Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

176

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$352

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-22 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 27% -$26

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	-22	-$21	100¢	$-22	-$1	09-30 06:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	-10	-$9	96¢	$-10	-$1	08-31 14:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$1	08-31 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	-22	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	09-30 06:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 06:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa34c23…
10-22 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x077599…
10-22 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf427d7…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x07cf88…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ca0c9…
10-22 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf2de20…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6b187e…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x62aee3…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe862c3…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc69107…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb93224…
10-22 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x815553…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x110dbf…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4e6af3…
10-22 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0d0144…
10-22 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb2afc5…
10-22 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4bbfe6…
10-22 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ff076…
10-21 22:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x39c3b1…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7b4c4…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6cc316…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x78c2ac…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7c3cd6…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8ef169…
10-21 09:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d3790…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x356685…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a2bd6…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa42961…
10-21 06:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x542459…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x246873…
10-21 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x45493d…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbe02ac…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8f7d91…
10-21 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x38b943…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4d841…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7c7545…
10-21 00:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb91546…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdea79f…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdb4f7c…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf93214…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1c84b7…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x44e9a5…
10-20 04:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x499589…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x93097e…
10-20 04:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d0cf3…
10-20 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa354bf…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb04169…
10-20 00:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe03151…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe0cf8c…
10-19 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x036b32…
10-19 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc65343…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x57db36…
10-19 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa60e2b…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x867760…
10-19 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa1815e…
10-19 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x527886…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbbfa96…
10-19 07:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1e6976…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdbe307…
10-18 18:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcc1119…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x366665…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc10ca3…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x57b5b4…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbdbbe…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf2ad4c…
10-18 04:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x52f17f…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdc20e3…
10-18 03:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x882c47…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x34f0fb…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x947a5b…
10-18 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ad526…
10-18 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe6502e…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x86c1e6…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x88a4f2…
10-17 22:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8c01fb…
10-17 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x19673b…
10-17 20:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x42a3f0…
10-17 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x704f47…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x43e4d3…
10-17 18:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x88f607…
10-17 17:19:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc6ca47…
10-17 15:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf9d24f…
10-17 15:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1865ac…
10-17 13:14:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd43d7f…
10-17 13:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfc48ec…
10-17 12:54:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa9dbc6…
10-17 12:41:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x76fbad…
10-17 12:00:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b7b70…
10-17 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc13eae…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x34988d…
10-17 08:34:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x005af9…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4b007c…
10-16 20:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x71a741…
10-16 20:24:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4b36ec…
10-16 12:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6708cb…
10-16 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbcb524…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3ffe74…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x668d94…
10-15 16:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x096cc9…
10-15 15:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x929a5f…