Flustered-Chassis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-21 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 80% +$0

Other

47% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-19 05:33
ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-21 19:39
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-19 17:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 19:59
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 14:05
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	07-18 00:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-29 08:18
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 08:23
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 27?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 08:24
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 23corbelow	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 08:54
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 00:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 01:39
highest temperature in munich on april 21 2026 6c	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 08:33
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-10 17:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-26 14:43
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	3	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 04:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 2?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 14:23
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 32corhigher	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 08:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 15:36
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 34c	5	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 08:31
bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	06-26 14:56
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-21 02:41
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 31c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 02:01
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-15 09:18
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 08:24
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 60 61f	5	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 05:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 30c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 12:06
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 10corbelow	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 25?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 18:52
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-30 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:39:31	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x570ede…
07-21 09:55:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6465c9…
07-20 23:37:30	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x37efa8…
07-20 20:56:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbfd8b1…
07-20 15:58:10	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x013c43…
07-20 11:22:12	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x465985…
07-19 17:24:15	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7536cf…
07-19 14:14:48	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe73c81…
07-19 05:33:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb0ded9…
07-19 05:18:03	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x653267…
07-19 03:25:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xf49ec7…
07-18 00:11:45	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x57fdbe…
07-17 21:32:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x22a020…
07-10 17:10:34	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf6eda1…
07-10 17:06:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a659b…
07-10 14:40:38	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e6ff2…
06-26 14:56:23	bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa03cc4…
06-10 03:27:40	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfca52a…
06-08 05:57:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x098ee7…
06-06 01:52:31	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31fd7f…
06-01 17:54:46	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xead657…
06-01 14:23:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 2?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x33e408…
06-01 11:04:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x6a40ea…
06-01 00:00:20	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x903922…
05-31 23:53:39	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa80786…
05-31 07:13:35	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x987c47…
05-30 12:59:05	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x77f606…
05-30 06:23:29	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa882f6…
05-30 05:31:10	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdbfb35…
05-30 05:21:11	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5efd44…
05-29 22:19:25	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc8a1b1…
05-29 21:15:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x913dba…
05-29 18:42:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d879b…
05-29 08:18:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x052050…
05-29 08:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x484f67…
05-29 02:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8d8b51…
05-29 01:01:35	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xccf2ed…
05-28 23:21:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x416fb5…
05-28 21:46:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaac16a…
05-28 19:54:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b7a08…
05-28 16:19:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf27dd…
05-28 11:24:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x04ed77…
05-28 04:49:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb0ce71…
05-26 15:31:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1704d2…
05-26 15:13:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa4739a…
05-26 14:43:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc09b6e…
05-26 10:32:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1c71dd…
05-26 03:28:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x678a60…
05-26 00:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x74d5c2…
05-25 20:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x1f9acb…
05-25 12:55:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1777d0…
05-25 01:39:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe54a9c…
05-24 23:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb8def7…
05-21 15:33:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe429bc…
05-21 13:26:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x710804…
05-21 13:05:18	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x22388a…
05-21 11:07:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f68f8…
05-21 09:24:53	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x501191…
05-21 02:41:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xaeb516…
05-20 20:44:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdd9fa0…
05-19 12:34:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd73aa0…
05-19 04:14:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd683d7…
05-17 08:56:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xfc15f2…
05-16 15:36:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9d1143…
05-16 11:29:51	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x69c879…
05-16 05:06:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8b6e5c…
05-15 14:05:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xff9176…
05-15 08:41:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3b1d05…
05-14 23:32:07	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe03710…
05-14 20:17:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x2ba417…
05-14 19:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x467f2c…
05-14 19:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x13a3e6…
05-14 18:23:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7104b4…
05-13 15:18:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x49217b…
05-13 15:03:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd8b35…
05-13 14:25:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf3d84…
05-12 04:49:51	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x770df9…
05-12 00:46:37	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7f444e…
05-11 14:47:39	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd67bd9…
05-10 17:57:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x867dfd…
05-10 17:49:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x02caf8…
05-10 14:27:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x09d286…
05-10 04:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9bc718…
05-09 17:22:47	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x34f84e…
05-08 00:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd59bdf…
05-07 14:45:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12feb7…
05-07 14:04:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x88c039…
05-07 02:22:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd907bb…
05-01 08:57:10	Will Solana dip to $60 on May 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2fe7f4…
05-01 05:32:58	Will Solana dip to $60 on May 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7c4a09…
04-30 20:05:28	Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd9a29e…
04-30 11:23:56	Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4538c0…
04-30 02:49:40	Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7cbe2c…
04-29 23:30:10	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd82e3f…
04-29 15:33:14	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd2a386…
04-29 09:29:32	Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc96c9e…
04-27 23:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe65a4b…
04-27 17:19:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x42f91e…
04-27 13:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf4883c…
04-27 12:55:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57672f…