Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

171

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$414

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 41% +$51

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-15	-$13	82¢	$-12	+$1	09-30 07:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-15	-$2	18¢	$-3	-$1	09-30 07:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$15	0	30	-30	open	—	09-30 07:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$14	0	28	-28	No	$0	08-31 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$12	10-06 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa73d2f…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x61ea0a…
10-23 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcb0771…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd6790f…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x543891…
10-22 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x793a14…
10-22 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x275afc…
10-22 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x001424…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb59245…
10-22 14:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x729bab…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6edc98…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xafa678…
10-22 08:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdf4a98…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x648765…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x079337…
10-22 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x93c23c…
10-22 03:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcc8a6c…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cefb1…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc8e7bd…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6a1b6…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x51684c…
10-21 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x093371…
10-21 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6759b6…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d1be8…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc0c381…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xabeec1…
10-21 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcf0bc1…
10-21 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x267fdd…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe4180c…
10-21 01:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3240b6…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x30302e…
10-21 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3a27f7…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3508ee…
10-20 20:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x64344a…
10-20 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x987c47…
10-20 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfba438…
10-20 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x71769e…
10-20 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe7dac5…
10-20 10:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48d123…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x513375…
10-20 04:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8bde6a…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x340ee2…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c64c5…
10-19 23:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x704977…
10-19 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x620641…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xed2ed5…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x87c8df…
10-19 14:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x205388…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8432b8…
10-19 13:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeb7f21…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x770b24…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x98627f…
10-19 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe1e7b1…
10-19 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf72bb…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x756e96…
10-18 18:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9793ee…
10-18 18:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3b5ba8…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7e2acf…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99c33a…
10-18 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x15bac1…
10-18 11:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x48cf7e…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0b129c…
10-18 04:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a1d7b…
10-18 03:48:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc4f749…
10-18 03:08:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1c8eb3…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4da7db…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3b5d8f…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe59d5f…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x79d2fa…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f9931…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b7917…
10-17 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x24e4ea…
10-17 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x937d40…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x60563c…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x293251…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4417bb…
10-17 14:57:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe4fa82…
10-17 13:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9f94ba…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5e94f8…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x659e3a…
10-17 12:00:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb379e5…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07f4e6…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d14e8…
10-17 10:24:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2b43f7…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xea8aa0…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf84c3a…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x395c64…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf8672c…
10-16 20:14:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9a82de…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x10e4c4…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd7d4f0…
10-16 12:40:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x871359…
10-16 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8ce059…
10-16 00:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa297f2…
10-16 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a6654…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe87056…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5ece4b…
10-15 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x818845…
10-15 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b58ca…
10-15 12:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8cdc76…