Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

178

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$363

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% -$11

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		-16	-$16	98¢	$-16	$0	09-30 06:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-16	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$16	0	32	-32	open	—	09-30 06:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf0ea37…
10-23 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd59c4e…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5c5f4d…
10-23 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x11d195…
10-23 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x22e8b5…
10-22 22:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd99d6e…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x10ba57…
10-22 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x428da5…
10-22 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0ec0d3…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x510434…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x98b6f2…
10-22 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd85d52…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b8e16…
10-22 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7a30ba…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x175661…
10-22 05:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1df030…
10-22 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2670a1…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x97a007…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2488f6…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07810c…
10-22 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96ab3d…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1593d5…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3dd59e…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc45cfb…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x27d616…
10-22 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe156e3…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb926dd…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf0b465…
10-21 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc263b9…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3115f8…
10-21 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x767e65…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd755be…
10-21 04:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd53e6b…
10-21 00:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe185a4…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa431da…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3c5520…
10-20 16:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x783a31…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa7354e…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd57575…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb4b78b…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6d5397…
10-19 22:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbfd8fe…
10-19 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x809171…
10-19 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43a307…
10-19 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa225d3…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x389214…
10-19 13:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfff1f5…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0de1ea…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc678f5…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x102f50…
10-19 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x301e66…
10-19 00:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3311be…
10-18 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x093208…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0d6a10…
10-18 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc9e332…
10-18 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x817232…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9759f7…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x70febe…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf0e1a…
10-18 11:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6d72b2…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x966af3…
10-18 05:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa12bb4…
10-18 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd97b54…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcf70f0…
10-18 03:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x91b7f1…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4af2d9…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc3a427…
10-18 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf9f7fc…
10-18 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5eec82…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x83b6ab…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x76741f…
10-17 22:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc7120e…
10-17 21:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x130f9a…
10-17 20:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe76e33…
10-17 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x438caa…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5ae642…
10-17 18:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdd08a6…
10-17 17:19:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x91bd1a…
10-17 15:14:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3a8ad5…
10-17 15:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb18300…
10-17 13:14:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x354a91…
10-17 13:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9ad139…
10-17 12:54:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb2c138…
10-17 12:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda2659…
10-17 12:00:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfaf83…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdbbdba…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xde2cad…
10-17 08:34:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7bed6…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x777a54…
10-16 20:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b4564…
10-16 20:24:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcd870f…
10-16 12:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x65b3ae…
10-16 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4becc3…
10-15 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6aef79…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x130bbc…
10-15 16:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x208769…
10-15 15:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xee804f…
10-15 12:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf6fe0f…
10-15 11:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd16176…
10-15 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2df8ed…