Sardonic-Presidency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$112.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

11,713

Trades

100,486

lifetime

Volume

$1.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-28 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 269 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 55% +$106,470

Sports

19% 59% +$5,115

Other

4% 49% +$1,016

Politics

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 4434 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$5	$0	06-01 19:24
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+6	$5	95¢	$5	$0	06-01 19:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+5	$5	57¢	$3	-$2	06-01 19:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	142	$11.7K	10,298	5,879	+4,419	Up	+$149	09-11 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:45 UTC	121	$5.8K	10,844	0	+10,844	Up	-$3,948	09-27 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:55 UTC	294	$5.7K	10,838	0	+10,838	Up	-$38	09-29 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	132	$5.3K	8,822	0	+8,822	Up	+$3,565	09-27 18:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	133	$5.2K	8,727	0	+8,727	Up	+$3,519	09-27 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	67	$4.9K	9,762	0	+9,762	Up	-$331	09-12 04:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	185	$4.8K	8,053	0	+8,053	Down	+$3,238	09-27 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:25 UTC	219	$4.7K	8,835	0	+8,835	Up	-$256	09-24 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	254	$4.7K	8,786	0	+8,786	Down	-$245	09-29 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:15 UTC	176	$4.5K	9,090	0	+9,090	Up	+$150	09-24 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	13	$4.3K	2,908	2,855	+53	Up	+$1,343	09-08 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	139	$4.2K	7,741	369	+7,372	Up	+$1,348	09-11 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	63	$3.9K	7,065	0	+7,065	Up	-$1,080	09-09 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	161	$3.9K	7,303	0	+7,303	Up	+$2,159	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	77	$3.9K	7,687	0	+7,687	Up	-$2,192	09-05 22:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:45 UTC	79	$3.9K	11,246	0	+11,246	Up	+$3,642	09-26 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	236	$3.8K	7,733	0	+7,733	Down	-$2	09-29 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	246	$3.7K	7,650	0	+7,650	Up	+$51	09-30 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	166	$3.7K	6,975	0	+6,975	Up	-$122	10-01 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:10 UTC	150	$3.6K	7,399	0	+7,399	Down	+$74	09-24 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:15 UTC	110	$3.6K	3,481	1,797	+1,684	Down	-$37	08-27 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	100	$3.5K	6,897	0	+6,897	Down	+$1,326	10-11 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:40 UTC	144	$3.3K	6,716	0	+6,716	Up	-$57	09-29 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	27	$3.2K	6,055	0	+6,055	Up	+$9	09-07 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	75	$3.2K	4,940	786	+4,155	Up	-$282	10-24 01:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	42	$3.2K	6,065	95	+5,970	Up	-$375	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	164	$3.2K	6,353	0	+6,353	Up	-$1	09-24 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	101	$3.1K	4,362	2,437	+1,926	Up	-$526	10-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	71	$3.1K	5,652	0	+5,652	Down	-$415	09-08 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:40 UTC	129	$3.0K	5,990	0	+5,990	Down	+$151	09-29 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xfa7925…
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xcc485e…
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x965c30…
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x80f632…
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5e475a…
10-28 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x445dae…
10-28 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd85129…
10-28 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xd1edda…
10-28 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5269c0…
10-28 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3053b9…
10-28 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2b471c…
10-28 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x55bcd7…
10-28 00:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xf70ea7…
10-28 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0xce730b…
10-28 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xc85829…
10-28 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0x7fe8a1…
10-28 00:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	235	23¢	$54	0x1097b7…
10-28 00:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x017504…
10-28 00:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x195200…
10-28 00:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x69049a…
10-28 00:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	456	25¢	$115	0x57b4eb…
10-27 02:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	46¢	$74	0x0193aa…
10-27 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xfd2b13…
10-27 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x8268e4…
10-27 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x471b8c…
10-27 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x30ca62…
10-27 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	97	94¢	$91	0x1cc845…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xe35ae8…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$23	0xdc0b49…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xc60681…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb10c92…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x67a9eb…
10-27 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x19336f…
10-27 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd3f278…
10-27 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc2bce8…
10-27 02:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	45¢	$26	0xccb333…
10-27 02:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x06cb7a…
10-27 02:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x118591…
10-27 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0xeed666…
10-27 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	79	54¢	$43	0xd469fd…
10-27 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbab6f9…
10-27 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	54¢	$13	0x53074f…
10-27 02:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x9b26ca…
10-27 02:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x6daf30…
10-27 02:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	49¢	$32	0x421b01…
10-27 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	380	51¢	$194	0xd645ba…
10-27 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa4e8ae…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0xe0eb1c…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x9dcdd7…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x91dbbe…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x56f1ef…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x31daac…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x268d80…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x23b410…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x237fcf…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	85	69¢	$59	0x208f0f…
10-27 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x03934e…
10-27 02:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x545279…
10-27 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0x04544c…
10-27 02:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xa90676…
10-27 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	260	33¢	$87	0x8baa49…
10-27 01:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x9d4db9…
10-27 01:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	579	31¢	$179	0xaa5fcd…
10-27 01:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x41a8bd…
10-27 01:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1dc9fe…
10-27 01:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x95764a…
10-27 01:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x5434fd…
10-27 01:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0x236eae…
10-27 01:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x35b8ef…
10-27 01:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x2660d1…
10-27 01:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2405bb…
10-27 01:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x893509…
10-27 01:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x8e3491…
10-27 01:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	217	16¢	$35	0x345b8e…
10-27 00:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	429	30¢	$127	0xa80c0f…
10-27 00:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xa016d2…
10-27 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0xe6415c…
10-27 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	104	42¢	$43	0x06f1b4…
10-27 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	400	42¢	$167	0x86dd06…
10-27 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x959196…
10-27 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	79	67¢	$53	0x0184ed…
10-27 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xec0d10…
10-25 21:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xa7b0e0…
10-25 21:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4ec38a…
10-25 21:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x80b2a7…
10-25 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x44e283…
10-25 21:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x3886c0…
10-25 21:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	428	8¢	$34	0x352dda…
10-25 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x57b7c3…
10-25 21:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x680cc6…
10-25 21:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0xc0f142…
10-25 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	268	5¢	$13	0x4010a8…
10-25 21:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	432	7¢	$30	0x502949…
10-25 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x245988…
10-25 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a37ce…
10-25 21:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xece0f1…
10-25 21:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x7bf42d…
10-25 21:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x3c2dda…
10-25 21:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	146	83¢	$121	0xea8106…
10-25 21:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd12644…