Impure-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$803

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.6%

Resolved

162

Trades

25,118

lifetime

Volume

$40.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-31 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 2% $-860

Politics

5% — —

Other

3% 100% +$57

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 488 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 100 january 26 1	5	$5.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	01-31 19:29
xrp above 1pt4 on february 5	137	$2.6K	5,000	4,957	+43	open	—	02-05 11:08
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	142	$1.8K	26,152	9,186	+16,966	open	—	01-30 02:36
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	4	$1.7K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	01-31 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 76k january 26 1	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-31 19:23
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	16	$915	1,240	1,440	-200	open	—	01-31 16:48
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	12	$493	35,800	0	+35,800	open	—	02-06 20:18
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	28	$488	28,800	0	+28,800	open	—	02-09 04:29
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	47	$445	960	960	+0	open	—	01-31 19:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	3	$402	200	500	-300	open	—	06-02 15:17
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	14	$287	15,600	800	+14,800	open	—	02-10 04:36
ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	42	$279	468	490	-22	open	—	06-05 15:13
xrp above 1pt3 on february 5	13	$241	300	300	+0	open	—	02-05 16:45
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	10	$234	21,150	0	+21,150	open	—	02-08 02:49
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	316	$214	36,119	41,745	-5,627	open	—	03-20 12:22
will solana dip to 90 january 26 1	2	$203	500	500	+0	open	—	02-01 15:34
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	107	$193	71,000	46,000	+25,000	open	—	02-24 09:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	14	$190	1,215	300	+915	open	—	06-02 15:31
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	45	$178	2,764	1,219	+1,546	open	—	01-29 16:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	17	$161	17,088	2,000	+15,088	open	—	06-10 01:58
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	14	$160	220	220	+0	open	—	07-01 22:38
bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	12	$143	570	570	+0	open	—	06-05 19:11
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	9	$120	633	100	+533	open	—	02-01 11:41
solana above 80 on february 2	16	$114	15,261	30	+15,231	open	—	02-02 13:54
ethereum above 1700 on june 18 2026	6	$112	200	200	+0	open	—	06-18 15:46
xrp above 1pt4 on february 4	14	$112	8,987	0	+8,987	open	—	02-04 12:47
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 16 22	6	$107	152	152	+0	open	—	02-23 01:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$106	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-12 13:57
solana above 80 on february 4	31	$105	10,646	0	+10,646	open	—	02-04 14:51
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	64	$102	35,721	0	+35,721	open	—	03-09 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 19:24:06	googl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf3e1b8…
07-31 18:28:44	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	154	0¢	$0	0xac7413…
07-31 18:24:08	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7080f7…
07-31 18:18:57	will spy dip to 725 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdf624a…
07-31 17:40:51	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	318	0¢	$1	0x5fe059…
07-31 17:39:42	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	382	0¢	$1	0xe94920…
07-31 17:36:24	spy closes above 730 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xa41485…
07-31 17:36:24	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0x20741e…
07-31 17:34:45	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe9a724…
07-31 17:32:38	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x313989…
07-31 17:32:12	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x0f3560…
07-31 17:31:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 31	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xae2767…
07-31 17:29:30	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xffb971…
07-31 17:29:11	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x60cfdf…
07-31 17:25:06	googl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe96e6f…
07-31 17:24:03	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x93473b…
07-31 17:23:23	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa9bdd9…
07-31 17:20:51	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x8eff21…
07-31 17:20:50	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf513bb…
07-31 17:20:32	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x07b301…
07-31 17:20:29	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$3	0x519ddc…
07-31 17:17:38	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x1f6447…
07-31 17:13:23	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x13698d…
07-31 17:12:38	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x15d947…
07-31 17:12:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6e1dce…
07-31 17:12:23	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	310	0¢	$1	0x7a067a…
07-31 16:54:00	spy closes above 730 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x48fefc…
07-31 16:02:27	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1ac10c…
07-31 15:51:17	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4756a7…
07-31 15:48:17	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x565579…
07-31 15:47:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x89c942…
07-31 15:46:48	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf13d93…
07-31 15:46:33	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcda6a0…
07-31 15:44:18	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfa6333…
07-31 15:38:44	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0x42eff4…
07-31 15:38:00	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x47359a…
07-31 15:37:59	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc399b2…
07-31 14:51:00	bitcoin above 56k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6317fc…
07-31 14:50:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$3	0xdd2efd…
07-31 14:32:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 1 2026	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x36da1a…
07-31 07:59:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x79e382…
07-31 07:37:36	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x845fd3…
07-31 07:31:03	bitcoin above 56k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x33ee31…
07-31 07:26:09	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	271	0¢	$1	0x0d7071…
07-31 07:09:30	usdtry up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd41c84…
07-31 07:06:54	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb60f1a…
07-31 07:01:48	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64e9b0…
07-31 07:01:41	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98468f…
07-31 06:43:39	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7b1f8b…
07-31 06:38:50	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x188701…
07-31 06:35:30	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5ad1d6…
07-31 06:34:14	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3b1ce7…
07-31 06:33:53	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6f5d0a…
07-31 06:21:24	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x484417…
07-31 06:04:35	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa8ccb9…
07-31 05:59:09	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x276349…
07-31 05:57:50	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd464ba…
07-31 05:53:02	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x077cf3…
07-31 05:52:05	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x185191…
07-31 05:43:15	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2f0fe4…
07-31 05:40:29	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x9c944b…
07-31 05:38:57	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x5c05fd…
07-31 05:36:45	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x20b6da…
07-31 05:36:44	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9e37d9…
07-31 05:35:18	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0xfdd514…
07-31 05:11:54	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8666a5…
07-31 05:10:54	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd4e0b2…
07-31 05:10:35	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x055a89…
07-31 05:10:20	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa285ee…
07-31 05:10:11	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6b6dde…
07-31 04:50:38	spy closes above 725 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x98a4d0…
07-31 04:34:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	524	0¢	$1	0x8186cd…
07-31 04:28:59	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a7bd9…
07-31 04:25:03	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf731dc…
07-31 04:21:03	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4c9e2b…
07-31 04:20:56	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc4d7fd…
07-31 04:16:56	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xed68ee…
07-31 04:07:11	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x08afc0…
07-31 04:02:32	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	265	0¢	$1	0xf37a26…
07-31 03:52:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe23e07…
07-31 03:51:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	266	0¢	$0	0xe36521…
07-31 03:51:14	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e807d…
07-31 03:51:08	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 30	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xe9e311…
07-31 03:50:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf4833…
07-31 03:50:06	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 30	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x3081df…
07-31 03:45:53	nik up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3c8daa…
07-31 03:45:44	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 30	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa8088b…
07-31 03:24:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x920ccc…
07-31 03:21:42	bitcoin above 56k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x5b5457…
07-31 03:11:27	wti closes above 89 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5ac2cf…
07-31 02:39:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xa1161b…
07-31 02:33:23	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 30	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x7107da…
07-31 02:24:14	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8ad59…
07-31 02:20:47	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x196f41…
07-31 02:17:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	992	0¢	$1	0x7806a6…
07-31 02:10:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xaa6797…
07-31 02:06:27	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 30	Yes	BUY	467	0¢	$0	0x58c993…
07-31 02:02:39	ethereum above 1800 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x52bd3d…
07-31 02:02:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x44d43f…
07-31 01:58:02	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x9f5476…