Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

188

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$395

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 31% +$3

Politics

4% 0% $0

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		-9	-$7	88¢	$-8	-$1	09-30 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-9	-$2	12¢	$-1	+$1	09-30 07:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$15	0	30	-30	Yes	$0	08-31 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$9	0	18	-18	open	—	09-30 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x411dc5…
10-23 01:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9369c3…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe460ed…
10-23 01:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x757da2…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x59c527…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5378b3…
10-22 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x99fb24…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x398293…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc2a16…
10-22 14:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9a3f0c…
10-22 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6e3ab9…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e806b…
10-22 13:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8a3d13…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc19d33…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a97e1…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdc725a…
10-22 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xda28b2…
10-22 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc2bc74…
10-22 03:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1160ab…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5447b3…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e7037…
10-22 02:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa1c6b…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0ae7ca…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1db51d…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdb717e…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x790caf…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc66ab2…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa5175e…
10-21 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8f2337…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe6822e…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5a311d…
10-21 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5885a7…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7cfaf…
10-21 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x70aa85…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x753170…
10-20 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7737ba…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6ac2df…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8576cc…
10-20 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2c4f5b…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xff1886…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe0cc1d…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x627e9f…
10-19 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe0cace…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x12e5cb…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x607949…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x351756…
10-19 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31c13f…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0b86b2…
10-19 13:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc6832f…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb37240…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6278a8…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x917c8c…
10-19 08:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x18f82e…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc2ba4…
10-18 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x426986…
10-18 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb0a1bd…
10-18 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe63250…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x19dd6a…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d720b…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x12a952…
10-18 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x10f676…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b1519…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d04c1…
10-18 02:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3af0eb…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf7c48f…
10-18 02:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x011272…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee4387…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd274f3…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x16bd31…
10-17 21:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc48479…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcc5bba…
10-17 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc7134…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x982db9…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2c64ff…
10-17 15:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8134b7…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1233ca…
10-17 13:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x587744…
10-17 13:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x220c7b…
10-17 12:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc4ea8b…
10-17 12:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8169f3…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb95ca7…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b1286…
10-17 08:34:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6e38f8…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4ee7a0…
10-17 02:33:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xae6e99…
10-17 01:39:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8dc0a…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x44554e…
10-16 20:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3c5e4e…
10-16 20:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd40819…
10-16 18:28:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf13e3e…
10-16 18:20:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x223a50…
10-16 18:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3b9c52…
10-16 17:21:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4ac00f…
10-16 16:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa90d66…
10-16 14:21:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd6562e…
10-16 13:58:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x007e04…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39deed…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4105b4…
10-16 12:39:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfba01e…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf17bb8…