Noisy-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$571

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

294

Trades

155,886

lifetime

Volume

$1.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-15 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$571

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 5777 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	252	$2.5K	5,381	+5,381	open	—	04-30 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	265	$2.5K	4,990	+4,990	open	—	05-03 14:14
btc updown 15m 1776867300	202	$2.4K	4,865	+4,865	open	—	04-22 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	191	$2.3K	4,647	+4,647	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	252	$2.3K	4,808	+4,808	open	—	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	154	$2.3K	4,601	+4,601	Down	+$69	05-05 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	241	$2.3K	4,534	+4,534	open	—	05-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	151	$2.3K	4,299	+4,299	Up	$-151	05-05 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	219	$2.3K	4,998	+4,998	open	—	05-01 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	178	$2.2K	4,438	+4,438	Down	$-207	05-05 06:44
btc updown 15m 1780676100	238	$2.2K	4,570	+4,570	open	—	06-05 16:29
btc updown 15m 1781093700	231	$2.1K	4,343	+4,343	open	—	06-10 12:29
btc updown 15m 1780565400	297	$2.1K	4,493	+4,493	open	—	06-04 09:44
btc updown 15m 1777029300	226	$2.1K	4,304	+4,304	open	—	04-24 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	140	$2.0K	4,124	+4,124	open	—	05-04 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	155	$2.0K	4,024	+4,024	Down	$-213	05-05 07:44
btc updown 15m 1780903800	181	$2.0K	3,868	+3,868	open	—	06-08 07:43
btc updown 15m 1780945200	185	$2.0K	4,101	+4,101	open	—	06-08 19:14
btc updown 15m 1776855600	204	$2.0K	4,091	+4,091	open	—	04-22 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	206	$2.0K	4,081	+4,081	Down	$-2	05-05 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	168	$2.0K	4,171	+4,171	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	218	$1.9K	3,993	+3,993	Up	+$218	05-05 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	179	$1.9K	4,333	+4,333	open	—	04-27 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	200	$1.9K	3,823	+3,823	open	—	06-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	334	$1.9K	3,754	+3,754	open	—	06-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	146	$1.9K	3,768	+3,768	open	—	05-04 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	200	$1.9K	3,854	+3,854	open	—	04-30 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	210	$1.9K	4,350	+4,350	open	—	04-29 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	209	$1.9K	3,852	+3,852	open	—	04-25 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	249	$1.9K	3,824	+3,824	open	—	04-25 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:14:43	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x19083d…
06-15 18:14:37	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4b22a7…
06-15 18:14:31	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x30205b…
06-15 18:14:28	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x20c5ea…
06-15 18:14:19	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x6a84ea…
06-15 18:14:16	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe69a21…
06-15 18:14:06	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa2ba8c…
06-15 18:14:00	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xdf70ac…
06-15 18:14:00	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x019cb5…
06-15 18:13:46	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xa9819b…
06-15 18:13:46	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x60a117…
06-15 18:13:46	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x2ffe74…
06-15 18:13:43	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3542df…
06-15 18:13:37	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xf90ae9…
06-15 18:13:36	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xfa89fc…
06-15 18:13:31	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x5e1b30…
06-15 18:12:57	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x202411…
06-15 18:12:52	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x518215…
06-15 18:12:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe2889c…
06-15 18:12:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xe04ff5…
06-15 18:12:16	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9203c4…
06-15 18:12:09	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xd7fd4a…
06-15 18:12:04	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xca4dba…
06-15 18:11:58	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xedf0cc…
06-15 18:11:58	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x80ea02…
06-15 18:11:46	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xaa3285…
06-15 18:11:36	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbcb946…
06-15 18:11:34	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3e7572…
06-15 18:11:28	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x58b704…
06-15 18:11:27	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xc22ed6…
06-15 18:10:12	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa64763…
06-15 18:10:07	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x15cb8b…
06-15 18:09:52	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x4699d5…
06-15 18:09:39	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x8eb854…
06-15 18:09:34	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa77cc9…
06-15 18:09:34	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xa3b40f…
06-15 18:09:34	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x7ad6ed…
06-15 18:09:34	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x149247…
06-15 18:09:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xe90755…
06-15 18:09:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xd0e7e5…
06-15 18:09:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb0cad5…
06-15 18:09:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x9ff993…
06-15 18:09:33	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x145f4f…
06-15 18:09:30	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x715e72…
06-15 18:09:27	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xbe961f…
06-15 18:09:27	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x51159e…
06-15 18:09:27	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2a6091…
06-15 18:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd67342…
06-15 18:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x712f58…
06-15 18:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x60649e…
06-15 18:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2db0e3…
06-15 18:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x267d32…
06-15 18:09:07	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x880352…
06-15 18:08:03	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x17701c…
06-15 18:07:15	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x40a29c…
06-15 18:06:58	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x32d617…
06-15 18:04:30	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x14abaa…
06-15 18:03:51	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x11e2f5…
06-15 18:03:07	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5725d6…
06-15 18:02:01	btc updown 15m 1781546400	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcd9322…
06-15 17:59:36	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x1bd0f5…
06-15 17:59:34	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x2a6797…
06-15 17:59:33	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf7acae…
06-15 17:59:33	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x93bbfa…
06-15 17:59:33	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x57ebbd…
06-15 17:59:33	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x549fce…
06-15 17:59:33	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x06553f…
06-15 17:59:24	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5a8cf4…
06-15 17:59:18	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xcdba75…
06-15 17:59:16	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x1fc556…
06-15 17:59:15	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x430cb0…
06-15 17:59:00	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x6c463b…
06-15 17:58:45	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xda62f7…
06-15 17:58:42	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe35f50…
06-15 17:58:34	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x4095a5…
06-15 17:58:31	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xc8fae9…
06-15 17:58:31	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x099406…
06-15 17:58:27	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0bc1b2…
06-15 17:58:21	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf03196…
06-15 17:58:18	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xa02f21…
06-15 17:58:16	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x4c2f1d…
06-15 17:58:15	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4c0edf…
06-15 17:58:04	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xbc081b…
06-15 17:58:04	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xb6d7b2…
06-15 17:58:04	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x88e208…
06-15 17:58:04	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x5616af…
06-15 17:57:55	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xb471e1…
06-15 17:57:55	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x4108fc…
06-15 17:57:55	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x0884ec…
06-15 17:57:54	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x0e970b…
06-15 17:57:39	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdd94aa…
06-15 17:57:37	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x46ab49…
06-15 17:55:19	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xb8d93d…
06-15 17:55:15	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x17fc16…
06-15 17:54:07	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x7f5db7…
06-15 17:54:04	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x2b6b90…
06-15 17:53:27	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x056a55…
06-15 17:53:18	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xdb27c3…
06-15 17:53:18	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xa243d7…
06-15 17:53:10	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x70e94c…