Fake-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-21 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	11	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	06-01 06:19
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-20 03:17
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-18 23:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	3	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 09:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 22	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 13:53
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 09:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 18 2026 50forhigher	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 12:36
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 10c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 11:26
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 14:00
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-03 08:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 13:10
will ethereum reach 2600 april 13 19	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 19:05
Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-03 03:26
open above 3pt5 on april 17 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 15:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-25 14:29
highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 04:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-21 13:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 04:55
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 897 885 432	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 16:47
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 36c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 15:05
will ng dip to 2 20 by april 13 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 00:57
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 25c	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 09:33
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 60 79	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-21 05:19
xrp above 1pt4 on july 5 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	07-04 15:23
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 02:09
highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 80 81f	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-19 12:12
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-19 04:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	2	$27	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	06-02 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:58:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9dc34b…
07-21 02:47:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x51f083…
07-20 03:17:33	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0294d6…
07-19 20:22:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa0bb23…
07-18 23:31:25	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe6680b…
07-18 22:59:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfa4266…
07-18 22:58:46	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x284b9d…
07-18 22:06:21	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1856ca…
07-09 08:20:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x77c05f…
07-04 15:23:52	xrp above 1pt4 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa7f369…
06-08 10:19:36	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x17026b…
06-06 01:16:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe3e5a5…
06-03 13:53:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd63e8a…
06-03 03:26:12	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfca33a…
06-02 08:34:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc32043…
06-02 00:12:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x03f937…
06-01 17:34:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a2581…
06-01 06:19:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60348f…
06-01 06:19:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x899cf7…
06-01 01:52:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x59daa9…
06-01 00:24:04	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x007463…
06-01 00:15:11	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x6322d7…
05-31 23:28:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x618348…
05-31 20:51:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x648342…
05-31 11:49:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x00f0c2…
05-31 10:31:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2db314…
05-31 03:29:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x754dcb…
05-30 23:14:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x44b66d…
05-30 22:47:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc982a…
05-30 15:34:55	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x3dd063…
05-30 13:46:28	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x983efc…
05-30 13:27:55	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbcfd39…
05-30 13:10:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8a0e5d…
05-29 23:10:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79a3b7…
05-29 19:03:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x21ba91…
05-29 16:42:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5b9ba2…
05-29 13:39:27	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8aa239…
05-28 13:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2a0c04…
05-28 05:07:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd6e566…
05-28 04:55:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x990eda…
05-28 04:54:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7f2fb3…
05-28 00:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd4ed4d…
05-27 22:55:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x08c6f2…
05-27 21:07:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcc4831…
05-27 15:05:30	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x530a96…
05-27 14:20:43	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbee34f…
05-27 13:11:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xefeca9…
05-27 13:08:01	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd88d0…
05-26 21:48:39	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8c4b2d…
05-26 19:38:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61addf…
05-26 09:24:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8f0c85…
05-26 06:37:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ab973…
05-25 21:46:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab8b2c…
05-25 16:17:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x38cc45…
05-25 14:35:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc5ba6c…
05-25 14:29:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x79643f…
05-25 10:21:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb7745b…
05-25 04:08:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b518c…
05-22 13:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ce310…
05-21 13:43:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x08eceb…
05-21 09:20:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x14261f…
05-19 21:06:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a2b75…
05-19 12:56:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f5da5…
05-19 04:41:04	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d0d36…
05-18 15:11:55	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x89b2a0…
05-16 19:55:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9cd7d…
05-16 02:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0ef34a…
05-16 01:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x510766…
05-15 09:38:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7222f9…
05-15 05:26:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x414955…
05-15 02:22:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf463f6…
05-09 09:57:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x72acf4…
05-08 21:58:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79284b…
05-07 10:48:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe8f151…
05-06 20:50:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x51812e…
05-03 11:11:40	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2252f4…
05-03 08:23:48	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xddc958…
04-30 13:10:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xde82ab…
04-29 15:41:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a653d…
04-27 13:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x406070…
04-27 07:20:34	Will "Husband, Father, Killer: The Alyssa Pladl Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x93ff93…
04-26 13:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x675368…
04-26 12:48:34	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2306c5…
04-26 09:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x825ac0…
04-26 06:31:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xc955f5…
04-24 22:42:42	lowest temperature in london on april 24 2026 3c	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2a2720…
04-24 22:29:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc346e9…
04-24 21:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x69b980…
04-24 17:26:04	Will Xiaomi have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x361090…
04-24 15:16:14	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8f5aec…
04-24 12:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x22d765…
04-24 10:52:20	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x000afd…
04-24 08:33:24	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $8.00?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x61ead0…
04-24 07:57:28	lowest temperature in london on april 24 2026 3c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f7deb…
04-24 07:38:42	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $8.00?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x73c026…
04-24 06:38:52	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1a9dfc…
04-24 03:09:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 31corhigher	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x586986…
04-24 02:09:14	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7eee66…
04-23 13:28:32	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $8.00?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x008b26…
04-23 04:20:16	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ae74a…