Fake-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-09 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	11	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	06-01 06:19
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-20 03:17
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	08-01 03:14
uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	6	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-30 09:10
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-29 17:42
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-18 23:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	3	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 09:24
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-23 02:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 22	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 13:53
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 15:01
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 09:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 18 2026 50forhigher	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 12:36
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 10c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 11:26
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 14:00
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-03 08:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 13:10
will ethereum reach 2600 april 13 19	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 19:05
Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-03 03:26
open above 3pt5 on april 17 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 15:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-25 14:29
highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 04:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-21 13:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 04:55
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 897 885 432	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 16:47
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-23 23:04
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 36c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 15:05
will ng dip to 2 20 by april 13 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 00:57
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-24 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 01:52:49	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x05354c…
08-08 17:38:54	will ethereum dip to 1600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e057d…
08-07 14:02:07	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5243ff…
08-01 03:14:26	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8cf657…
07-31 15:44:42	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x099963…
07-31 03:49:47	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xa04558…
07-30 19:16:03	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48c699…
07-30 18:26:42	spy closes above 725 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x386192…
07-30 17:08:33	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x54a46c…
07-30 11:23:18	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xeaaaf4…
07-30 10:25:23	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x82512b…
07-30 09:10:02	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2bc9df…
07-30 09:04:08	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x09c8a1…
07-30 08:57:24	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c6baf…
07-30 08:05:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4b660d…
07-30 07:55:51	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f2c01…
07-30 07:55:21	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x587d67…
07-29 20:05:47	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5eedb1…
07-29 17:42:53	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x128e24…
07-29 17:33:17	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x704908…
07-28 01:10:10	xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5a1db4…
07-27 16:20:09	xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83a45d…
07-26 17:08:31	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x58e5b2…
07-26 13:35:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc744c4…
07-26 08:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xf3e82f…
07-26 02:06:09	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x21eeca…
07-25 23:22:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbce82f…
07-25 22:23:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x841718…
07-25 17:16:04	ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c1977…
07-25 14:44:31	ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf934af…
07-25 08:20:55	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03fadb…
07-25 01:23:37	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabed7f…
07-24 05:25:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd9ed49…
07-23 23:04:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xffa5ee…
07-23 22:44:01	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb84b8…
07-23 22:41:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfb5fde…
07-23 16:27:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf0ccd…
07-23 15:01:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa7326c…
07-23 14:53:37	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a4220…
07-23 11:32:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x03f85f…
07-23 04:49:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc968b4…
07-23 02:38:00	solana above 90 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93263e…
07-23 02:29:04	solana above 90 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc8e1e4…
07-23 00:37:21	solana above 90 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1def6…
07-21 02:58:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9dc34b…
07-21 02:47:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x51f083…
07-20 03:17:33	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0294d6…
07-19 20:22:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa0bb23…
07-18 23:31:25	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe6680b…
07-18 22:59:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfa4266…
07-18 22:58:46	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x284b9d…
07-18 22:06:21	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1856ca…
07-09 08:20:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x77c05f…
07-04 15:23:52	xrp above 1pt4 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa7f369…
06-08 10:19:36	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x17026b…
06-06 01:16:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe3e5a5…
06-03 13:53:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd63e8a…
06-03 03:26:12	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfca33a…
06-02 08:34:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc32043…
06-02 00:12:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x03f937…
06-01 17:34:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a2581…
06-01 06:19:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60348f…
06-01 06:19:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x899cf7…
06-01 01:52:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x59daa9…
06-01 00:24:04	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x007463…
06-01 00:15:11	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x6322d7…
05-31 23:28:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x618348…
05-31 20:51:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x648342…
05-31 11:49:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x00f0c2…
05-31 10:31:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2db314…
05-31 03:29:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x754dcb…
05-30 23:14:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x44b66d…
05-30 22:47:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc982a…
05-30 15:34:55	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x3dd063…
05-30 13:46:28	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x983efc…
05-30 13:27:55	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbcfd39…
05-30 13:10:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8a0e5d…
05-29 23:10:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79a3b7…
05-29 19:03:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x21ba91…
05-29 16:42:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5b9ba2…
05-29 13:39:27	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8aa239…
05-28 13:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2a0c04…
05-28 05:07:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd6e566…
05-28 04:55:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x990eda…
05-28 04:54:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7f2fb3…
05-28 00:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd4ed4d…
05-27 22:55:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x08c6f2…
05-27 21:07:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcc4831…
05-27 15:05:30	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x530a96…
05-27 14:20:43	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbee34f…
05-27 13:11:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xefeca9…
05-27 13:08:01	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd88d0…
05-26 21:48:39	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8c4b2d…
05-26 19:38:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61addf…
05-26 09:24:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8f0c85…
05-26 06:37:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ab973…
05-25 21:46:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab8b2c…
05-25 16:17:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x38cc45…
05-25 14:35:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc5ba6c…
05-25 14:29:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x79643f…