Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

180

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 31% +$5

Other

12% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-39	-$38	98¢	$-38	$0	09-30 06:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-39	-$1	2¢	$-1	+$0	09-30 06:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$39	0	78	-78	open	—	09-30 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$9	10-06 09:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$8	0	16	-16	No	$0	08-31 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x87b69c…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4378b9…
10-23 01:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfac95d…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1ae9a6…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf8be65…
10-22 22:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1f67e3…
10-22 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6b4900…
10-22 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x40138a…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe650dc…
10-22 14:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x36697d…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb6ae8a…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdad8d2…
10-22 08:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd8ac04…
10-22 07:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x999cba…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa301af…
10-22 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf59340…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x033587…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x15b043…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x984aef…
10-21 15:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3023a3…
10-21 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd0212a…
10-21 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30a1e0…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6d9b79…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8db0f6…
10-21 08:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x34caf9…
10-21 06:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc508a4…
10-21 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4f8472…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6698d4…
10-21 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa10f4d…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2d9cca…
10-21 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x24d0b3…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x432aa5…
10-20 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcba994…
10-20 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x451d20…
10-20 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3c3749…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0fbff2…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x425964…
10-19 23:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x26584e…
10-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x818216…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x800e76…
10-19 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb4a03e…
10-19 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x20dd4a…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74483c…
10-19 13:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6d5232…
10-19 13:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb59a6d…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6fd0f9…
10-19 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x81c4df…
10-19 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa753b0…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x772d06…
10-18 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe6a71e…
10-18 18:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd77047…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x86de54…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4ec4e1…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb0f54f…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xddde5b…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x773c6f…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4ab25a…
10-18 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x36aaca…
10-18 03:48:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x520c04…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x38a198…
10-18 02:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x05e239…
10-18 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc98a8…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe4dd82…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x816500…
10-17 20:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1c78d6…
10-17 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x98d898…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd207de…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x307ac5…
10-17 15:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x48ce2c…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x92d1b3…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6eda74…
10-17 13:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb710b7…
10-17 13:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd60258…
10-17 12:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf4a777…
10-17 12:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xecd77b…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x62e670…
10-17 08:34:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4db5d6…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc76c74…
10-17 02:33:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee2740…
10-17 01:39:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x975763…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x29b4eb…
10-16 20:14:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa7453b…
10-16 20:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3cae88…
10-16 18:28:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbc4396…
10-16 18:20:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7fc491…
10-16 18:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94fec4…
10-16 17:21:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x20ceaa…
10-16 16:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xffab31…
10-16 14:21:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf6eab7…
10-16 13:59:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x052ce8…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3b352c…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x40633a…
10-16 12:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbc2cfe…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd47b3b…
10-16 04:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7438dc…
10-16 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaba99a…
10-16 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd4bc71…
10-15 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf639b3…
10-15 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfce86e…
10-15 18:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x712191…