Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

182

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$434

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 37% +$29

Politics

6% — —

Other

5% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-28	-$27	98¢	$-27	$0	09-30 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-14	-$14	98¢	$-14	$0	09-30 07:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-28	-$1	2¢	$-1	+$0	09-30 07:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-14	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$28	0	56	-56	open	—	09-30 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$14	0	28	-28	open	—	09-30 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$9	10-06 09:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$9	0	18	-18	No	$0	08-31 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92a24d…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9cc2f2…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb3c4fb…
10-23 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x764e07…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6baf77…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f0336…
10-22 22:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x513ad2…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe6a355…
10-22 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfb9d8f…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3aacf1…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf6abb4…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcc19c8…
10-22 13:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaf55d5…
10-22 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x386db1…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7ddbf…
10-22 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x256210…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x947d19…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x16f727…
10-22 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe64b76…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfb4f1b…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf8b56d…
10-22 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x433a7e…
10-22 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd6ebd0…
10-22 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd31fe8…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b6260…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x497885…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1912e0…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x409d5a…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0ee820…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x936a02…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1e6b61…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x220971…
10-21 07:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa0c033…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb6ef35…
10-21 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x19627e…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x607f53…
10-21 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a5325…
10-21 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x462ee9…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xecfaf9…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbd8b3f…
10-21 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x17a599…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x87b0d1…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb39a74…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd92c76…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe7f1fa…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81f950…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8b288…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa6bc94…
10-20 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5fb088…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e5365…
10-20 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5b3f82…
10-20 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0f9cb7…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf50f45…
10-20 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcbbcea…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd3faa…
10-20 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd3dd9d…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x98ab92…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe33995…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacfaf1…
10-19 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2c525f…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa72461…
10-19 13:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x82be76…
10-19 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x911f19…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x266518…
10-19 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0932bc…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa7c88e…
10-18 18:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9785fb…
10-18 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x046f09…
10-18 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xed11d5…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3d6146…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5c8b99…
10-18 04:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x14c116…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x689a2a…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8d9070…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1d1319…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb8fa5c…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x21ceff…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd47ace…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7c9404…
10-17 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x489820…
10-17 19:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeda9d5…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2d0ce9…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc2a49f…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x12b5a2…
10-17 13:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe85999…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4de607…
10-17 12:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30f294…
10-17 12:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x00bcd6…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe1d42c…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfdb1a2…
10-17 10:24:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x383d08…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeb4fc4…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70a798…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1c16ab…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc11d61…
10-16 20:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x20c256…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x82157a…
10-16 18:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5e926b…
10-16 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaad500…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6d92ad…