Constant-Timeline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

243

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$54

Other

1% 67% -$18

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$253	163	163	+0	No	+$4	10-25 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	1	$140	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	10-02 17:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 2?	1	$140	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	10-01 16:51
bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	09-30 16:40
bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	1	$139	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	09-29 16:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29?	1	$139	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	09-28 16:55
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 28?	1	$138	139	0	+139	No	+$1	09-27 16:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 27?	1	$138	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	09-26 16:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 26?	1	$138	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	09-25 17:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 25?	1	$138	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	09-24 16:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	1	$137	138	0	+138	Yes	+$0	09-23 17:58
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 23?	1	$137	138	0	+138	No	+$0	09-22 17:50
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 22?	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$1	09-21 16:44
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 21?	1	$136	137	0	+137	No	+$0	09-20 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 20?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	09-20 00:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?	1	$136	136	0	+136	Yes	+$0	09-18 17:40
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 18?	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	09-17 17:06
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	1	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$1	09-16 16:27
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 1?	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	07-31 17:34
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 31?	1	$131	132	0	+132	No	+$1	07-30 16:48
bitcoin above 60k on july 30 2026	1	$131	131	0	+131	Yes	+$0	07-30 05:57
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 29?	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	07-28 18:46
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 28?	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	07-27 16:38
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 27?	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$0	07-26 16:32
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 26?	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$1	07-25 17:38
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 25?	1	$129	130	0	+130	No	+$0	07-24 16:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$129	130	0	+130	No	+$0	10-27 19:43
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 24?	1	$129	129	0	+129	No	+$0	07-23 17:39
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 22?	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	07-21 17:11
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?	1	$128	129	0	+129	No	+$1	07-22 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xd10815…
10-26 16:58:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xa836af…
10-25 09:18:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	163	79¢	$129	0x595844…
10-23 16:15:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	163	76¢	$124	0x5e90b0…
10-21 23:55:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x5fbb34…
10-20 17:22:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x3c8d61…
10-19 17:08:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x99e134…
10-18 17:23:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xe91829…
10-17 14:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x70cae2…
10-16 01:28:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee1444…
10-14 17:18:31	bitcoin above 74k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xd620f9…
10-14 02:02:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x56a764…
10-12 16:41:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xe9bd48…
10-11 18:57:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x12be4c…
10-10 18:24:10	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 11?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xff663c…
10-09 16:53:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa342e9…
10-08 18:57:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x011fec…
10-07 19:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd2146d…
10-06 16:49:27	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb18399…
10-05 16:26:22	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf04bc4…
10-04 17:32:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf536cd…
10-03 18:29:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf2323a…
10-03 18:28:33	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x27274a…
10-02 17:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x61f5c4…
10-01 16:51:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x8495ba…
09-30 16:40:06	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xce5a77…
09-29 16:21:29	bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x9371e7…
09-28 16:55:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x9b9757…
09-27 16:32:35	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 28?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0xa66a75…
09-26 16:49:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xb91b34…
09-25 17:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xe4fc05…
09-24 16:26:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xc9baad…
09-23 17:58:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x42b249…
09-22 17:50:01	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 23?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x789e2a…
09-21 16:44:33	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 22?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x3c6857…
09-20 16:43:10	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 21?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x188fc8…
09-20 00:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xc5607b…
09-18 17:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x11a507…
09-17 17:06:21	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 18?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x572bfe…
09-16 16:27:45	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x25c2cc…
07-31 17:34:15	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 1?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xdc02d4…
07-30 16:48:41	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 31?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x36e5cf…
07-30 05:57:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xd8b6f2…
07-28 18:46:55	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 29?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xa4379f…
07-27 16:38:28	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 28?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xba69f7…
07-26 16:32:34	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 27?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xbd5309…
07-25 17:38:34	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 26?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0353af…
07-24 16:51:15	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 25?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x7231df…
07-23 17:39:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 24?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xc31813…
07-22 16:46:13	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x9a27a4…
07-21 17:11:34	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 22?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf8d5e8…
07-20 16:47:07	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 21?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x536609…
07-19 16:34:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xc3b162…
07-18 21:54:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0xbb0225…
07-16 16:56:56	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xc62d5d…
07-15 18:39:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x871f40…
07-14 16:52:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x5f6f79…
07-13 16:52:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x9cedc3…
07-12 16:54:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x268b9f…
07-11 16:46:01	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf7ec60…
07-10 17:13:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xd831b3…
07-09 16:33:56	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8653d2…
07-08 19:02:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x820609…
07-07 19:18:14	ethereum above 2000 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xc52dc0…
07-06 18:11:04	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x103adb…
07-05 16:45:10	xrp above 1pt4 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x9755d3…
07-04 16:44:50	xrp above 1pt3 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xc956a3…
07-03 16:46:46	xrp above 1 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xd8f985…
07-02 16:29:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	121	99¢	$121	0xd858cc…
07-01 18:26:40	ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x21e097…
06-30 16:31:59	bitcoin above 50k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcac404…
06-29 16:50:38	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x630a95…
06-28 16:43:26	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf84007…
06-27 16:39:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x0e5301…
06-26 17:02:53	ethereum above 1300 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x58d2da…
06-25 17:27:26	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x788e8b…
06-24 16:37:26	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x88b3e9…
06-23 16:54:02	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf5a8ae…
06-22 19:00:20	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x74a8f6…
06-21 23:21:37	ethereum above 1500 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9f1c9a…
06-20 18:50:19	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x132bad…
06-20 07:24:46	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3b6ba0…
06-20 07:05:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x006bb1…
06-20 06:57:17	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x1587a2…
06-19 18:33:56	bitcoin above 58k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x47c1e2…
06-19 18:32:32	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xeb8127…
06-19 18:27:04	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x908fee…
06-18 22:10:01	ethereum above 1500 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x4cdecc…
06-17 20:48:17	bitcoin above 52k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xe0bbc5…
06-16 18:30:08	xrp above 1pt1 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x29488e…
06-16 00:09:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xe60432…
06-14 16:10:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb94251…
06-12 19:33:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x31fce2…
06-11 18:28:15	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf07c71…
06-10 18:37:58	ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x62367d…
06-09 18:39:58	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xd62a93…
06-08 18:15:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x3a9586…
06-07 19:54:34	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x02186b…
06-04 19:10:40	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x11d0d8…
06-03 18:38:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb9ca5e…