Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$110,617
Trades
9,692
Unique wallets
764
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-21 00:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.4¢
(top1%: 70% YES on $47.9K
vs crowd: 57% YES on $108.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 124 | $24.0K | $39.2K | $15.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 123 | $14.5K | $4.9K | +$9.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 184 | $12.3K | $2.1K | +$10.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 333 | $11.0K | $280 | +$10.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 139 | $33.7K | $14.2K | +$19.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 201 | $18.0K | $2.8K | +$15.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 21 | $121 | $49 | +$72 |
| Median | 121 | $165 | $104 | +$60 |
| Below median | 121 | $1.2K | $643 | +$559 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 42 | $1.4K | $603 | +$753 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 66 | $4.0K | $2.4K | +$1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 53 | $3.1K | $25.8K | $22.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x90e3…34ad | Down | +23,708 | $11,410 | $11,410 | 324 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e8…e002 | Down | +15,379 | $7,031 | $7,031 | 209 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Down | +6,102 | $2,391 | $2,391 | 122 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +4,732 | $1,471 | $1,471 | 360 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +4,682 | $1,632 | $1,632 | 319 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x10d5…5388 | Down | +4,515 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 32 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | +3,564 | $2,092 | $2,092 | 41 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +3,501 | $3,446 | $3,446 | 8 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Good-Ptarmigan 0xb0c0…e88f | Up | +2,783 | $1,468 | $1,468 | 33 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +2,531 | $1,046 | $1,046 | 89 | 10-21 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +2,228 | $776 | $1,022 | 20 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x943c…77c2 | Up | +2,117 | $1,411 | $1,411 | 16 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +2,107 | $792 | $792 | 74 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c6…b878 | Up | +1,775 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 24 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a98…ff22 | Up | +1,673 | $910 | $910 | 116 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +1,659 | $1,640 | $1,640 | 103 | 10-21 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcda…eecc | Up | +1,642 | $872 | $872 | 21 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | +1,585 | $938 | $938 | 76 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Down | +1,585 | $609 | $609 | 128 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +1,581 | $1,029 | $1,711 | 7 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Up | +1,452 | $980 | $980 | 106 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Up | +1,418 | $965 | $965 | 37 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Sardonic-Presidency 0x22a4…63eb | Up | +1,350 | $946 | $946 | 31 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Up | +1,310 | $992 | $992 | 14 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Electric-Ranger 0x8b82…edb2 | Down | +1,253 | $689 | $689 | 21 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | +1,200 | $36 | $36 | 38 | 10-21 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | +1,171 | $470 | $470 | 113 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Up | +1,161 | $653 | $653 | 109 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Up | +1,123 | $809 | $809 | 129 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Spotted-Termination 0xc389…d228 | Up | +1,035 | $449 | $449 | 101 | 10-21 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +1,016 | $544 | $544 | 60 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xba18…b6f8 | Up | +1,009 | $474 | $474 | 4 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | Up | +998 | $668 | $668 | 16 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Down | +991 | $423 | $423 | 32 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Up | +975 | $545 | $545 | 26 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +956 | $426 | $426 | 47 | 10-21 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +940 | $668 | $668 | 66 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xa928…8a33 | Up | +908 | $533 | $533 | 7 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a56…08f1 | Up | +884 | $412 | $412 | 4 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1408…afbf | Up | +877 | $430 | $430 | 74 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x954b…c0e0 | Up | +818 | $491 | $491 | 21 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +815 | $427 | $427 | 51 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2085…f881 | Up | +804 | $472 | $472 | 18 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a4c…98d0 | Up | +801 | $542 | $542 | 20 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xabe3…270f | Up | +800 | $476 | $476 | 16 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x31d7…3347 | Up | +800 | $474 | $474 | 17 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Down | +765 | $428 | $428 | 70 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Down | +750 | $233 | $233 | 30 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | +733 | $357 | $379 | 84 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +714 | $325 | $325 | 107 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | +708 | $319 | $319 | 101 | 10-21 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a56…08f1 | Down | +663 | $29 | $29 | 11 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Down | +658 | $413 | $413 | 16 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | +635 | $302 | $302 | 90 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +635 | $318 | $318 | 95 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Down | +633 | $301 | $301 | 36 | 10-21 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4281…1a5a | Down | +625 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Several-Leopard 0x52f0…0699 | Down | +600 | $414 | $414 | 16 | 10-21 00:12 |
| Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | +585 | $243 | $243 | 67 | 10-21 00:13 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +580 | $188 | $188 | 17 | 10-21 00:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 00:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xc2a5…d2ae | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfcd8c5… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x345b03… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xcd65…36fc | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7f4b2b… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…f47a | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70485f… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7f4b2b… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfcd8c5… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | (anonymous) 0x93e0…c554 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x345b03… |
| 10-21 00:15:11 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70485f… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x997d…50de | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1703b4… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1703b4… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x664b86… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | (anonymous) 0xacd1…6429 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb36cc6… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb36cc6… |
| 10-21 00:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a72…0578 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x664b86… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x985a3b… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc0d4b6… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xa540…4c75 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x152625… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0x0247…35ce | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x17a599… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…babe | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xa392bd… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xa392bd… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x17a599… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xf5af…60d2 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x985a3b… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x152625… |
| 10-21 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf34…a3bd | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc0d4b6… |
| 10-21 00:15:06 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70aa85… |
| 10-21 00:15:06 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x31d51f… |
| 10-21 00:15:06 | (anonymous) 0xa57a…e692 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70aa85… |
| 10-21 00:15:06 | (anonymous) 0x9d3b…ef66 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x31d51f… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x9570…7c5f | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3a27f7… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3a27f7… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x37ad7f… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x54d64d… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x929970… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x73f8…2c5c | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x54d64d… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x223a…d566 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x37ad7f… |
| 10-21 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xa9a9…b318 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x929970… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x61b4…d1a9 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x988cdd… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcaa383… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5d788a… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x988cdd… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0xc028…f7f4 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5d788a… |
| 10-21 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x635e…5567 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcaa383… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd8c292… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8a3…db13 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaf1ab8… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaf1ab8… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xfff6…37ef | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x4d9be8… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xed2e82… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x7f35…0398 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd8c292… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x658b…7a97 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xed2e82… |
| 10-21 00:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x4d9be8… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xecca…e018 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x32915e… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xd7ee…f607 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x24d0b3… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x32915e… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x8233…176b | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xf54715… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x24d0b3… |
| 10-21 00:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xf54715… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5176bc… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x08bfd6… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2185dc… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xcb9d…3d7d | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2185dc… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x42c4…1c95 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x08bfd6… |
| 10-21 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x3de3…1b13 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5176bc… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xcbec…8482 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5af46f… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1da648… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x5399…a947 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc3026e… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5af46f… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc3026e… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x4e41…5bb3 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1da648… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaac774… |
| 10-21 00:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x7210…76da | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaac774… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x25d7…5adb | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x513505… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xbe09…b886 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb91546… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70ba93… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x513505… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x2076…93c6 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x70ba93… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x398866… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb91546… |
| 10-21 00:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x5272…470d | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x398866… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1a4ab5… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xa322…e233 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1a4ab5… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7785d4… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0x84f8…4308 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7785d4… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xc9ed…4221 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x54b1cc… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x54b1cc… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0d0dc8… |
| 10-21 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xe117…106c | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0d0dc8… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2278f7… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xc9eb…c691 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcb54a2… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x097d…5e31 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x52ac0f… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x72fa…f3b3 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2278f7… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x52ac0f… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb978…3d7b | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7c3042… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcb54a2… |
| 10-21 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7c3042… |
| 10-21 00:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe91f4a… |
| 10-21 00:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x5782…411c | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe91f4a… |
| 10-21 00:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe185a4… |
| 10-21 00:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x7e13…ef08 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe185a4… |
| 10-21 00:14:50 | (anonymous) 0x4f21…dc84 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x52f196… |
| 10-21 00:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xe82d…2fb5 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x018c66… |