Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

178

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$435

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 38% +$26

Other

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-45	-$43	96¢	$-43	+$0	09-30 06:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-13	-$9	88¢	$-12	-$2	08-31 14:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-45	-$1	4¢	$-2	$0	09-30 06:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-13	-$4	12¢	$-1	+$2	08-31 14:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$45	0	90	-90	open	—	09-30 06:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$13	0	26	-26	open	—	08-31 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-19 14:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-07 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe05632…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf2e1c9…
10-23 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f5c4e…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0466c4…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf638d2…
10-22 22:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6ce985…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96bcdf…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcc6695…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd705b0…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa16b6b…
10-22 13:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x267b9c…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xba9ef1…
10-22 12:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x66b50e…
10-22 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x983f47…
10-22 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7249ec…
10-22 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x256a5a…
10-22 05:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaf8654…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf75c8…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2e0ba7…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6888ed…
10-22 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb4fbc…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ffec7…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6e298b…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x34c540…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfb023c…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4c9b2…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x048e31…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x188224…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfc6fd0…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6ff950…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x39643b…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf64746…
10-21 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xef36d6…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x52d6e6…
10-21 05:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9554e5…
10-21 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5b531a…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94a277…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x706a38…
10-21 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x32915e…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x17fbbd…
10-20 16:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda29b5…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x32f0df…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4e316e…
10-20 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x909af2…
10-20 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x427265…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x22af4e…
10-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x92f3d3…
10-19 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x69bb3e…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd4981c…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x085ad5…
10-19 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb0e85c…
10-19 14:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x799111…
10-19 13:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x45b6bf…
10-19 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x89e46c…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0b6cf6…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5309c5…
10-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x45bc6a…
10-18 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9cf1f8…
10-18 18:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xac5f1b…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x20f593…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6cd63…
10-18 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x532cb4…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1bea20…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6b29c2…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x915400…
10-18 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x84b3f5…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x06c83f…
10-18 03:08:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x153666…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbe9d7c…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd707c6…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf0ed9b…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3c3474…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x000b7d…
10-17 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9f829d…
10-17 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc6594c…
10-17 19:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3755a6…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xce1c08…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8cdf7b…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa9ac11…
10-17 13:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc59465…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7f993f…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x132deb…
10-17 12:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd570c1…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd52555…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0194f4…
10-17 10:24:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x495218…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4d5a6f…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0005a0…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x65f615…
10-16 20:55:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x339601…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xddd62c…
10-16 20:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x016cec…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe72645…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcfe9cd…
10-16 00:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeb4c20…
10-16 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x017c54…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4ffafd…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x78038f…
10-15 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec8cd1…
10-15 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3350ea…