Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

162

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$403

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 41% +$55

Other

4% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-16	-$15	95¢	$-15	$0	09-30 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-16	-$11	88¢	$-14	-$3	08-31 15:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-16	-$4	12¢	$-2	+$3	08-31 15:00
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-16	-$1	5¢	$-1	$0	09-30 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$18	10-06 09:28
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$16	0	32	-32	open	—	09-30 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$16	0	32	-32	open	—	08-31 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x859c30…
10-23 01:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb9edd3…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfe0164…
10-23 01:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe9485a…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x87bc7e…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xddaad5…
10-22 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfc8d23…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8a0a56…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x64c060…
10-22 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfb0d27…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x339ba9…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x54978e…
10-22 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x87fada…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x492ac3…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x01c020…
10-22 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x692c64…
10-22 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbc319f…
10-22 03:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e2ed3…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x49ef8e…
10-22 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6477e1…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x00f1a1…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3844ef…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4c85e2…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98a5d1…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x21666a…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcc3263…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4e9ed…
10-21 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x954d7e…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x68b261…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe4d1bf…
10-21 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4b8a4b…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x99a180…
10-21 00:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x70485f…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd8ecf…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb21d2e…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7f3ad1…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x406d51…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6e98ea…
10-20 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe7885c…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf0e25a…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc69f77…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9474d4…
10-19 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe0ae7e…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x410b7b…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda0eeb…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4775c1…
10-19 14:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc07cc4…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x436d92…
10-19 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x362a4b…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd9b56a…
10-19 12:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdaca30…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb44753…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb8cbec…
10-18 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64c320…
10-18 23:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3a970f…
10-18 18:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe70d28…
10-18 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc87e3a…
10-18 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x760161…
10-18 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd6aaa4…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf9dca9…
10-18 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa5bcfb…
10-18 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa39bd5…
10-18 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39a8c3…
10-18 04:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x69ec47…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5741a5…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8cc484…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x63eb8d…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x82b072…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3f1d01…
10-17 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6ac9bc…
10-17 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x27dac4…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc98676…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x67589c…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3cc156…
10-17 13:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xce6345…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x14811c…
10-17 12:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x010fdf…
10-17 12:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x446426…
10-17 11:54:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd838f9…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x37dba2…
10-17 10:24:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4e96cb…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7a093a…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8fdb0c…
10-17 01:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x823b2f…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x58bbc7…
10-16 20:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x3321f0…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x784455…
10-16 18:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x777578…
10-16 18:22:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x76b3fb…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x05ef57…
10-16 12:40:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8a6001…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb077da…
10-16 04:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4ce7ab…
10-16 00:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8b2c87…
10-16 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x436472…
10-15 22:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x592ead…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x86eb4c…
10-15 18:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x57cb15…
10-15 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3245df…
10-15 12:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7385f4…