Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

168

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-01 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 33% -$2

Other

6% 0% $0

Politics

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	4	$20	0	40	-40	No	$0	09-30 06:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$10	0	20	-20	Yes	$0	08-31 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	11-01 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-12 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf5e92e…
11-01 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a6064…
11-01 21:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x73ad45…
11-01 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b36e7…
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xef8fb6…
10-23 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc96114…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x555751…
10-23 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa1308f…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x69e1cb…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdfa28c…
10-22 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e517b…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc0ea54…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x138e26…
10-22 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6b333a…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa27203…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x68ceb6…
10-22 13:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1ad3a6…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37d571…
10-22 12:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6ca331…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x015185…
10-22 05:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x48044c…
10-22 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4b9c36…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x83ac73…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc33872…
10-22 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb3ff1e…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x942be5…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x90f921…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1d60b…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x24d111…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3e8701…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c2fee…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc4d4e6…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e9a8d…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x12a401…
10-21 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x66f1ca…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x29168c…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x53bec3…
10-21 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x30b418…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x451e7c…
10-21 00:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaf1ab8…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf47a83…
10-20 16:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9ac78a…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0cb4fa…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5e762a…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7cadae…
10-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3c588c…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa6b898…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc4658e…
10-19 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa28e71…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x66d941…
10-19 13:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x35f955…
10-19 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x777272…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4596cb…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6e5703…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa8d61c…
10-18 18:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa9968e…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xad817c…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf257f…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x993914…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x59069b…
10-18 11:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf730a1…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5975ba…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x053c28…
10-18 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb7cae8…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x48effc…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc4126a…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x20983f…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x30ebeb…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x636a7a…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd2a6f9…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9dd0dd…
10-17 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x06b62b…
10-17 21:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6a6a7…
10-17 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4d50f2…
10-17 19:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1a1f95…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x909e99…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3d87be…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8e6d92…
10-17 13:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x19d5ca…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8c07a3…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcb5283…
10-17 12:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe413c3…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7db624…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdadcc0…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa74104…
10-17 01:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x979ed5…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcb2376…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe7abaa…
10-16 20:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x425749…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc2043f…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d9cc9…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x14fdae…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb21a9f…
10-15 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x34b3fd…
10-15 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x228be2…
10-15 11:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83a943…
10-15 10:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe3dcf…
10-15 10:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x145c8b…
10-15 06:23:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2da61c…
10-15 05:25:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x47bdbb…