Leading-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

50,136

Trades

317,283

lifetime

Volume

$3.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-29 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 82% +$12,278

Other

17% 99% +$740

Sports

4% 99% +$665

Tech

0% 50% -$754

Politics

0% 94% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 13405 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1,416	$18.8K	38,006	+38,006	Down	+$319	10-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	994	$11.4K	23,144	+23,144	Down	+$71	10-23 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	635	$8.7K	17,180	+17,180	Down	-$70	10-25 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	883	$7.6K	14,976	+14,976	Down	-$66	10-25 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	687	$7.5K	14,904	+14,904	Down	-$14	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	716	$6.7K	13,527	+13,527	Down	+$69	10-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	608	$6.6K	13,343	+13,343	Up	-$15	10-25 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	959	$6.6K	13,335	+13,335	Up	+$88	09-27 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	604	$6.4K	12,882	+12,882	Down	+$31	10-24 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	490	$6.2K	12,317	+12,317	Up	-$78	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	583	$6.1K	12,408	+12,408	Down	+$9	10-20 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:30 UTC	848	$6.0K	12,434	+12,434	Up	+$236	09-27 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	850	$6.0K	12,058	+12,058	Up	+$35	09-27 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC	821	$5.9K	11,933	+11,933	Up	+$106	09-27 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	477	$5.8K	11,470	+11,470	Down	-$112	10-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	705	$5.6K	11,386	+11,386	Down	+$50	10-10 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	565	$5.6K	11,535	+11,535	Up	+$79	10-17 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	548	$5.5K	10,975	+10,975	Up	-$34	10-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	426	$5.5K	10,962	+10,962	Down	+$23	10-25 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:15 UTC	703	$5.4K	11,105	+11,105	Down	+$135	10-04 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	518	$5.3K	10,575	+10,575	Up	+$17	10-25 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	638	$5.2K	10,923	+10,923	Up	+$235	10-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:00 UTC	734	$5.2K	10,563	+10,563	Down	+$13	09-27 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	475	$5.1K	10,691	+10,691	Up	+$168	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	453	$4.9K	9,772	+9,772	Down	-$22	10-25 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	393	$4.9K	9,755	+9,755	Down	+$15	10-11 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	646	$4.9K	10,326	+10,326	Up	+$238	10-03 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	480	$4.8K	9,639	+9,639	Down	+$75	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	607	$4.8K	9,666	+9,666	Up	+$53	10-07 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	677	$4.7K	9,549	+9,549	Up	+$93	10-04 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xf4b5b2…
10-29 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x53170b…
10-29 16:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x431eb3…
10-29 16:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x4bd53c…
10-29 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf406e2…
10-29 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5b0a6c…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd04b22…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xadb0d5…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x94c5ef…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x800a86…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4ff2b4…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x19348e…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf602ff…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe615c5…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd804f1…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xa42ff9…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x673c7e…
10-29 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x389723…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf0aca3…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc1f4f7…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24707d…
10-29 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa20a6…
10-29 16:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xbc510b…
10-29 16:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x18b765…
10-29 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xcf843e…
10-29 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc9f5e5…
10-29 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x6d70ae…
10-29 16:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xbdb050…
10-29 16:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x8ce600…
10-29 16:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x08ef9e…
10-29 16:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa2d083…
10-29 16:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x505c38…
10-29 16:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa26a21…
10-29 16:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xda2ec8…
10-29 16:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x75325e…
10-29 16:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7ebee4…
10-29 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x513855…
10-29 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x35d464…
10-29 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xacf6ff…
10-29 16:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xaebef3…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb9da33…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x94f4de…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x017856…
10-29 16:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbca16c…
10-29 16:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xaa0f89…
10-29 16:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x24e4a1…
10-29 16:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xac4359…
10-29 16:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x7f4349…
10-29 16:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xfd6eff…
10-29 16:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x24490e…
10-29 16:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0a8527…
10-29 16:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xe632c1…
10-29 16:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x368b54…
10-29 16:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x694853…
10-29 16:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd9863d…
10-29 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb62d96…
10-29 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x8612ca…
10-29 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69064b…
10-29 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x63deaf…
10-29 16:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc54c3e…
10-29 16:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa0ce3e…
10-29 16:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x0d381d…
10-29 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x70507e…
10-29 16:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xd300c1…
10-29 16:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x243eaf…
10-29 16:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4d783f…
10-29 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf77d29…
10-29 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x32afd4…
10-29 16:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc8fede…
10-29 16:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5725a0…
10-29 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xfc6681…
10-29 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xaae803…
10-29 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9a0e60…
10-29 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x454c9d…
10-29 16:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x76d25e…
10-29 16:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3170bd…
10-29 16:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x780db5…
10-29 16:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x614be5…
10-29 16:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4e0eee…
10-29 16:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x03421c…
10-29 16:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3cab04…
10-29 16:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x092843…
10-29 16:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a5942…
10-29 16:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6ca434…
10-29 16:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe16d0f…
10-29 16:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x64bb4c…
10-29 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x50011d…
10-29 16:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xda1421…
10-29 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbade94…
10-29 16:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa9d337…
10-29 16:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x152c05…
10-29 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x422871…
10-29 16:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7aaae0…
10-29 16:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x05171f…
10-29 16:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda8149…
10-29 16:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7de2a1…
10-29 16:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x28a4f7…
10-29 16:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x83da6d…
10-29 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x93fda2…
10-29 16:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x474c18…