Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

148

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 32% -$1

Other

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-13	-$13	98¢	$-13	$0	09-30 06:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	-10	-$8	97¢	$-10	-$2	08-31 14:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	-10	-$2	3¢	$-0	+$1	10-06 08:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-13	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 06:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$13	0	26	-26	open	—	09-30 06:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$9	0	20	-20	open	—	10-06 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-12 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd9a879…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4f3a17…
10-23 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xef4c8b…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x63706a…
10-23 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xab57a3…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2757c8…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb5ef00…
10-22 22:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x71948c…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb31587…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18d80e…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa30b62…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x19b005…
10-22 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x96f57b…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x624486…
10-22 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc19c69…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf95dbc…
10-22 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x857c23…
10-22 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0caddd…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeadb4b…
10-22 04:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x638c33…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x753337…
10-22 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bd1c9…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66218a…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x748936…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbabcae…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb9bf39…
10-22 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x729787…
10-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4552cf…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x79a52a…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4f0134…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa0e09d…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6fbec0…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x763463…
10-21 07:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc56c62…
10-21 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa82c5d…
10-21 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc8c2cf…
10-21 05:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe1c59f…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03cdd6…
10-21 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbf90e4…
10-21 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfe1537…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe956f3…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8127cd…
10-21 00:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe91f4a…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7afca8…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf4c4f6…
10-20 16:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaac8b7…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaff8c7…
10-20 07:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe9c1ed…
10-20 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6ca5f3…
10-20 04:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ac1e7…
10-20 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1ef679…
10-20 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c2120…
10-19 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa6986d…
10-19 22:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x47f6ef…
10-19 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb8664b…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8ad75d…
10-19 14:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9e03a7…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x134311…
10-19 13:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2a9f51…
10-19 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb2bc28…
10-19 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf226d7…
10-19 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4c72f7…
10-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xda712b…
10-18 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6e8de0…
10-18 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc2f13a…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x92bcb4…
10-18 17:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc86d3a…
10-18 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xee2782…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2512a4…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1b47a…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd4573a…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x83b6e3…
10-18 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x16e419…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xac339d…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0ca88d…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf1fc3e…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x646dfa…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc8fd1…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x227b99…
10-17 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6bc189…
10-17 21:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x09bebf…
10-17 19:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb919e3…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb402cd…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0a8cfc…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9e57c7…
10-17 13:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6e0a21…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2af622…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xab8684…
10-17 12:00:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3dc8e2…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe8a9ce…
10-17 11:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x357ea0…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b8b71…
10-17 01:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x238be9…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd11c91…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x70e613…
10-16 20:14:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdf57c4…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa9b4b2…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x282c3d…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1efa74…
10-15 22:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x44fc8e…