18:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb33a3a…
10-30 18:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3524f1…
10-30 18:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2b3007…
10-30 18:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x66fd05…
10-30 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x3bed97…
10-30 18:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x3eaebb…
10-30 17:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xd2ed8a…
10-30 17:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xa8dbc0…
10-30 17:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf9d9bd…
10-30 17:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb32629…
10-30 17:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe5f8a3…
10-30 17:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xdf3b68…
10-30 17:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47c6f2…
10-30 17:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd90a5f…
10-30 17:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77085e…
10-30 17:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8f9ec8…
10-30 17:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x63295f…
10-30 17:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8e2f69…
10-30 17:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x7ae000…
10-30 17:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7451e…
10-30 17:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xcba467…
10-30 17:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xd52fc9…
10-30 17:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc55560…
10-30 17:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa2c225…
10-30 17:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb81e80…
10-30 16:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa3a556…
10-30 16:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x991fb0…
10-30 15:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x348045…
10-30 15:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x66a66c…
10-30 15:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x484c8a…
10-30 15:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2bc4a8…
10-30 15:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa3b952…
10-30 14:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xe0bdfd…
10-30 14:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8cc034…
10-30 12:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6af73a…
10-30 11:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e7e0e…
10-30 11:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8dd43c…
10-30 10:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f7c1a…
10-30 10:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4cb292…
10-30 10:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd4b3…
10-30 10:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3e9811…
10-30 10:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2cc20d…
10-30 10:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49f068…
10-30 10:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa96994…
10-30 10:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x34d4fd…
10-30 10:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x06708c…
10-30 10:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x2afb87…
10-30 10:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x7bab35…
10-30 09:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x1f2692…
10-30 09:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xb51459…
10-30 09:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe03392…
10-30 09:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5fb49a…
10-30 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb7041f…
10-30 09:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x38fd5a…
10-30 09:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1f3f13…
10-30 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x44ffce…
10-30 08:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfe0984…
10-30 08:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x72928d…
10-30 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xbafb23…
10-30 08:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xa941da…
10-30 08:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8e8a6a…
10-30 08:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xcaf9be…
10-30 08:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x007d4c…
10-30 08:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x996a0c…
10-30 08:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x54b0dc…
10-30 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x608d31…
10-30 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x55b793…
10-30 08:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x80b3b3…
10-30 08:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x3912f6…
10-30 08:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4cb8ed…
10-30 08:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x25c535…
10-30 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xe5f900…
10-30 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3a645…
10-30 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x84e269…
10-30 08:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xff3d47…
10-30 08:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb6bfe9…
10-30 07:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x309608…
10-30 05:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6186dd…
10-30 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x64e7c4…
10-30 05:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xabb77b…
10-30 05:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5fe3a1…
10-30 04:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc2491d…
10-30 04:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x80fc06…
10-30 03:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xc68350…
10-30 01:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 30?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x439e9b…
10-30 01:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa85694…
10-30 01:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x229e39…