Irresponsible-Founding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

436

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-19 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

74% 83% +$3

Crypto

20% 89% +$1

Politics

4% 88% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29?	5	$138	69	69	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	5	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	07-20 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	4	$93	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 27?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 10?	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-10 08:14
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-31 02:29
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 13:51
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 10?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-10 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 18?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 04:50
ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-19 05:28
Will "Old Henry" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	4	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-11 19:14
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	4	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 20?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:14
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-24 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 10?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	10-12 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 28?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 26?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:03
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-11 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 4?	3	$54	37	17	+20	No	+$0	05-04 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9bc3f2…
10-18 18:39:48	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5a3f72…
10-16 11:29:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5011d2…
10-16 08:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 16?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x96d8e7…
10-13 10:08:11	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc83c14…
10-13 02:14:39	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb4ed4…
10-12 03:28:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xdbbce0…
10-12 03:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa909f7…
10-12 01:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5c8f5d…
10-11 22:43:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xedccfa…
10-11 16:04:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5e8f2d…
10-11 14:15:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcb9b59…
10-11 10:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf68373…
10-10 09:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa4d426…
10-10 02:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x59e267…
10-05 09:51:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1bffdd…
10-02 03:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa0cc12…
10-01 22:19:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x10fd81…
10-01 06:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1e19fe…
09-28 03:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb35c39…
09-28 01:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1d60d…
09-23 20:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe1afd1…
09-22 19:23:10	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdad7df…
09-22 18:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcb494…
09-22 16:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa9afcc…
09-22 14:43:13	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x25cd4d…
09-21 22:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee6d95…
09-19 00:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3cdb8d…
09-17 23:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb60fd7…
09-17 15:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x000343…
09-13 05:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x39c9cc…
09-11 19:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x357cd0…
09-11 03:19:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdbfea9…
09-10 19:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x348171…
09-07 15:47:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x13c7f3…
09-06 20:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xff69d5…
09-06 04:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd51ea4…
09-05 23:05:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x01ebb9…
09-05 05:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x515f26…
09-05 04:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc4b3d3…
09-04 23:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcdb14b…
09-04 18:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x06bb76…
09-04 11:04:06	ethereum above 2800 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x51c31f…
09-04 05:54:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x32fbb4…
09-03 16:45:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf435fa…
09-03 12:10:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x38762f…
09-03 03:37:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0069df…
09-02 20:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xa0658c…
09-02 09:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2ba97f…
09-01 14:24:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb7b52d…
09-01 07:10:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbc3519…
09-01 02:38:54	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1953…
08-31 05:46:24	bitcoin above 72k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa8d4f7…
08-31 01:47:06	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x04f217…
08-30 18:57:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x1e969e…
08-30 12:08:18	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c8cab…
08-30 05:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x08cae0…
08-29 18:46:12	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x352d41…
08-29 10:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6edee4…
08-28 12:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd49c03…
08-27 11:06:49	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x56b398…
08-27 04:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2fc657…
08-26 22:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b5a2b…
08-26 19:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x114de1…
08-26 17:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7660b…
08-26 08:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xf96528…
08-25 12:07:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba1ffa…
08-25 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0f3407…
08-24 18:54:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaaafa3…
08-24 11:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f8f72…
08-24 00:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x737163…
08-24 00:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xefcada…
08-14 06:45:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8d0cd2…
08-13 18:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1e1162…
08-13 16:49:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd6f23…
08-13 08:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb9d05…
08-12 23:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x110e8a…
08-12 22:25:55	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9bf10…
08-12 06:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x598b68…
08-12 03:32:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x52a10a…
08-11 23:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x74f56b…
08-11 22:26:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcf4511…
08-11 13:21:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x567e30…
08-10 21:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x298638…
08-10 20:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0a1c0a…
08-10 13:20:00	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x328234…
08-10 11:02:46	bitcoin above 70k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdd33d8…
08-09 12:14:18	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xedb69b…
08-09 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x092658…
08-09 05:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb1ad7…
08-09 02:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4454fa…
08-08 17:43:31	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe53617…
08-08 04:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x42ba1b…
08-08 01:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x537d74…
08-07 20:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x336b07…
08-07 16:56:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x74e64e…
08-07 14:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x251243…
08-07 08:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xce46ca…
08-06 06:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc44ffc…
08-06 03:35:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6946eb…