Grim-Try — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-10 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

43% 33% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	3	$135	68	68	+0	open	—	06-26 17:03
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	4	$81	40	40	+0	open	—	07-26 00:56
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-23 03:22
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	3	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	06-01 01:52
bitcoin above 56k on july 10 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-10 13:31
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-28 12:57
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-30 02:28
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	02-04 09:01
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-22 12:51
will russia capture stavky by july 31	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	07-30 19:06
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-25 00:18
ethereum above 1600 on july 30 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	07-30 02:29
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-23 06:41
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-30 02:30
will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-31 20:08
highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 82 83f	5	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 11:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 17 2026 35corhigher	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 11:32
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.5 on April 24, 2026?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 05:37
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 68 69f	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 12:11
highest temperature in istanbul on april 19 2026 10c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 22:13
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 19c	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 22:15
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 18corhigher	4	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-21 06:06
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 58 59f	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 16:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 00:40
Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 03:24
bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	07-04 15:41
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 15:34
will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	07-01 19:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-20 21:09
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-29 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:49:01	will ethereum reach 2050 on august 10	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8d5d31…
08-10 13:57:15	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb9d8d6…
08-07 07:59:27	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x696d69…
08-06 06:30:09	bitcoin above 58k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1ff4f3…
08-06 01:44:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36ee57…
08-05 23:25:35	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x97c4de…
07-31 20:08:03	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf43aa8…
07-31 14:13:53	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0779c6…
07-31 01:18:53	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5f9145…
07-30 22:45:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd05b3e…
07-30 20:42:02	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfb959…
07-30 19:28:09	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbc8509…
07-30 19:06:51	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6730d8…
07-30 18:53:39	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd137b8…
07-30 11:46:08	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x143e26…
07-30 02:30:59	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x11cc7d…
07-30 02:29:35	ethereum above 1600 on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x8d29ce…
07-30 02:28:08	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf8c63e…
07-29 23:44:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x49ec27…
07-29 21:55:47	ethereum above 1600 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x26eda5…
07-29 20:53:32	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd59671…
07-29 14:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd01b81…
07-28 12:57:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x10bfe0…
07-28 06:31:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1a544c…
07-28 02:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1eab4e…
07-28 01:05:30	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85f11c…
07-27 16:34:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa01c27…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d85c0…
07-26 06:36:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x515ba3…
07-26 00:58:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4af106…
07-26 00:56:57	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x19f7e1…
07-25 23:57:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1227fc…
07-25 23:40:09	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xada512…
07-25 22:25:39	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc86e32…
07-25 08:18:30	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x60a97c…
07-25 00:18:25	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8e4aef…
07-24 21:45:15	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x25ae72…
07-23 06:41:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa23649…
07-23 03:22:33	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa81a75…
07-23 03:22:03	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x33f846…
07-23 02:23:10	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3d1fb9…
07-22 17:44:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa57b3a…
07-22 12:51:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb1a3bc…
07-22 10:49:48	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfc6a14…
07-19 01:25:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x965391…
07-19 01:10:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf5366…
07-18 23:42:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x24b09d…
07-10 21:49:10	ethereum above 2000 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xea977c…
07-10 13:31:23	bitcoin above 56k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6292bb…
07-09 08:20:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc79696…
07-04 15:41:19	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0d4791…
07-01 19:57:53	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc84dcf…
06-26 17:03:05	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x34ed23…
06-26 15:52:46	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7a73d0…
06-26 14:15:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x359e0e…
06-08 09:14:30	will scary movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x733728…
06-06 12:00:03	will scary movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0655f0…
06-06 04:56:31	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2dfde5…
06-05 20:58:12	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe8a9d0…
06-05 12:50:24	will wti dip to 60 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd48c7…
06-01 06:19:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x899cf7…
06-01 03:24:30	Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x680350…
06-01 01:52:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x59daa9…
05-31 23:40:49	Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb42c97…
05-30 22:29:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xdd958c…
05-30 11:51:30	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x23400d…
05-30 06:16:31	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xe27e16…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2e653…
05-29 18:49:30	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x94ef5d…
05-29 17:02:43	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c5724…
05-29 16:10:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f78b8…
05-29 14:25:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f1e61…
05-29 08:07:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07865c…
05-29 07:22:08	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96605a…
05-29 05:08:03	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x84157e…
05-29 05:07:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x675b5a…
05-28 23:08:38	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdefc7b…
05-28 18:14:15	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa1d737…
05-26 13:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x37a341…
05-26 04:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c3aa5…
05-20 21:09:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x833187…
05-20 20:44:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x130af6…
05-19 21:28:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe4741c…
05-19 10:55:09	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xceaf2d…
05-19 03:57:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xedfabd…
05-18 21:51:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c2150…
05-16 14:45:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4b9175…
05-16 05:10:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x214387…
05-15 15:34:37	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x32c355…
05-14 20:05:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd79dde…
05-14 15:48:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf65a55…
05-14 15:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc0e16a…
05-14 14:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcac1ab…
05-14 14:13:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3969e3…
05-14 11:25:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb74858…
05-14 11:19:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x46c066…
05-14 05:41:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x74589a…
05-10 09:33:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xa14249…
05-10 08:24:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xb2dbc9…
05-09 19:55:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x873353…