Noisy-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$88

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

39,038

Trades

1,413,399

lifetime

Volume

$14.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$188

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-29 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$79,910

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 27163 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	—	+190	$100	99¢	$188	+$88	10-29 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	818	$16.6K	33,334	+33,334	Up	+$368	09-12 04:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	1,364	$12.7K	26,192	+26,192	Up	+$486	10-17 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	854	$11.6K	23,571	+23,571	Down	-$92	09-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	857	$10.9K	22,114	+22,114	Down	+$258	09-12 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	522	$9.3K	18,904	+18,904	Up	+$95	09-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 06:45 UTC	756	$9.2K	18,327	+18,327	Up	+$107	08-19 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1,024	$8.9K	18,610	+18,610	Up	+$94	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	668	$8.8K	17,823	+17,823	Up	-$191	09-12 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	522	$8.6K	17,881	+17,881	Down	+$13	09-08 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 04:30 UTC	847	$8.5K	17,870	+17,870	Up	+$558	09-14 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:45 UTC	664	$8.5K	17,651	+17,651	Up	-$112	08-24 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1,096	$8.4K	17,269	+17,269	Up	+$297	10-03 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	696	$8.1K	16,312	+16,312	Down	-$37	10-16 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	621	$8.1K	17,342	+17,342	Up	+$142	08-19 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	919	$7.9K	16,096	+16,096	Up	+$125	10-04 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 04:15 UTC	480	$7.8K	16,206	+16,206	Down	+$84	08-25 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1,164	$7.7K	16,660	+16,660	Up	-$160	10-07 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	681	$7.5K	15,515	+15,515	Down	+$460	09-11 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	438	$7.4K	14,896	+14,896	Up	-$225	09-24 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	879	$7.4K	15,077	+15,077	Down	+$37	10-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	553	$7.3K	15,142	+15,142	Up	-$132	09-11 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	749	$7.2K	14,411	+14,411	Down	-$36	08-28 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	693	$7.1K	15,118	+15,118	Up	-$188	10-23 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	412	$7.0K	14,143	+14,143	Up	-$261	09-09 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	513	$6.9K	14,295	+14,295	Down	-$188	09-11 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	537	$6.8K	13,623	+13,623	Up	-$233	09-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 23:45 UTC	304	$6.7K	13,466	+13,466	Down	+$37	09-24 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	476	$6.6K	13,420	+13,420	Down	+$429	09-12 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	514	$6.6K	13,530	+13,530	Up	-$218	09-12 03:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	612	$6.5K	13,385	+13,385	Up	-$38	08-26 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x55095b…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6500da…
10-29 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x7afc8f…
10-29 16:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x784785…
10-29 16:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x11de59…
10-29 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0xdba8d2…
10-29 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x280ee3…
10-29 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfaec50…
10-29 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x68b926…
10-29 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x57480c…
10-29 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x04a6b1…
10-29 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x5a38ad…
10-29 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x38702e…
10-29 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x04521e…
10-29 16:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x876751…
10-29 16:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x56e129…
10-29 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaf6a84…
10-29 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x900d0f…
10-29 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x783d52…
10-29 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x104045…
10-29 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x4951f3…
10-29 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x8d6fba…
10-29 16:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x522531…
10-29 16:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xa48548…
10-29 16:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x8e4225…
10-29 16:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x39cd88…
10-29 16:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xda2ec8…
10-29 16:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf58ae5…
10-29 16:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x67769c…
10-29 16:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f7f94…
10-29 16:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5818ef…
10-29 16:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x1c2906…
10-29 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe06791…
10-29 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xb36140…
10-29 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x78c6c7…
10-29 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xe10338…
10-29 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc0675e…
10-29 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x52edb3…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xec911b…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xd020ea…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc82bf0…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc7b162…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb90ae4…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x122576…
10-29 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xad43d8…
10-29 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x66bd47…
10-29 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0x5cc23a…
10-29 16:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xbe2e90…
10-29 16:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x573005…
10-29 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xbf9775…
10-29 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xb2e0f8…
10-29 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x7a786e…
10-29 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x68e3f5…
10-29 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x5d4d7d…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xee3685…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xd3688a…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd08d60…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	40¢	$27	0x8a766a…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x0f3050…
10-29 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xb1cbb0…
10-29 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa494a2…
10-29 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x5f0879…
10-29 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x0c0715…
10-29 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x0816e4…
10-29 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9b7475…
10-29 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x39da36…
10-29 16:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x73f45e…
10-29 16:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x2689e4…
10-29 16:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1351c3…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xabe401…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x4f27ef…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x2d99da…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x24003c…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe64b40…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe4b10e…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0xd5c368…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd3dadb…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xb1594b…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa056e6…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x9b65ed…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9840ab…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x824a33…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x75bbd7…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7233f4…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x64017c…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5e0eee…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x5af706…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x43d7b7…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x405a63…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2871af…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x274170…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2483d5…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x21df1c…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x153743…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x1161d4…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x0b0ca1…
10-29 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbc3aec…
10-29 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb721c1…
10-29 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x2067da…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xed9eec…