Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

186

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$439

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 38% +$40

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-22	-$21	96¢	$-21	$0	09-30 07:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-13	-$12	96¢	$-13	-$1	08-31 14:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-22	-$1	4¢	$-1	$0	09-30 07:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-13	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$1	08-31 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$18	10-06 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$13	0	26	-26	open	—	08-31 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x65ccaf…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x419e82…
10-23 01:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x445548…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x27a832…
10-22 22:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1a2bd0…
10-22 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x95e42a…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x51610d…
10-22 20:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x085b9a…
10-22 18:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x28308d…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x76aa01…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x57bd27…
10-22 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfb09a0…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe4d987…
10-22 11:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd60d38…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xee330d…
10-22 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc01751…
10-22 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb97cdf…
10-22 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3da80c…
10-22 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c2f67…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x81f85d…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xea50c8…
10-22 03:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf92e77…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb12f8d…
10-22 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0c7c88…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4315a1…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xca150d…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x55e24e…
10-21 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9e6a74…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf49b3a…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7dee58…
10-21 08:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3e79bd…
10-21 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe1da5a…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce9485…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x83a5bc…
10-21 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc813eb…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x276bd6…
10-21 05:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8095f9…
10-21 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x35b6cd…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x320c24…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe392d3…
10-21 00:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7f4b2b…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd94495…
10-20 16:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4198d5…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x62904c…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde5dc8…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd9905c…
10-20 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5c7173…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd75284…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a41be…
10-20 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcfdf4f…
10-20 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d2b46…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5e17a3…
10-19 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x101fac…
10-19 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe6c44c…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61a55f…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x590544…
10-19 14:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x881672…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x223cae…
10-19 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x865e2b…
10-19 13:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f9954…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x174bc7…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x940741…
10-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9fb016…
10-18 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xda2f71…
10-18 23:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaa4796…
10-18 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x118045…
10-18 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x328e34…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6295eb…
10-18 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x04d50e…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb46967…
10-18 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x322099…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7613a3…
10-18 05:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d170f…
10-18 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5b17dc…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07c440…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x99677a…
10-18 02:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf6f113…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x48e8f1…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x346c5b…
10-17 21:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x809eba…
10-17 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5d67c6…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03e2d3…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x09d698…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x803976…
10-17 15:15:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x21b146…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8cd79e…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x20d2f4…
10-17 13:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe49e1f…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8832ed…
10-17 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x905836…
10-17 12:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfcedf6…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbd6ecb…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x51d80d…
10-17 10:24:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee1a8b…
10-17 07:21:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a720b…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9d4bad…
10-17 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x84f397…
10-17 01:39:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbd7c1f…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa4e351…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70558a…