Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

181

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$407

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 33% +$19

Other

8% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-24	-$23	98¢	$-24	$0	09-30 06:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-24	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 06:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$24	0	48	-48	open	—	09-30 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$14	10-06 09:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb7174…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9813f8…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa42815…
10-23 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6f4b6d…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe78296…
10-23 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2266ba…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe856bc…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46b649…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x278057…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3671de…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1c32c…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x978f75…
10-22 13:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3a0018…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x48ce86…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3e974…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x62a013…
10-22 10:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x748559…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6940e6…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ca001…
10-22 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e2603…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xad35cb…
10-22 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x384f20…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x99dbe6…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2c202b…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0611d6…
10-21 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x426ee2…
10-21 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8a030c…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe6c584…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0c298a…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6f9eb1…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdfd0e3…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5d87b1…
10-21 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x174aa4…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbb9064…
10-21 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8b4a90…
10-21 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x61556a…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7962f6…
10-21 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x16ed87…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x41f68c…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbb3220…
10-21 00:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7c3042…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb69dfc…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x27fdf9…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6eb3ed…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x393347…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x25eca1…
10-20 04:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3d7aa7…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08a35d…
10-20 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x120a64…
10-20 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbed489…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcc85a6…
10-20 00:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x68b26e…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x62d1b1…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x852c8f…
10-19 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1d53cb…
10-19 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18d041…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39a094…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf2d4a8…
10-19 07:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0a9342…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8eef12…
10-18 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfbb3c2…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xce8e85…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf75396…
10-18 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73ae2f…
10-18 13:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xffbc14…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x07a7b1…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8be5de…
10-18 04:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc96fe9…
10-18 03:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x45d5c4…
10-18 03:08:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x32df88…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc785a9…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x80d3dc…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa5e2e8…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe793e2…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0a53b3…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c00a8…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0912e8…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe140f9…
10-17 17:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc5f0e7…
10-17 15:14:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x253ae8…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x98c118…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x007502…
10-17 13:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb2e4bc…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe079c0…
10-17 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6da157…
10-17 12:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb254c…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7ab45f…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x77b760…
10-17 10:24:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x259a43…
10-17 07:21:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc75cf8…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x223422…
10-17 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc9d5c4…
10-17 01:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd59a38…
10-17 01:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e0884…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x102fa5…
10-16 20:14:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcf3f01…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4469ef…
10-16 18:59:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0dd451…
10-16 18:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9ee207…
10-16 13:59:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x869b04…