Lumbering-Kayak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

60,934

Trades

1,660,555

lifetime

Volume

$6.98M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-12 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$110,851

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 12260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 16:40 UTC	101	$6.4K	7,795	7,564	+230	Up	-$1,439	04-01 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:25 UTC	375	$3.0K	5,761	0	+5,761	Up	-$6	07-30 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	352	$2.7K	5,382	0	+5,382	Up	+$3	07-28 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:30 UTC	372	$2.4K	4,918	0	+4,918	Down	-$9	08-02 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:10 UTC	351	$2.1K	4,447	0	+4,447	Up	+$61	07-30 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:25 UTC	349	$2.1K	4,396	0	+4,396	Down	+$84	07-30 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:40 UTC	334	$2.1K	4,040	0	+4,040	Down	-$57	07-30 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:05 UTC	362	$2.1K	4,041	0	+4,041	Down	-$65	07-30 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:35 UTC	318	$2.0K	4,239	0	+4,239	Up	+$172	08-02 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	333	$2.0K	4,009	0	+4,009	Down	+$7	07-30 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:30 UTC	204	$2.0K	4,069	0	+4,069	Down	+$16	08-18 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:25 UTC	340	$2.0K	4,232	0	+4,232	Up	+$204	08-02 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	474	$1.9K	3,987	0	+3,987	Down	+$48	09-11 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 00:25 UTC	275	$1.8K	3,927	0	+3,927	Up	+$134	07-31 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 06:55 UTC	299	$1.8K	3,682	0	+3,682	Down	-$12	07-31 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	157	$1.8K	3,818	0	+3,818	Down	+$44	08-18 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:25 UTC	200	$1.8K	3,952	0	+3,952	Down	+$79	08-18 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	221	$1.8K	3,699	0	+3,699	Down	+$7	07-29 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:05 UTC	272	$1.8K	3,595	0	+3,595	Down	-$20	07-30 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:00 UTC	321	$1.8K	3,650	0	+3,650	Up	+$0	08-02 17:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	504	$1.8K	3,633	0	+3,633	Up	+$18	09-27 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:55 UTC	160	$1.8K	3,630	0	+3,630	Up	+$41	08-18 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:55 UTC	277	$1.7K	3,417	0	+3,417	Up	-$40	07-22 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	301	$1.7K	3,512	0	+3,512	Up	+$44	08-02 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:50 UTC	172	$1.7K	3,481	0	+3,481	Up	+$14	08-18 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	375	$1.7K	3,450	0	+3,450	Down	+$55	10-03 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:45 UTC	241	$1.7K	3,087	0	+3,087	Down	-$107	08-02 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	382	$1.6K	3,367	0	+3,367	Up	+$47	10-04 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:55 UTC	269	$1.6K	3,278	0	+3,278	Down	+$4	07-30 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	207	$1.6K	3,063	0	+3,063	Up	-$50	07-29 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3752e4…
11-12 20:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbda437…
11-12 20:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5e9297…
11-12 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x611a7a…
11-12 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbf2a02…
11-12 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xec7c19…
11-12 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa0224b…
11-12 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1aa360…
11-12 19:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2e93dd…
11-12 19:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x010e1a…
11-12 19:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf85b03…
11-12 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0c8068…
11-12 19:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6bfb10…
11-12 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xff0cca…
11-12 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x57564e…
11-12 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3585de…
11-12 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x145d40…
11-12 19:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd197ef…
11-12 19:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5e06eb…
11-12 19:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x0fbfe9…
11-12 19:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xbe4f2d…
11-12 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7e6786…
11-12 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x16c040…
11-12 19:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8e29b2…
11-12 19:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xd2c062…
11-12 19:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5bba2…
11-12 19:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x646858…
11-12 19:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb03858…
11-12 19:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfcb5af…
11-12 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa82068…
11-12 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x64412c…
11-12 19:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x317921…
11-12 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6078ec…
11-12 19:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1818c9…
11-12 19:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x2631e4…
11-12 19:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x34b778…
11-12 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x17d81e…
11-12 19:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x5abaa3…
11-12 19:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x218c21…
11-12 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1f7eb3…
11-12 19:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6b2e26…
11-12 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2718e3…
11-12 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x017788…
11-12 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf4a723…
11-12 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf664f0…
11-12 19:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x265ded…
11-12 19:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb00c4…
11-12 19:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xeb684b…
11-12 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0abbff…
11-12 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x838e72…
11-12 19:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x781cec…
11-12 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff978a…
11-12 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaba9e7…
11-12 19:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x34ced6…
11-12 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbbc06b…
11-12 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x725b3f…
11-12 19:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x57df3d…
11-12 19:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc7308c…
11-12 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x005935…
11-12 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xf5cbc6…
11-12 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7d4a87…
11-12 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc2917e…
11-12 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1fc0f7…
11-12 19:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x864574…
11-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaa4860…
11-12 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb2c8a8…
11-12 19:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xaf162e…
11-12 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x97a80f…
11-12 19:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4ba130…
11-12 19:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xabf783…
11-12 19:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xca78fd…
11-12 19:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb756a9…
11-12 19:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb818e8…
11-12 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x9850dc…
11-12 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x490c21…
11-12 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3ebb2e…
11-12 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x31d282…
11-12 19:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb1fc35…
11-12 19:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7f67e3…
11-12 19:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x77d514…
11-12 19:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcafae7…
11-12 19:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5f3571…
11-12 19:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0a1288…
11-12 19:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x7298a6…
11-12 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb72102…
11-12 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x645f96…
11-12 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x494d24…
11-12 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2d6df6…
11-12 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbfc569…
11-12 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x42fdf9…
11-12 19:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2eefc2…
11-12 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1bd808…
11-12 19:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd56694…
11-12 19:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcc7a58…
11-12 19:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x3dc9a5…
11-12 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0e21c6…
11-12 19:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x018b81…
11-12 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb8d473…
11-12 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb9908f…
11-12 19:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x335cf7…