Grim-Try — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved (90d)

100

Trades (90d)

105

841 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.98K

$11.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% -$15

Crypto

20% 87% +$1

Politics

3% 85% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	3	$135	68	68	+0	No	+$0	06-26 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	3	$122	61	61	+0	No	$0	07-20 21:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	4	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	7	$114	57	57	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:31
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	5	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-20 03:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	5	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-24 08:03
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	4	$81	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-13 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 30?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:32
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:23
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:52
bitcoin above 56k on july 10 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 25?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 22:37
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on July 19?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 24?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 20:56
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$0	02-04 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 23?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-23 11:41
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 12:51
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-27 10:10
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-10 19:56
will russia capture stavky by july 31	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-30 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 26?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 05:52
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-26 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on July 30?	5	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 97°F or below on July 31?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-31 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6ceeb6…
10-18 14:00:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x2d7518…
10-16 10:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bdfdb…
10-16 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 16?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x30714a…
10-14 19:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef6737…
10-13 09:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xf1d744…
10-13 05:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x50f9a8…
10-13 00:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xaf6ae0…
10-12 23:46:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8e4f54…
10-12 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbde1e4…
10-12 07:20:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0bc101…
10-12 05:09:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd0219b…
10-12 00:30:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x409667…
10-11 23:01:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1ed10a…
10-10 09:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac9d8c…
10-07 19:21:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c2b08…
10-05 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x239767…
10-02 01:28:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6a7c9…
10-01 22:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4066b2…
10-01 05:59:41	Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8476c2…
09-28 03:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x6a4d35…
09-27 20:02:56	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7a7b77…
09-23 19:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x445e54…
09-23 12:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x62ddc4…
09-23 05:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x910794…
09-22 16:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x04db3c…
09-22 15:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xaa3b01…
09-22 01:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x11d994…
09-19 01:39:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9232…
09-18 17:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x748c7e…
09-18 00:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x917dbd…
09-17 12:50:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf0b8b5…
09-13 03:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe6f089…
09-11 20:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x685f03…
09-11 01:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2857b6…
09-10 19:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3207fb…
09-07 15:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d209c…
09-06 21:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 7?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2d1ab6…
09-06 07:48:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebdeea…
09-05 23:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x495bc7…
09-05 09:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0417b7…
09-05 01:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xda9aff…
09-04 21:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0c0502…
09-04 15:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ea320…
09-04 10:41:19	bitcoin above 76k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x83931e…
09-04 05:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x63af7b…
09-03 21:31:21	will ethereum dip to 2300 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb58594…
09-03 08:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e5e9b…
09-03 00:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62cf88…
09-02 16:19:13	Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Mexico by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x27fb49…
09-02 10:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbae898…
09-02 06:46:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x12b69d…
09-01 08:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xddf3d7…
09-01 05:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x003243…
08-31 05:41:31	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x13ae07…
08-30 22:24:30	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf82c35…
08-30 20:16:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x56f267…
08-30 11:47:36	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x133f19…
08-30 06:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x1119c7…
08-29 22:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2760b1…
08-28 18:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb0e3d4…
08-28 18:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc94034…
08-28 17:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe0ca04…
08-27 15:00:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x74a6c1…
08-27 11:43:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5fa9d…
08-26 22:46:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf52bdc…
08-26 20:57:36	will ethereum dip to 2300 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2f3bec…
08-26 12:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadefb3…
08-26 10:01:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4c8bb2…
08-25 11:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7dd081…
08-25 03:09:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9e3cd…
08-25 00:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd0f13d…
08-24 16:35:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc21b2c…
08-24 09:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x87f435…
08-24 03:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x10d12a…
08-23 21:14:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x31191a…
08-14 08:47:46	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x323fd8…
08-13 17:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x42842e…
08-13 14:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ae82f…
08-13 11:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x433341…
08-13 06:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x408355…
08-12 21:50:55	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x04725d…
08-12 08:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x205532…
08-12 02:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x046dad…
08-12 00:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c6404…
08-11 22:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x368d9f…
08-11 11:45:49	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6e1ba5…
08-10 22:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7a425c…
08-10 19:49:01	will ethereum reach 2050 on august 10	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8d5d31…
08-10 13:57:15	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb9d8d6…
08-10 11:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3916e4…
08-09 14:52:57	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcd28b2…
08-09 10:47:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeafe37…
08-09 03:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x65b828…
08-09 01:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea2468…
08-08 17:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x24a3f5…
08-08 02:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf9bdc7…
08-08 02:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2aa0a8…
08-07 20:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xf14cde…
08-07 16:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9de5c8…