Keen-News — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

1,048

Trades

3,031

lifetime

Volume

$43.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-21 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

98% 72% -$1,282

Crypto

2% 63% -$205

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	8	$1.1K	940	940	+0	No	+$796	05-24 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?	9	$621	384	384	+0	No	+$146	06-18 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?	14	$594	324	324	+0	No	+$54	06-18 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?	7	$523	323	323	+0	No	+$121	06-18 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?	4	$469	268	268	+0	No	+$67	06-18 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?	37	$469	269	269	+0	No	+$69	06-17 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?	10	$464	264	264	+0	No	+$63	06-17 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?	27	$457	258	258	+0	No	+$57	06-17 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?	40	$454	254	254	+0	No	+$54	06-17 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?	11	$353	203	203	+0	No	+$53	06-17 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	4	$328	174	174	+0	No	+$19	06-12 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	7	$321	420	0	+420	Yes	-$321	06-17 22:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7?	5	$317	167	167	+0	No	+$16	06-07 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 6?	7	$316	166	166	+0	No	+$16	06-06 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10?	6	$316	166	166	+0	No	+$16	06-10 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	8	$314	164	164	+0	No	+$14	06-07 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14?	7	$301	379	0	+379	No	+$78	06-12 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13?	6	$300	349	0	+349	Yes	-$300	06-12 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 7?	6	$298	155	155	+0	No	+$11	06-07 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10?	7	$289	152	152	+0	No	+$15	06-10 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?	6	$288	148	148	+0	No	+$7	06-06 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?	1	$281	449	0	+449	Yes	-$281	07-07 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?	11	$271	412	0	+412	Yes	-$271	06-17 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 10?	3	$269	136	136	+0	Yes	+$3	05-10 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?	5	$267	154	154	+0	No	+$40	05-23 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14?	5	$254	330	0	+330	No	+$76	06-12 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?	7	$217	267	0	+267	No	+$50	06-18 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 3?	5	$216	116	116	+0	No	+$16	06-03 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 3?	27	$212	112	112	+0	No	+$12	06-03 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on June 6?	6	$210	107	107	+0	No	+$5	06-06 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 18:44:09	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x124e73…
10-21 18:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x64a236…
10-21 18:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xe7588c…
10-21 18:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xab8ed9…
10-21 18:29:11	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa2fd91…
10-21 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc2498b…
10-21 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf409bc…
10-21 16:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7d7751…
10-21 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xab5e3b…
10-21 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf27553…
10-21 11:44:05	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe8f400…
10-21 11:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0xd3da71…
10-21 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xac8233…
10-21 01:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa8b6a7…
10-21 01:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$9	0xc3d830…
10-21 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xa48c26…
10-21 00:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3455cc…
10-21 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xd81224…
10-21 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xc944b9…
10-20 23:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf840a9…
10-20 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$8	0x20d103…
10-20 23:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xf81d6d…
10-20 23:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x0c231d…
10-20 22:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x52b1c6…
10-20 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x02b93e…
10-20 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x994c28…
10-20 22:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x1a7a42…
10-20 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x2a492e…
10-20 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xf1e5f6…
10-20 21:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xddd20d…
10-20 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x448cc7…
10-12 12:14:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xf8ca2e…
10-12 11:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x77d03a…
10-12 11:29:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x41d8fa…
10-12 10:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x66844d…
10-12 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x267c21…
10-12 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x398cda…
10-12 09:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6051b0…
10-12 05:14:15	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xc454bc…
10-12 05:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x30422a…
10-12 03:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbd8a0f…
10-12 02:44:20	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x209f0c…
10-12 02:44:05	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x031528…
10-12 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb4c7ce…
10-12 01:59:08	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xde389d…
10-11 23:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x15e9b2…
10-11 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdc2f8d…
10-11 16:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed11f2…
10-11 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd47e3e…
10-11 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3b2aba…
10-11 13:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8fbf81…
10-11 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb97336…
10-11 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x421e21…
10-08 09:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x0f4026…
10-08 09:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0x3fdbb9…
10-08 05:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	324	6¢	$21	0x3e8a3d…
10-08 05:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	77	34¢	$26	0x83d404…
10-08 02:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	348	6¢	$21	0xf93cd8…
10-04 20:02:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x571c03…
10-04 19:47:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x066d47…
10-04 19:31:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	68¢	$26	0x85350b…
10-04 19:01:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x853b94…
10-04 18:00:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xffd9c4…
10-04 17:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x33473a…
10-04 17:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x7d5cf7…
10-04 17:17:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0xc8af17…
10-04 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x939af0…
10-04 16:15:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0xd8a57a…
10-04 16:03:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x37095a…
10-04 14:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2587cf…
10-04 13:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xfceff0…
10-04 13:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf0bc0b…
10-04 13:31:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x8a04d8…
10-04 13:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x0bd341…
10-04 10:02:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x46f03f…
10-03 22:04:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xf3a520…
10-03 19:54:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x29deab…
10-03 19:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xd1a0f1…
10-03 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xea736f…
10-03 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xfe315f…
10-03 17:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x11a575…
09-30 23:43:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	196	3¢	$6	0x7be1d6…
09-30 20:57:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0x2fb41a…
09-30 20:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x26e3ef…
09-26 23:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xc9998e…
09-26 23:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4cd258…
09-26 23:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x23b37e…
09-26 23:16:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xc86927…
09-26 23:14:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x95b07a…
09-26 22:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x341dbf…
09-26 22:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x976877…
09-26 22:53:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xb8099f…
09-26 22:52:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x544fd9…
09-26 22:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x109f12…
09-26 22:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x4c9454…
09-26 22:51:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x46c740…
09-26 22:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x1febec…
09-26 22:47:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xbdb9f3…
09-26 22:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xd673b4…
09-26 21:43:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x5776fc…