Vague-Hourglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$168.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$265

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

25,676

Trades

3,501,425

lifetime

Volume

$31.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.06K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$168,466

Other

0% 100% +$260

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 89519 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	—	+638	$516	99¢	$631	+$115	10-27 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	—	+429	$261	99¢	$425	+$164	10-27 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	—	+471	$19	1¢	$5	-$14	10-27 13:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	1,094	$15.0K	25,560	+25,560	Down	-$672	08-24 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	738	$14.3K	27,501	+27,501	Down	+$701	08-21 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	1,295	$13.7K	26,154	+26,154	Down	+$3,740	09-21 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	1,250	$13.5K	27,516	+27,516	Down	+$40	08-19 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:30 UTC	604	$12.5K	26,503	+26,503	Down	-$259	08-26 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:05 UTC	1,209	$12.3K	23,197	+23,197	Down	-$107	08-25 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	1,029	$11.9K	23,662	+23,662	Up	+$657	09-21 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:15 UTC	1,173	$11.9K	23,323	+23,323	Down	-$112	08-19 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	991	$11.9K	21,391	+21,391	Up	-$15	08-25 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:25 UTC	818	$11.8K	21,940	+21,940	Up	+$220	08-24 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:05 UTC	826	$11.7K	18,502	+18,502	Up	-$1,649	08-22 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:20 UTC	1,040	$11.6K	19,938	+19,938	Up	-$709	08-25 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:40 UTC	721	$11.4K	20,976	+20,976	Up	-$43	09-30 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:35 UTC	987	$11.4K	21,340	+21,340	Down	-$272	08-25 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:10 UTC	1,132	$11.2K	19,761	+19,761	Down	-$679	08-25 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1,128	$11.0K	22,212	+22,212	Down	+$814	09-01 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:40 UTC	926	$10.7K	20,869	+20,869	Up	-$14	08-29 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:50 UTC	990	$10.6K	22,603	+22,603	Down	+$535	09-21 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	547	$10.6K	14,820	+14,820	Up	-$1,349	09-23 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:25 UTC	927	$10.6K	21,370	+21,370	Up	+$344	09-24 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:05 UTC	937	$10.3K	22,342	+22,342	Up	+$312	09-29 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	709	$10.2K	16,362	+16,362	Down	-$111	09-11 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:20 UTC	1,142	$10.2K	18,396	+18,396	Up	-$867	08-22 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	909	$9.9K	17,692	+17,692	Up	-$503	08-25 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	892	$9.8K	18,387	+18,387	Up	-$420	09-11 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:25 UTC	680	$9.7K	17,849	+17,849	Down	-$606	09-16 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:40 UTC	1,137	$9.6K	21,889	+21,889	Down	+$1,321	09-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	894	$9.5K	16,891	+16,891	Down	-$2,074	10-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:15 UTC	837	$9.5K	18,702	+18,702	Down	-$265	09-29 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	733	$9.5K	13,516	+13,516	Down	-$1,868	09-09 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xf7ec3c…
10-27 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xab4917…
10-27 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x3955b5…
10-27 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3052d4…
10-27 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x341118…
10-27 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xebb072…
10-27 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x58896d…
10-27 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x066c95…
10-27 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x886519…
10-27 13:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x18c783…
10-27 13:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0x7d4a63…
10-27 13:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0xf8e331…
10-27 13:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xbae67f…
10-27 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x71533b…
10-27 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4d1023…
10-27 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x476674…
10-27 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x0d0435…
10-27 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x129f1a…
10-27 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf1e139…
10-27 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0x28513c…
10-27 13:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x843cfd…
10-27 13:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x5d3dfe…
10-27 13:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x5608ab…
10-27 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb51b21…
10-27 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa35864…
10-27 13:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x797436…
10-27 13:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x72945e…
10-27 13:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x359d6e…
10-27 13:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xaa045a…
10-27 13:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x6a648d…
10-27 13:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4e5ec0…
10-27 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd5394d…
10-27 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xd36f62…
10-27 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x82f247…
10-27 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x624383…
10-27 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x101cdb…
10-27 13:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb4a8ab…
10-27 13:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5520de…
10-27 13:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xc829e4…
10-27 13:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x862052…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xeaf160…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xded917…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xddbdf0…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xad1d65…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x708e20…
10-27 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x06de33…
10-27 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x52f859…
10-27 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2c7e72…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc3da6a…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb16ae4…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xb04713…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8247ed…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x4eebb6…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3a2d1f…
10-27 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x36ecbf…
10-27 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x995ea3…
10-27 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7daf9a…
10-27 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x59b2bc…
10-27 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x4cc54a…
10-27 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xa77afb…
10-27 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x9a9f78…
10-27 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x7dda1e…
10-27 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x74ee72…
10-27 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4c1315…
10-27 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7d8ebe…
10-27 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x5dfe36…
10-27 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x18a268…
10-27 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x130ec9…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xb802ac…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa6a681…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0x912d40…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x6e514d…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x2d8caa…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x16051f…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x14d49f…
10-27 13:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x0a4292…
10-27 13:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x5404d0…
10-27 13:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd5383d…
10-27 13:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x9e79e2…
10-27 13:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x7198a9…
10-27 13:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xb85f73…
10-27 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xbec53a…
10-27 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xb68c95…
10-27 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1e6be6…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xa576e3…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x951482…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0x892aac…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5deeaa…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x34167b…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x26e898…
10-27 13:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0x0145d6…
10-27 13:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfad423…
10-27 13:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8b5e81…
10-27 13:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x68bc16…
10-27 13:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0x4b9548…
10-27 13:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xdac852…
10-27 13:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8401ec…
10-27 13:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xb7b7bd…
10-27 13:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x4aa250…
10-27 13:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x3d2689…