Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

178

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$386

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 35% +$11

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-14	-$14	98¢	$-14	$0	09-30 06:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	-$9	97¢	$-10	$0	08-31 14:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-31 14:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-14	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$14	0	28	-28	open	—	09-30 06:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-06 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6a2496…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5dd29a…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x19e8d8…
10-23 01:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1926e2…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1e2508…
10-23 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8b425b…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x585123…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd0fed9…
10-22 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe68387…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1788aa…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc0d357…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1d4b1a…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71c385…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x29199e…
10-22 13:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd7c818…
10-22 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3fc0f…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8a5a5…
10-22 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7c7157…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcaa78b…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc132f5…
10-22 05:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb24b72…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc868d…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x045794…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce1466…
10-22 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7b7c5c…
10-22 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3b96b4…
10-22 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x50dae1…
10-21 22:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x66ef6a…
10-21 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x991d90…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb95b10…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xada7e1…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x554987…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5850ee…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70fe9b…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x597135…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7bd80d…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaeefed…
10-21 06:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc6b50f…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc203d5…
10-21 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbf5cf5…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf57f0f…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x25fef8…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe51496…
10-21 00:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5176bc…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa67965…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5ec396…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x807c6b…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x02cf13…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x996be1…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3cb9c2…
10-20 04:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc41af9…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdab6a1…
10-20 04:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1f85f4…
10-20 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x78a4c1…
10-20 04:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0a5640…
10-20 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1ef311…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x070ead…
10-20 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7f4914…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b3de1…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0f6a4e…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6021f5…
10-19 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa4432b…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56fec1…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf6f653…
10-19 07:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x136cb5…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1d665d…
10-18 18:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe15789…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0dd34…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11bebf…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3ac5bc…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5c856c…
10-18 03:08:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb5bda8…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc7df40…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc693c7…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3ee737…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x975b86…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x64f7db…
10-17 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x810a10…
10-17 19:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd21e29…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb69db0…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe09040…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5e6dd2…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d976b…
10-17 13:14:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4383d7…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfcdd5a…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb2d4eb…
10-17 12:00:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x777069…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80e75b…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb4122e…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc590aa…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0f2f42…
10-16 20:55:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd4abbe…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0c18aa…
10-16 20:14:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x124274…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe85713…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7f28d4…
10-16 12:40:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xba0c9a…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2c1988…
10-16 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c26c3…
10-16 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x289896…