Illiterate-Counterforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.75M

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

46,586

Trades

467,276

lifetime

Volume

$40.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$3.39K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 294 days

Categories

Other

48% 58% +$477,436

Sports

46% 55% +$1,396,971

Crypto

6% 52% -$117,034

Politics

0% 0% -$6,766

Pop-Culture

0% 61% +$829

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 10703 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+948	$749	79¢	$745	-$4	09-16 07:18
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+1,113	$697	64¢	$713	+$16	09-16 08:26
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+753	$675	78¢	$590	-$84	09-16 17:05
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	+564	$497	98¢	$550	+$53	09-16 15:15
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+883	$332	36¢	$318	-$14	09-16 13:34
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+725	$192	21¢	$156	-$37	09-14 19:09
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+525	$56	22¢	$113	+$57	09-15 07:56
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	+288	$131	37¢	$107	-$24	10-10 12:09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	+195	$70	45¢	$88	+$18	10-10 12:16
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+346	$52	2¢	$9	-$43	09-13 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	198	$375.7K	558,103	112,216	+445,887	England	-$57,802	07-06 03:04
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	79	$342.4K	237,823	237,823	+0	Athletics	+$132,453	05-20 04:15
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	25	$332.8K	351,539	0	+351,539	Belgium	+$9,074	07-01 22:49
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	137	$278.1K	429,235	0	+429,235	Argentina	-$304	07-04 00:43
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	98	$267.7K	473,986	0	+473,986	England	-$2,574	07-18 22:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	5	$230.6K	237,826	0	+237,826	Yes	+$7,127	06-28 03:37
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	6	$189.4K	201,781	0	+201,781	No	+$10,543	07-02 01:29
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	114	$180.1K	346,887	0	+346,887	Paraguay	+$38,958	06-29 23:28
Cowboys vs. Giants	6	$145.8K	176,807	0	+176,807	Giants	+$21,837	09-14 03:19
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	1	$126.3K	157,933	0	+157,933	Yes	+$31,587	06-23 04:45
76ers vs. Knicks	60	$117.1K	174,230	0	+174,230	76ers	+$27,683	10-21 01:56
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	2	$115.4K	140,756	0	+140,756	No	+$25,344	06-30 21:31
Colts vs. Chiefs	115	$109.1K	173,530	0	+173,530	Chiefs	-$3,238	09-21 03:53
mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	118	$100.9K	137,147	0	+137,147	Detroit Tigers	+$20,336	07-01 20:38
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	77	$97.9K	241,804	0	+241,804	Argentina	+$317	07-12 03:41
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	268	$96.4K	167,461	72,998	+94,462	Colorado Rockies	-$5,616	05-23 04:23
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	36	$92.6K	106,107	0	+106,107	Yes	+$13,162	06-28 20:56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	55	$89.2K	109,827	0	+109,827	Yes	+$11,749	10-10 20:56
Houston vs. Texas Tech	4	$88.1K	94,706	0	+94,706	Texas Tech	+$6,643	09-19 03:23
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	48	$87.3K	111,767	0	+111,767	Spain	+$21,787	07-14 20:49
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$86.9K	89,614	0	+89,614	Yes	+$2,664	06-16 20:59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	40	$86.2K	89,437	0	+89,437	Yes	+$3,274	06-29 19:00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	54	$84.9K	103,179	0	+103,179	Yes	-$26,520	07-03 01:09
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	37	$83.0K	170,755	0	+170,755	Argentina	-$3,346	07-07 17:57
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	9	$82.1K	87,768	0	+87,768	Milwaukee Brewers	+$5,515	10-15 03:01
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	24	$81.5K	122,227	0	+122,227	No	+$40,698	06-30 02:58
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	66	$80.0K	125,978	0	+125,978	Argentina	-$1,894	07-15 20:59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	60	$79.4K	140,823	0	+140,823	Yes	+$61,325	06-23 01:59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	152	$79.3K	127,304	0	+127,304	No	-$51,749	06-25 21:38
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	71	$76.7K	81,934	0	+81,934	No	+$4,898	07-04 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 00:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd9f394…
10-24 00:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xaac53b…
10-24 00:01:00	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x8b4259…
10-24 00:00:39	Spread: Raptors (-16.5)	Wizards	BUY	184	63¢	$116	0xe0a914…
10-24 00:00:39	Spread: Raptors (-12.5)	Wizards	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x03163d…
10-24 00:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x9ae67a…
10-24 00:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x62746a…
10-24 00:00:17	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	87	37¢	$32	0x9e5831…
10-23 23:59:32	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Magic	BUY	96	44¢	$42	0x29a26c…
10-23 23:58:36	Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)	Magic	BUY	99	44¢	$44	0xea8068…
10-23 23:56:57	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x760258…
10-23 23:56:51	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	193	54¢	$104	0xbd88e4…
10-23 23:54:59	Spread: Celtics (-10.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa1d863…
10-23 23:53:47	Spread: Celtics (-3.5)	Celtics	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xedead0…
10-23 23:53:26	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xdac5b9…
10-23 23:53:18	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x20c735…
10-23 23:53:08	nba atl cha 2026 10 23 spread away 12pt5	Hornets	BUY	103	42¢	$43	0x848b4b…
10-23 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x338818…
10-23 23:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xa48366…
10-23 23:52:36	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8be0b1…
10-23 23:52:06	Spread: Raptors (-7.5)	Wizards	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x7f89fe…
10-23 23:52:03	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	273	50¢	$136	0x53b106…
10-23 23:51:59	nba min orl 2026 10 23 spread away 11pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	362	44¢	$159	0x370a31…
10-23 23:51:33	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfab19f…
10-23 23:50:18	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd5788…
10-23 23:50:14	Duke vs. Virginia	Virginia	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x15a448…
10-23 23:50:05	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x42445b…
10-23 23:48:50	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdf7c07…
10-23 23:48:44	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x8d01d8…
10-23 23:48:42	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xd1638f…
10-23 23:48:42	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x012501…
10-23 23:48:38	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8dad6c…
10-23 23:48:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf7a40d…
10-23 23:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	88¢	$112	0x841c5a…
10-23 23:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6ffe64…
10-23 23:48:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x57b111…
10-23 23:48:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7f72b3…
10-23 23:48:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x264d7c…
10-23 23:48:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf28e29…
10-23 23:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe1cff4…
10-23 23:47:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xee3776…
10-23 23:47:54	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	762	51¢	$389	0x7eac6d…
10-23 23:47:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xdc6cf9…
10-23 23:47:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xeffc9a…
10-23 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0x66819c…
10-23 23:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x5221fc…
10-23 23:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1e3a85…
10-23 23:46:08	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xdd7cad…
10-23 23:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	76¢	$58	0x94a680…
10-23 23:45:15	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	678	46¢	$312	0x04cbcc…
10-23 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xcdca20…
10-23 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x6319be…
10-23 23:44:18	Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)	Magic	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xa2ee07…
10-23 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xef63af…
10-23 23:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbfbb57…
10-23 23:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x57ea76…
10-23 23:43:47	Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa0b994…
10-23 23:43:47	Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x4dd102…
10-23 23:43:45	Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x7626db…
10-23 23:43:45	Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	124	49¢	$61	0x56ebfe…
10-23 23:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa07105…
10-23 23:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x5e5d37…
10-23 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0e0c06…
10-23 23:43:02	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x1df0be…
10-23 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	127	82¢	$104	0xc337ea…
10-23 23:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0xdee1cb…
10-23 23:42:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa8d9dc…
10-23 23:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0x0ea178…
10-23 23:42:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0283fa…
10-23 23:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x72d050…
10-23 23:42:02	nba min orl 2026 10 23 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6609e2…
10-23 23:42:02	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x09e1e7…
10-23 23:41:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x20a282…
10-23 23:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x56fc64…
10-23 23:41:44	North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State	Delaware State	BUY	215	2¢	$4	0xf7136a…
10-23 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	127	53¢	$67	0xb64817…
10-23 23:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0x636e13…
10-23 23:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x925596…
10-23 23:41:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc9bd8a…
10-23 23:41:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc043b7…
10-23 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x609bd6…
10-23 23:40:48	Spread: Virginia (-2.5)	Virginia	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x8ee290…
10-23 23:40:47	nba min orl 2026 10 23 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	95	59¢	$56	0xf91923…
10-23 23:40:47	nba min orl 2026 10 23 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	72	59¢	$42	0xe9a2b4…
10-23 23:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xac0eb2…
10-23 23:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xd2619c…
10-23 23:40:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x81c296…
10-23 23:40:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7fbdda…
10-23 23:40:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa03f53…
10-23 23:40:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe240f8…
10-23 23:40:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaf0128…
10-23 23:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc4311d…
10-23 23:40:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe720db…
10-23 23:40:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8a4c2e…
10-23 23:40:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x4aa4c9…
10-23 23:40:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x243c47…
10-23 23:39:44	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5907d2…
10-23 23:39:41	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x042015…
10-23 23:39:39	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1e8db5…
10-23 23:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	42¢	$24	0xa87fc6…