Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

175

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$400

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 34% +$18

Other

5% — —

Politics

4% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No		-22	-$21	100¢	$-22	-$1	09-30 07:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		-22	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	09-30 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 07:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$16	0	32	-32	Yes	$0	08-31 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$11	10-06 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-08 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 20:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xce3f66…
10-23 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x448785…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf1abc0…
10-23 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa2ec2c…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x822d30…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x82b95c…
10-22 22:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x84da98…
10-22 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x824aa6…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa33288…
10-22 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x924d41…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x956127…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x394242…
10-22 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd947d7…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x324843…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa71224…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x288e98…
10-22 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x32a428…
10-22 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf64392…
10-22 03:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71f177…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6f80f3…
10-22 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf8e230…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf662e…
10-22 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ca677…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe8ef63…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x275c10…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd325c6…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd22a94…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x314ca3…
10-21 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x35ad40…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfc6131…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9b1898…
10-21 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa36c3c…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x44933a…
10-21 00:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1703b4…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2916cf…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x049e75…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9dd89c…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x177a5f…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3c887…
10-20 04:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9847a3…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x10b8e9…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x19e0c8…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xde3716…
10-19 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1e7c8…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x60e0af…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb62cd…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x533695…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc010d1…
10-19 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x06f7f8…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3dca80…
10-19 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x06996f…
10-19 13:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc3a33f…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x58b17c…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x06c41d…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3fa27d…
10-18 18:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdd91aa…
10-18 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x55627d…
10-18 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x561f8e…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x29ab3d…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15e166…
10-18 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5df19…
10-18 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe985e2…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x110080…
10-18 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc1ede5…
10-18 04:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9f9bd1…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0d4bb7…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf0acb2…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x352812…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x42a37e…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33341a…
10-17 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8cb802…
10-17 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f4baf…
10-17 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc1cb2…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x83cae7…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7ec3e2…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc2dafa…
10-17 14:57:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6d7c75…
10-17 13:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6f63ac…
10-17 13:07:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7d9475…
10-17 12:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa892f1…
10-17 12:00:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c910f…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x099844…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1a7ae7…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1c279b…
10-17 01:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89349e…
10-17 01:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9da0f6…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0596dd…
10-16 20:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9f1af4…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b02e5…
10-16 18:29:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x678b96…
10-16 18:22:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb96208…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xded94d…
10-15 22:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcac8b8…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb8636c…
10-15 18:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xea8cc3…
10-15 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x80bf9f…
10-15 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb4dfcb…
10-15 11:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf823bb…
10-15 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xadb72e…
10-15 10:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9cf657…