Realized P&L
-$2.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$229
Hit rate
18.1%
Resolved
40
Trades
58,678
lifetime
Volume
$516.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$217
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
57% 50% +$6
Other
21% 21% $-288
Sports
16% 33% $-2,615
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 1391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -248 $-194 30¢ $-76 +$118 06-16 00:12
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -62 $-66 96¢ $-59 +$7 06-26 19:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,000 $-59 $-40 +$18 05-28 14:46
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -177 $-15 14¢ $-25 $-9 06-07 09:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,000 $-210 $-5 +$204 06-15 20:49
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -333 $-8 $-4 +$4 06-16 11:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +455 $56 $3 $-53 06-13 22:38
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -84 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-13 21:50
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +161 $65 $1 $-64 06-24 13:22
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-14 23:52
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 Yes +18 $0 $0 $-0 06-03 08:28
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 23:07