Leading-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$625

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

5,636

Trades

25,777

lifetime

Volume

$759.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$212

1 position

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-15 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 97% +$511

Other

12% 98% +$115

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 1126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+278	$236	76¢	$212	$-23	06-07 17:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)	6	$366	368	0	+368	open	—	05-29 14:28
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)	13	$280	308	0	+308	open	—	05-30 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$271	211	183	+28	open	—	05-20 14:15
Games Total: O/U 3.5	10	$258	295	0	+295	open	—	06-01 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	3	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	05-19 22:15
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$241	242	0	+242	open	—	05-14 16:13
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$240	201	79	+122	open	—	05-20 14:14
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	9	$238	280	0	+280	open	—	06-07 17:49
Roland Garros WTA: Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirstea	2	$234	235	0	+235	open	—	05-29 13:56
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$226	177	101	+76	open	—	05-20 00:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$224	227	0	+227	open	—	05-14 16:09
doge updown 15m 1779285600	5	$224	172	97	+75	open	—	05-20 14:14
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$222	160	80	+80	open	—	05-24 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$220	171	171	+0	open	—	05-20 14:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$210	163	82	+81	open	—	05-19 07:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$208	212	0	+212	open	—	05-14 12:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$207	211	0	+211	open	—	05-15 12:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 22:44
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$198	102	102	+0	open	—	05-22 06:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 22:09
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$197	161	81	+80	open	—	05-20 12:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$188	190	0	+190	open	—	05-15 10:51
atp lehecka duckwor 2026 06 11 set handicap home 1pt5	4	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	06-11 13:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$181	182	0	+182	open	—	05-19 19:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$179	180	0	+180	open	—	05-19 17:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$178	181	0	+181	open	—	05-20 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$177	183	0	+183	open	—	05-28 03:18
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$175	123	61	+62	open	—	05-14 07:39
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$174	141	71	+70	Down	$-32	05-13 00:09
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$172	174	0	+174	open	—	05-25 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 12:28:07	wta zhen sakkari 2026 06 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Zheng	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x02d768…
06-15 12:24:18	cs2 bbp rust 2026 06 15 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd789d1…
06-15 12:24:06	atp atmane landalu 2026 06 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Atmane	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x292554…
06-15 12:23:28	cs2 bbp rust 2026 06 15 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x66e2ff…
06-15 12:22:27	cs2 bbp rust 2026 06 15 game1 round handicap rust 3pt5	Bebop	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc6256b…
06-15 12:22:27	cs2 bbp rust 2026 06 15 game1 round total 24pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x540037…
06-15 12:21:19	cs2 bbp rust 2026 06 15 game1 round handicap rust 6pt5	Bebop	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd3b90…
06-15 12:07:15	wta timofee zarazua 2026 06 13 set handicap home 1pt5	Zarazua	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1ac07…
06-15 12:06:18	atp basilas altmaie 2026 06 15 set handicap home 1pt5	Altmaier	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5165e0…
06-15 12:06:15	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Tarvet	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x71af66…
06-15 12:06:12	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 15 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7b471…
06-15 12:06:10	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x166c15…
06-15 12:06:07	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa01456…
06-15 12:05:57	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3def68…
06-15 12:05:43	cs2 100t bca 2026 06 15 map handicap away 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	112	44¢	$50	0x37147a…
06-15 10:19:36	wta brockma parks 2026 06 13 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3d7c3b…
06-15 10:03:33	wta parry seidel 2026 06 13 set handicap home 1pt5	Parry	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2bd99…
06-15 09:38:45	cs2 gz1 mandl 2026 06 15 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd20ccf…
06-15 09:37:51	cs2 gz1 mandl 2026 06 15 map handicap away 1pt5	Ground Zero	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe2f361…
06-15 09:15:15	wta yaneva pedone 2026 06 15 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x37c555…
06-15 03:56:28	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x89702c…
06-15 03:55:46	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 second half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe4d47e…
06-15 03:50:24	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x691d04…
06-15 03:45:24	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa5f812…
06-15 03:43:55	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x193e0f…
06-15 03:33:52	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe519f9…
06-15 03:33:10	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9d35c0…
06-15 03:22:57	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83c513…
06-15 03:22:07	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5b4994…
06-15 02:49:42	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x313c21…
06-15 02:40:25	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b7ea8…
06-15 02:08:55	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x0d493d…
06-15 02:07:57	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread away 4pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc0f692…
06-15 02:07:37	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread away 3pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4f69e4…
06-15 02:06:46	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x208570…
06-15 02:02:51	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread away 4pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x213727…
06-15 01:52:39	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba4740…
06-15 01:52:37	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x827da4…
06-15 01:47:36	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb4790b…
06-15 01:30:39	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7449d1…
06-15 00:52:51	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 f5 spread home 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xdf76f4…
06-15 00:29:03	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x118823…
06-15 00:07:46	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 f5 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcff702…
06-14 23:28:16	mlb tex bos 2026 06 14 nrfi	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8e40cb…
06-14 22:56:13	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x797cc1…
06-14 22:46:55	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x760338…
06-14 22:46:55	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x52a4bd…
06-14 22:43:18	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0e49b0…
06-14 22:23:39	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x47b9fc…
06-14 22:19:12	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x73fddd…
06-14 22:19:12	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x34540d…
06-14 22:19:10	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x670ae8…
06-14 22:18:18	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb47693…
06-14 22:16:27	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe944fe…
06-14 22:04:15	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe22069…
06-14 22:01:27	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x50bc43…
06-14 21:59:07	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x65f858…
06-14 21:57:55	mlb col oak 2026 06 14 spread away 3pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd37795…
06-14 21:57:55	mlb col oak 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc5a889…
06-14 21:56:34	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa58159…
06-14 21:50:24	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb6c62…
06-14 21:50:24	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xac97ab…
06-14 21:49:09	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xebe7a0…
06-14 21:47:58	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c065e…
06-14 21:46:15	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 total 13pt5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7700b7…
06-14 21:43:49	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2b50e5…
06-14 21:43:00	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x504853…
06-14 21:42:31	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x896e11…
06-14 21:42:09	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Chicago Cubs	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x1c6693…
06-14 21:36:39	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x507257…
06-14 21:36:37	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x39c404…
06-14 21:34:07	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa5d980…
06-14 21:33:12	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread away 3pt5	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4c9361…
06-14 21:33:07	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread away 3pt5	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf2d4b…
06-14 21:33:01	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x300ee2…
06-14 21:32:22	mlb col oak 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9387fa…
06-14 21:31:22	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x33389a…
06-14 21:31:01	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf6def…
06-14 21:28:25	mlb col oak 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5a9def…
06-14 21:26:19	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x42f7f5…
06-14 21:22:37	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 f5 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2b580e…
06-14 21:22:37	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread away 3pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02fd04…
06-14 21:22:34	mlb tb laa 2026 06 14 f5 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x38554c…
06-14 21:19:15	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddd807…
06-14 21:17:49	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbf8b2c…
06-14 21:17:33	mlb ari cin 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x038f79…
06-14 21:14:04	mlb chc sf 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbca0e0…
06-14 21:08:51	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfacf86…
06-14 21:07:01	wnba wsh nyl 2026 06 14 spread home 12pt5	New York Liberty	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea00ee…
06-14 21:07:01	wnba wsh nyl 2026 06 14 spread home 13pt5	New York Liberty	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa46233…
06-14 21:06:58	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1322a…
06-14 21:06:10	wnba wsh nyl 2026 06 14 spread home 11pt5	New York Liberty	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd5d61…
06-14 21:03:42	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x30b309…
06-14 21:02:54	mlb stl min 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f1309…
06-14 21:02:42	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b6445…
06-14 21:01:19	wnba wsh nyl 2026 06 14 spread home 10pt5	New York Liberty	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa054d8…
06-14 21:00:45	wnba wsh nyl 2026 06 14 spread home 9pt5	New York Liberty	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9395a4…
06-14 20:57:30	es2 mal alm 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa3da8f…
06-14 20:53:52	mlb stl min 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5497e2…
06-14 20:53:45	mlb col oak 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcb671…