Realized P&L
-$2.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
18.1%
Resolved
40
Trades
59,747
lifetime
Volume
$548.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$103
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% +$6
Other
23% 21% $-288
Sports
17% 33% $-2,615
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 575 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,000 $-59 $-35 +$23 05-28 14:46
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -177 $-15 11¢ $-20 $-5 06-07 09:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $20 $17 $-3 07-05 12:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,248 $-250 $-17 +$233 07-11 23:58
GHO depeg by December 31? Yes +100 $6 $4 $-2 07-09 20:59
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -333 $-8 $-4 +$3 06-16 11:25
USDC depeg by December 31? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$0 07-18 00:28
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -84 $-4 $-2 +$3 06-13 21:50
USDE depeg by December 31? Yes +13 $1 $1 +$0 07-21 01:52
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-14 23:52
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 23:07