Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

179

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 31% -$5

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-38	-$32	82¢	$-31	+$2	09-30 06:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-38	-$5	18¢	$-7	-$2	09-30 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$38	0	76	-76	open	—	09-30 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	10-06 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-07 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1c565c…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x395c26…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec3e20…
10-23 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4265e8…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb53ef0…
10-23 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe8068a…
10-23 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c42e4…
10-22 22:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc9f0c0…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xca8e3e…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x34e4bb…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd27a43…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfdf67c…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1305b1…
10-22 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb71fbc…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9f6f57…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6c0c34…
10-22 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdcc0ea…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc8c154…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x14da36…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3ffd0d…
10-22 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x450b56…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdb5e89…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf4b99b…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x171db8…
10-22 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc235b0…
10-22 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc11895…
10-22 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x19d62f…
10-21 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59d9ce…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcdb508…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x770a56…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdc7507…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x316258…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x69e374…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73059d…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5499e3…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7830d5…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0d7fc4…
10-21 06:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1461d8…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x14144f…
10-21 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd1946e…
10-21 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c34c2…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8dc350…
10-21 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc14084…
10-21 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x14ca48…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x735f13…
10-21 00:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5af46f…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfdfa37…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x681967…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6e2cec…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeaea93…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7da1d2…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1025db…
10-20 04:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5014d3…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x628135…
10-20 04:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe336c9…
10-20 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfe6aa8…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x813646…
10-20 00:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xac6d31…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x47e806…
10-20 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x63ec8d…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xded6b6…
10-19 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2917ef…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xac7fe5…
10-19 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x668ef9…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc21202…
10-19 13:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2683b1…
10-19 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaec518…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa1637a…
10-19 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfe6f41…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2520b9…
10-18 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa009f9…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2cd118…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcf33d…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x85318f…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff661b…
10-18 04:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8e0800…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7b16c2…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb19f5f…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3d408a…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x19f83e…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa497b8…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33de78…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x898f27…
10-17 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0769d9…
10-17 21:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4aa9b1…
10-17 19:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0bf0de…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d24a5…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x85aa35…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfdd4f6…
10-17 13:14:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5bb5c5…
10-17 13:07:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeb6084…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4a1837…
10-17 12:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x55c7ba…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d67e0…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc7a59a…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9b222a…
10-17 01:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x918205…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x410b96…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdf40e1…
10-16 20:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x562441…