Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

180

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$385

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 33% +$15

Other

5% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		-8	-$6	88¢	$-7	-$1	09-30 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-8	-$2	12¢	$-1	+$1	09-30 06:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$7	10-06 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$8	0	16	-16	open	—	09-30 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf889f3…
10-23 01:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x489454…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x37620f…
10-23 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3ae83a…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf02d3c…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2a3579…
10-22 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0d06fe…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8b8654…
10-22 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x42c139…
10-22 14:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f5285…
10-22 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x52f953…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x75a40c…
10-22 13:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcf3144…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x96ab8f…
10-22 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96e4d7…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc67fc4…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97fe97…
10-22 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe964ce…
10-22 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf647a9…
10-22 03:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4312aa…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0c3c4d…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x68ef0b…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4e3abf…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xce052f…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcfb8b7…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2c1d68…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5847d…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb539e8…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9314a8…
10-21 06:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb9d4f6…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe83a1b…
10-21 04:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x903612…
10-21 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x977b0c…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc0a711…
10-21 00:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaac774…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7db7ac…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb53109…
10-20 07:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ff801…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x275de0…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x240d60…
10-19 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1729b0…
10-19 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1561f2…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbfdc93…
10-19 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x789ccd…
10-19 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x86c3ce…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5e3575…
10-19 13:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x618439…
10-19 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8cf7cf…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbdcab6…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf0e55…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x40152a…
10-19 00:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a5d9b…
10-18 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x155629…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdc3362…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x555c26…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x75b015…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x275aca…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdaaecb…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2af498…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7f44f…
10-18 04:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa163a7…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x674532…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x42ef1e…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x412223…
10-18 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbaac31…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x09c8d0…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x699919…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa30640…
10-17 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1e707a…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb032a0…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdc98be…
10-17 15:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe4695a…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x90429d…
10-17 14:57:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x58a77a…
10-17 12:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4677b1…
10-17 12:00:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8f86dd…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc30702…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x355642…
10-17 08:34:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x69bb61…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x63ea9a…
10-17 02:33:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa3741c…
10-17 01:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5ed607…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98e370…
10-16 20:14:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6cbaa9…
10-16 20:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3ba53a…
10-16 18:59:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0d6e04…
10-16 18:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3a76ab…
10-16 18:28:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb61e0b…
10-16 18:20:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x31d7d4…
10-16 18:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4687a4…
10-16 17:21:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9e2202…
10-16 16:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6b6a9e…
10-16 14:21:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x91ad9c…
10-16 13:59:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc4d229…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa327d…
10-16 12:39:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x190ccb…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e5be4…
10-16 04:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x60b909…
10-16 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9fdaa…
10-16 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x149bd0…