Noisy-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$571

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

294

Trades

209,714

lifetime

Volume

$1.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-07 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$571

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 6023 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	252	$2.5K	5,381	+5,381	open	—	04-30 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	265	$2.5K	4,990	+4,990	open	—	05-03 14:14
btc updown 15m 1782734400	287	$2.4K	4,964	+4,964	open	—	06-29 12:09
btc updown 15m 1776867300	202	$2.4K	4,865	+4,865	open	—	04-22 14:29
btc updown 15m 1782985500	239	$2.3K	4,630	+4,630	open	—	07-02 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	191	$2.3K	4,647	+4,647	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	252	$2.3K	4,808	+4,808	open	—	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	154	$2.3K	4,601	+4,601	Down	+$69	05-05 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	241	$2.3K	4,534	+4,534	open	—	05-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	151	$2.3K	4,299	+4,299	Up	$-151	05-05 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	219	$2.3K	4,998	+4,998	open	—	05-01 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	178	$2.2K	4,438	+4,438	Down	$-207	05-05 06:44
btc updown 15m 1780676100	238	$2.2K	4,570	+4,570	open	—	06-05 16:29
btc updown 15m 1781093700	231	$2.1K	4,343	+4,343	open	—	06-10 12:29
btc updown 15m 1780565400	297	$2.1K	4,493	+4,493	open	—	06-04 09:44
btc updown 15m 1777029300	226	$2.1K	4,304	+4,304	open	—	04-24 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	140	$2.0K	4,124	+4,124	open	—	05-04 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	155	$2.0K	4,024	+4,024	Down	$-213	05-05 07:44
btc updown 15m 1782724500	260	$2.0K	3,924	+3,924	open	—	06-29 09:29
btc updown 15m 1780903800	181	$2.0K	3,868	+3,868	open	—	06-08 07:43
btc updown 15m 1782397800	229	$2.0K	4,469	+4,469	open	—	06-25 14:44
btc updown 15m 1780945200	185	$2.0K	4,101	+4,101	open	—	06-08 19:14
btc updown 15m 1776855600	204	$2.0K	4,091	+4,091	open	—	04-22 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	206	$2.0K	4,081	+4,081	Down	$-2	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	168	$2.0K	4,171	+4,171	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	218	$1.9K	3,993	+3,993	Up	+$218	05-05 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	179	$1.9K	4,333	+4,333	open	—	04-27 12:44
btc updown 15m 1783431000	250	$1.9K	3,675	+3,675	open	—	07-07 13:44
btc updown 15m 1782314100	198	$1.9K	3,764	+3,764	open	—	06-24 15:29
btc updown 15m 1782740700	229	$1.9K	3,810	+3,810	open	—	06-29 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 22:59:17	btc updown 5m 1783464900	Up	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x578fa5…
07-07 22:58:14	btc updown 5m 1783464900	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xa30a78…
07-07 22:58:14	btc updown 5m 1783464900	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x1c204e…
07-07 22:57:22	btc updown 5m 1783464900	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x3c9ce0…
07-07 22:55:05	btc updown 5m 1783464900	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x94b278…
07-07 22:54:34	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2174ca…
07-07 22:54:31	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc9f6b4…
07-07 22:54:07	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x902e0a…
07-07 22:54:07	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x7545d8…
07-07 22:53:50	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc88457…
07-07 22:53:50	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x807fd5…
07-07 22:53:43	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x86d635…
07-07 22:53:43	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x5bb1f6…
07-07 22:53:26	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xc1b3d8…
07-07 22:53:25	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Down	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xd3b267…
07-07 22:52:43	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6ef9b4…
07-07 22:52:43	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x54abff…
07-07 22:50:37	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0b0870…
07-07 22:50:05	btc updown 5m 1783464600	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x0397e0…
07-07 22:49:16	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2e0f27…
07-07 22:49:16	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x11e104…
07-07 22:48:53	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc85fab…
07-07 22:48:53	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4c25d2…
07-07 22:48:52	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3e667c…
07-07 22:48:28	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2641d2…
07-07 22:48:20	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xf3ad6b…
07-07 22:47:59	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xc3e5b3…
07-07 22:47:59	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x60da69…
07-07 22:44:40	btc updown 5m 1783464000	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x674335…
07-07 22:44:23	btc updown 5m 1783464000	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xa73930…
07-07 22:44:07	btc updown 5m 1783464000	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x1405dc…
07-07 22:42:20	btc updown 5m 1783464000	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd7ab0b…
07-07 22:42:20	btc updown 5m 1783464000	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x359586…
07-07 22:38:23	btc updown 5m 1783463700	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7f9188…
07-07 22:38:22	btc updown 5m 1783463700	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x0d040d…
07-07 22:38:20	btc updown 5m 1783463700	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdbe487…
07-07 22:37:34	btc updown 5m 1783463700	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xff1be6…
07-07 22:37:34	btc updown 5m 1783463700	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7c477b…
07-07 22:34:20	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe1f485…
07-07 22:34:19	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xcca80e…
07-07 22:34:14	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x72def6…
07-07 22:34:14	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x557fac…
07-07 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf93f7e…
07-07 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x622e54…
07-07 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x34d475…
07-07 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x33413b…
07-07 22:33:25	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf8940e…
07-07 22:33:25	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x538fa5…
07-07 22:33:23	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xbb5c50…
07-07 22:30:44	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x5a665a…
07-07 22:30:43	btc updown 5m 1783463400	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x94528e…
07-07 22:29:46	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x58311d…
07-07 22:29:46	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x20574a…
07-07 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe11cbd…
07-07 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xad03b5…
07-07 22:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf02976…
07-07 22:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd00689…
07-07 22:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xcb1739…
07-07 22:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xae2b48…
07-07 22:28:59	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xe98066…
07-07 22:28:59	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x1a1d4e…
07-07 22:28:58	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x4e57db…
07-07 22:25:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0f98d1…
07-07 22:25:40	btc updown 5m 1783463100	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0f2577…
07-07 22:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe30f44…
07-07 22:24:16	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x63f72b…
07-07 22:23:58	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb6ef45…
07-07 22:23:58	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb147af…
07-07 22:23:55	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x795259…
07-07 22:23:55	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x0ba346…
07-07 22:23:52	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x536b6c…
07-07 22:23:44	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xf7439f…
07-07 22:23:44	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa831df…
07-07 22:23:44	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x43c01d…
07-07 22:23:43	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x9de376…
07-07 22:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4c8c96…
07-07 22:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x32f353…
07-07 22:23:16	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x932c25…
07-07 22:23:08	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x50a790…
07-07 22:22:55	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x674582…
07-07 22:22:55	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x16d493…
07-07 22:22:53	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0b5665…
07-07 22:22:31	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xaaa0ab…
07-07 22:22:05	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xe7c317…
07-07 22:21:26	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xa48fec…
07-07 22:21:26	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x181147…
07-07 22:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x929902…
07-07 22:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x41f07e…
07-07 22:20:16	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1d6b9d…
07-07 22:16:22	btc updown 5m 1783462500	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9711f5…
07-07 22:08:44	btc updown 5m 1783461900	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9b84dc…
07-07 22:07:55	btc updown 5m 1783461900	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xae441c…
07-07 22:07:17	btc updown 5m 1783461900	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x2930f9…
07-07 22:05:23	btc updown 5m 1783461900	Up	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x120362…
07-07 22:03:05	btc updown 5m 1783461600	Up	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xe89742…
07-07 22:02:50	btc updown 5m 1783461600	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x3d91fa…
07-07 21:59:38	btc updown 5m 1783461300	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x71bdc1…
07-07 21:59:38	btc updown 5m 1783461300	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x2e970c…
07-07 21:59:07	btc updown 5m 1783461300	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xccd32e…
07-07 21:59:05	btc updown 5m 1783461300	Down	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0xe63d82…