Leading-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

50,002

Trades

316,004

lifetime

Volume

$3.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$144

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-29 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 82% +$12,077

Other

17% 99% +$740

Sports

4% 99% +$665

Tech

0% 50% -$754

Politics

0% 94% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 13405 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	—	+104	$47	64¢	$67	+$20	10-29 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	—	+56	$49	98¢	$55	+$7	10-29 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	—	+60	$37	36¢	$21	-$16	10-29 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	—	+56	$5	2¢	$1	-$5	10-29 07:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1,416	$18.8K	38,006	+38,006	Down	+$319	10-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	994	$11.4K	23,144	+23,144	Down	+$71	10-23 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	635	$8.7K	17,180	+17,180	Down	-$70	10-25 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	883	$7.6K	14,976	+14,976	Down	-$66	10-25 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	687	$7.5K	14,904	+14,904	Down	-$14	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	716	$6.7K	13,527	+13,527	Down	+$69	10-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	608	$6.6K	13,343	+13,343	Up	-$15	10-25 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	959	$6.6K	13,335	+13,335	Up	+$88	09-27 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	604	$6.4K	12,882	+12,882	Down	+$31	10-24 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	490	$6.2K	12,317	+12,317	Up	-$78	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	583	$6.1K	12,408	+12,408	Down	+$9	10-20 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:30 UTC	848	$6.0K	12,434	+12,434	Up	+$236	09-27 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	850	$6.0K	12,058	+12,058	Up	+$35	09-27 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC	821	$5.9K	11,933	+11,933	Up	+$106	09-27 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	477	$5.8K	11,470	+11,470	Down	-$112	10-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	705	$5.6K	11,386	+11,386	Down	+$50	10-10 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	565	$5.6K	11,535	+11,535	Up	+$79	10-17 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	548	$5.5K	10,975	+10,975	Up	-$34	10-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	426	$5.5K	10,962	+10,962	Down	+$23	10-25 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:15 UTC	703	$5.4K	11,105	+11,105	Down	+$135	10-04 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	518	$5.3K	10,575	+10,575	Up	+$17	10-25 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	638	$5.2K	10,923	+10,923	Up	+$235	10-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:00 UTC	734	$5.2K	10,563	+10,563	Down	+$13	09-27 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	475	$5.1K	10,691	+10,691	Up	+$168	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	453	$4.9K	9,772	+9,772	Down	-$22	10-25 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	393	$4.9K	9,755	+9,755	Down	+$15	10-11 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	646	$4.9K	10,326	+10,326	Up	+$238	10-03 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	480	$4.8K	9,639	+9,639	Down	+$75	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	607	$4.8K	9,666	+9,666	Up	+$53	10-07 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	677	$4.7K	9,549	+9,549	Up	+$93	10-04 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x91b78f…
10-29 07:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x41b341…
10-29 07:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x18049f…
10-29 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf95313…
10-29 07:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x547d08…
10-29 07:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x63e5e4…
10-29 07:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x0c5720…
10-29 07:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcc760b…
10-29 07:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0b6e0a…
10-29 07:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x66dcb6…
10-29 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7ca6ab…
10-29 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x2c3726…
10-29 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x00cdee…
10-29 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x615db5…
10-29 07:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x60ec1a…
10-29 07:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xabbd2f…
10-29 07:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x02ba6a…
10-29 07:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x15c5b2…
10-29 07:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x85f0ef…
10-29 07:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x25c4f6…
10-29 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfba736…
10-29 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x44b0be…
10-29 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x139500…
10-29 07:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x42c8c5…
10-29 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa4fc8c…
10-29 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x8c63d5…
10-29 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x89b3f4…
10-29 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xac2084…
10-29 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x76374b…
10-29 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x1d736e…
10-29 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	74	42¢	$31	0x1bfe9b…
10-29 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x04e3f5…
10-29 07:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xee7fa5…
10-29 07:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc4fdf9…
10-29 07:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2099b3…
10-29 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xd57908…
10-29 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9743bc…
10-29 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6eabf3…
10-29 07:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4ee8e5…
10-29 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfd7783…
10-29 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xdbd63f…
10-29 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3835f6…
10-29 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x29b7b9…
10-29 07:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xad70f7…
10-29 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xa982ff…
10-29 07:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc327da…
10-29 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xd9953e…
10-29 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9c98fd…
10-29 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x389b25…
10-29 07:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb10a28…
10-29 07:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf45c47…
10-29 07:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd3f82a…
10-29 07:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x883202…
10-29 07:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x86171c…
10-29 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xce5c54…
10-29 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3a76b3…
10-29 07:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb35f99…
10-29 07:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3d7a82…
10-29 07:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x21341f…
10-29 07:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2fe720…
10-29 07:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x2005b4…
10-29 07:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x933575…
10-29 07:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x78fc21…
10-29 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x1be2d6…
10-29 07:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xffa63a…
10-29 07:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x5f3870…
10-29 07:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe7dba4…
10-29 07:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x384ef0…
10-29 07:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xbafd38…
10-29 07:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x04aa9f…
10-29 07:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbac0e7…
10-29 07:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x5578ac…
10-29 07:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd064b8…
10-29 07:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x62a996…
10-29 07:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbddd8d…
10-29 07:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4b4cb2…
10-29 07:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc20aed…
10-29 07:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5154ff…
10-29 07:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x0e6c29…
10-29 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x700a99…
10-29 07:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x98a829…
10-29 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0711a0…
10-29 07:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x7cef08…
10-29 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x9ac299…
10-29 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x19ac9d…
10-29 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x045886…
10-29 07:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8727ae…
10-29 07:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x179342…
10-29 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1b6337…
10-29 07:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8d34b1…
10-29 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x492db6…
10-29 07:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xad53ab…
10-29 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe786a4…
10-29 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f8f9a…
10-29 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcefefc…
10-29 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2397c8…
10-29 07:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf3b13c…
10-29 07:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfc6096…
10-29 07:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xfec8a0…
10-29 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb35c14…