Sad-Nation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

8,758

Trades

69,615

lifetime

Volume

$1.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-25 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 51% +$91,457

Sports

7% 55% +$882

Other

2% 23% +$19

Politics

0% 28% +$60

Tech

0% 10% -$24

Pop-Culture

0% 5% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 4436 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes		-63	-$20	19¢	$-12	+$8	06-14 09:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-35	-$18	6¢	$-2	+$16	06-14 09:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	87	$6.5K	10,870	575	+10,294	Up	+$609	09-11 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	60	$6.2K	13,076	0	+13,076	Up	-$1,175	09-12 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	34	$5.6K	12,196	0	+12,196	Up	+$2,630	09-09 01:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 22:45 UTC	109	$5.5K	5,548	2,534	+3,014	Up	+$294	08-27 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:40 UTC	32	$5.4K	3,627	3,606	+21	Up	+$1,436	09-28 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	73	$5.2K	11,262	0	+11,262	Up	-$1,080	09-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	78	$5.1K	3,771	3,768	+2	Up	+$690	09-27 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	106	$5.1K	9,830	0	+9,830	Up	-$1,924	09-05 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	75	$4.8K	9,528	0	+9,528	Up	+$1,502	09-05 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	88	$4.4K	9,836	0	+9,836	Down	-$1,291	09-08 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:55 UTC	202	$4.0K	7,493	0	+7,493	Up	-$41	09-29 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	65	$3.8K	7,488	0	+7,488	Down	+$1,676	10-11 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 22:30 UTC	140	$3.8K	3,455	1,981	+1,474	Up	+$1,065	08-27 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	168	$3.6K	6,629	0	+6,629	Down	-$203	09-29 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:25 UTC	167	$3.5K	6,627	0	+6,627	Up	-$207	09-24 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC	41	$3.5K	6,110	0	+6,110	Up	+$2,624	09-27 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:15 UTC	143	$3.4K	6,817	0	+6,817	Up	+$104	09-24 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	266	$3.4K	5,190	575	+4,615	Up	-$2,215	10-03 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	129	$3.2K	5,741	0	+5,741	Down	-$252	09-12 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	115	$3.2K	6,234	0	+6,234	Up	+$208	09-12 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	148	$3.1K	6,419	0	+6,419	Up	-$317	09-12 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	44	$3.1K	7,083	0	+7,083	Up	-$3,072	10-09 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	104	$3.0K	6,095	0	+6,095	Down	+$159	09-12 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	136	$3.0K	5,255	35	+5,220	Down	-$2,950	10-03 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:15 UTC	108	$3.0K	2,898	1,498	+1,400	Down	-$20	08-27 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	57	$2.9K	5,064	620	+4,443	Up	-$616	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	136	$2.9K	5,797	0	+5,797	Down	-$34	09-29 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:55 UTC	143	$2.9K	5,662	0	+5,662	Up	+$414	09-18 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	83	$2.9K	5,399	0	+5,399	Down	-$69	09-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	80	$2.9K	5,609	1,005	+4,604	Up	+$3,498	09-11 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	74¢	$147	0xdd1c62…
10-25 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	66¢	$131	0x57e4ec…
10-25 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x31596c…
10-25 21:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x6690ea…
10-25 21:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xbb2b7b…
10-25 21:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	46¢	$93	0xf1de09…
10-25 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xc04a2a…
10-25 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xb1b0a8…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd636b2…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xd56cb0…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xd0ec64…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xaa8fe3…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8dfa2a…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x777d45…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$17	0x202c85…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0e7cf3…
10-25 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x069945…
10-25 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x775fc2…
10-25 21:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0f61a5…
10-25 21:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x6cbfd5…
10-25 21:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x3858d4…
10-25 21:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x092d4c…
10-25 21:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	181	73¢	$132	0x672bb0…
10-25 21:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xac5806…
10-25 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	92	72¢	$66	0xff1722…
10-25 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	71¢	$41	0xc07ef1…
10-25 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x0a7807…
10-25 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	132	72¢	$95	0x6a482e…
10-25 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	68	72¢	$49	0x1963ce…
10-25 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x138d37…
10-25 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	72¢	$103	0xac3f63…
10-25 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x3a03b2…
10-25 21:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xd93357…
10-25 21:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	71¢	$61	0x6cbf2b…
10-25 21:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	75¢	$113	0x15c265…
10-25 21:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x520230…
10-25 21:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xfb18cd…
10-25 21:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	78¢	$58	0x3f451d…
10-25 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x460795…
10-25 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	75¢	$28	0x3ee25c…
10-25 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xcecf4e…
10-25 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x955582…
10-25 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x95406a…
10-25 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x52ad6d…
10-25 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	133	80¢	$107	0x7e68b7…
10-25 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x405ff8…
10-25 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x108748…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0xcdf29d…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x85a96e…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x3b9db7…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x39e1c6…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x14ff58…
10-25 21:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x119819…
10-25 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0xba26da…
10-25 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	152	65¢	$98	0x84beb3…
10-25 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x62d681…
10-25 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	187	71¢	$133	0x01242c…
10-25 21:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xe89cf2…
10-25 21:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	78¢	$65	0xdd4941…
10-25 21:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0x15e8aa…
10-25 21:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x136b52…
10-25 21:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	93	79¢	$74	0xa1f278…
10-25 21:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x1cff9c…
10-25 21:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0xe649bd…
10-25 21:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	74¢	$22	0x74afa5…
10-25 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xb23e6f…
10-25 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	155	69¢	$107	0x36e64b…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0xb6cf3f…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x69108c…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	144	80¢	$115	0x5f94c6…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x510aa0…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x49eed1…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	118	77¢	$91	0x343501…
10-25 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x0bc40b…
10-25 21:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xa39d6c…
10-25 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xf328cb…
10-25 21:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x28ccd7…
10-25 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$85	0x370b19…
10-25 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xe4a566…
10-25 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x0fcfc0…
10-25 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	66¢	$41	0xf5d151…
10-25 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0x29f3bf…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0xe39811…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0xc49659…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc46d94…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xba5a12…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x96b989…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x7aa275…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	85	80¢	$68	0x53309e…
10-25 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x8e6341…
10-25 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	68¢	$135	0x3c7b14…
10-25 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x154880…
10-25 20:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	35¢	$69	0x39e76d…
10-25 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xc82659…
10-25 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa952bb…
10-25 20:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x5e7029…
10-25 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0xf41870…
10-25 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	352	83¢	$292	0x1cb36e…
10-25 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	75¢	$52	0xb0db46…
10-25 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0x700f85…