Flustered-Chassis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

442

Trades

844

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

72% 80% -$4

Crypto

23% 83% -$23

Politics

4% 53% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	6	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-21 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 24?	4	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:31
bitcoin above 68k on july 25 2026	4	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-25 00:08
will russia capture stavky by july 31	4	$77	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?	7	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 17:40
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:27
will wti reach 125 by july 27 2026	3	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-31 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-11 15:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 07:00
solana above 90 on july 24 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 24?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-24 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 30?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 16:12
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-23 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 41°C on June 27?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-26 14:34
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	10-11 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on July 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 20?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 15:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 10?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 15:11
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-19 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 28?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-28 06:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	3	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	08-26 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:21
bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-28 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 23?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:03
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-26 22:55
ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd95bf7…
10-18 16:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x275ddf…
10-16 10:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61b7b0…
10-13 16:08:52	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x07e522…
10-13 09:53:52	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb7f237…
10-12 09:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x255c7e…
10-12 06:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd22266…
10-12 02:37:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x677709…
10-11 20:03:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6cb035…
10-11 03:30:41	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6fecfc…
10-10 09:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc91d93…
10-10 03:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x67b570…
10-05 09:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x62d19a…
10-02 01:05:50	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b2e1e…
10-01 22:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x935e9b…
10-01 05:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x4b2420…
09-28 01:43:56	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8ca1ce…
09-27 22:26:38	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd8f4be…
09-23 09:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a0a75…
09-23 05:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf78625…
09-22 22:33:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e2396…
09-22 18:05:58	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x01e497…
09-22 16:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd151bc…
09-22 00:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb05fa…
09-19 02:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5ce696…
09-18 01:28:16	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x818965…
09-17 15:13:49	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb22da…
09-13 02:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x127d0c…
09-11 15:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x20d1a9…
09-11 15:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6d4a55…
09-11 03:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xde0679…
09-10 20:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9fbe4a…
09-07 14:37:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51de8c…
09-06 14:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c5714…
09-06 08:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbd941a…
09-05 23:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb1c839…
09-05 06:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7b14db…
09-05 02:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe068c9…
09-04 19:51:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fea39…
09-04 17:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x372e68…
09-04 09:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe30e2c…
09-04 03:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa979b0…
09-03 16:51:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x804482…
09-03 10:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xad4f5a…
09-03 04:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa44820…
09-02 19:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8f92f8…
09-02 11:53:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2de178…
09-02 07:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0c1ab0…
09-01 15:21:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x514559…
09-01 12:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x669b3b…
09-01 05:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ec15b…
08-31 02:49:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7561d…
08-30 22:36:37	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x362c43…
08-30 17:10:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in August?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa9d1bd…
08-30 12:27:31	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x09731f…
08-30 04:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdca823…
08-29 20:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8219c1…
08-29 13:29:21	Will Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfa1e34…
08-29 09:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2b1145…
08-28 19:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x93a158…
08-27 16:43:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdf933d…
08-27 16:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe7fb56…
08-27 00:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd065ed…
08-26 18:29:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdda5c7…
08-26 11:30:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb04d99…
08-26 08:20:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x01476c…
08-26 08:01:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4614de…
08-25 07:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8676af…
08-25 01:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7de489…
08-24 14:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1e615f…
08-24 08:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x134e70…
08-23 23:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4fbd81…
08-23 19:15:22	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee36c0…
08-14 15:10:07	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0bb81e…
08-14 06:50:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x26d890…
08-13 18:17:09	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eb829…
08-13 14:53:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfbd96f…
08-13 08:18:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x65877d…
08-13 07:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6ac31b…
08-12 22:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x41017a…
08-12 07:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8aaeef…
08-11 22:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f3b16…
08-11 20:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xb15890…
08-11 13:06:18	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x24b56b…
08-10 22:10:33	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b3d93…
08-10 18:59:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 10	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a2b60…
08-10 14:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x759108…
08-10 12:02:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe81777…
08-09 14:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb47713…
08-09 07:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfcfab…
08-09 04:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb06296…
08-09 01:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 9?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xa69b5f…
08-08 18:23:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9532f4…
08-08 05:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xf96de1…
08-08 02:04:00	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x63b058…
08-07 22:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa74965…
08-07 18:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xafd1d7…
08-07 10:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x98b751…
08-07 07:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6cad9e…
08-06 06:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xccb650…