Fake-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

445

Trades

836

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% -$15

Crypto

17% 92% +$1

Politics

4% 86% +$0

Tech

1% 33% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 25?	5	$95	48	48	+0	No	$0	07-25 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	4	$89	44	44	+0	No	$0	07-20 03:19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	11	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	06-01 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-23 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-29 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 28?	6	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:46
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 29?	4	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 10:35
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?	4	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 02:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 21?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:36
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:14
uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	6	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-10 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-25 04:33
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-30 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 25?	3	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 21?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-21 07:04
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-23 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:15
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-27 02:59
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-14 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 12:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	3	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C or higher on July 29?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1d4cf…
10-18 18:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x70a4d8…
10-16 12:12:34	will bitcoin dip to 78k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb21b3c…
10-13 02:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x29ddba…
10-13 00:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc59b01…
10-12 10:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x5ad9f9…
10-12 02:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaa1df3…
10-12 00:23:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbef740…
10-12 00:21:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xea1bc0…
10-11 19:20:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdc1857…
10-11 17:31:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3c20a4…
10-10 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf22e87…
10-07 19:00:01	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69086c…
10-05 09:08:29	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa35ebb…
10-02 02:44:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ceb46…
10-01 20:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3c3e99…
10-01 05:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x569524…
09-28 02:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x110fa1…
09-27 19:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd6b225…
09-23 21:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcf7041…
09-23 00:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d976f…
09-22 23:58:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x988cfa…
09-22 22:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4caf89…
09-22 14:38:42	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x32975b…
09-21 23:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x948a4d…
09-18 16:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6d0459…
09-18 01:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58f047…
09-17 12:33:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x67a23e…
09-13 05:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0c2a6e…
09-11 02:47:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x41f2d8…
09-10 20:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x44bdc6…
09-07 14:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x251067…
09-06 15:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8660a6…
09-06 09:29:24	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbdd149…
09-05 22:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0d9515…
09-05 07:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa5b9f4…
09-05 00:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd3d13b…
09-04 22:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2158b9…
09-04 18:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b107d…
09-04 07:36:34	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x96703b…
09-03 22:59:21	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe0ced6…
09-03 20:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadaa39…
09-03 11:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7b596…
09-03 02:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa060a1…
09-02 17:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x362a04…
09-02 10:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3d730a…
09-02 06:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0dd4ce…
09-01 02:47:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x27fe0a…
09-01 02:29:16	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdafc45…
08-30 23:44:18	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x10b39f…
08-30 17:26:24	Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x96e716…
08-30 15:26:16	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe7af44…
08-30 13:47:27	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7db429…
08-29 17:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xafff18…
08-28 12:19:51	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x932187…
08-28 05:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfddcc8…
08-28 03:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xa8f5e6…
08-27 10:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x916c4d…
08-27 05:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43c1e1…
08-27 03:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x51187f…
08-26 19:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7d99e9…
08-26 10:16:16	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f10ff…
08-26 03:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1729cc…
08-25 12:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc50d4f…
08-25 03:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x29856f…
08-24 20:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe9802c…
08-24 14:25:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xe79493…
08-24 09:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x8cbfec…
08-23 22:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3f7bcd…
08-23 17:13:10	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb86976…
08-14 18:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x24d2f0…
08-14 07:24:09	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe643d2…
08-13 18:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec94e9…
08-13 16:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc2365a…
08-13 11:33:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe2d49d…
08-13 07:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x687d56…
08-13 05:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7073c8…
08-12 21:29:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedc130…
08-12 06:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x51dd9e…
08-12 03:48:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2a5ce1…
08-12 01:29:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c4d05…
08-11 22:18:48	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a578b…
08-11 12:32:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd35cb9…
08-10 22:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa70a51…
08-10 21:06:22	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe13790…
08-10 14:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x84d860…
08-10 12:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7bc5ee…
08-09 09:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2469a…
08-09 06:16:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53e5a0…
08-09 01:52:49	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x05354c…
08-08 17:38:54	will ethereum dip to 1600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e057d…
08-08 04:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x035817…
08-08 04:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xea2517…
08-07 22:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc09405…
08-07 14:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x736d0f…
08-07 14:02:07	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5243ff…
08-06 23:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d69ff…
08-06 04:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf6effe…
08-05 23:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1de88c…
08-05 19:15:18	Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe48c00…