Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

177

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$359

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% -$13

Other

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	-12	-$9	96¢	$-12	-$2	08-31 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-12	-$10	90¢	$-11	-$1	09-30 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-12	-$2	11¢	$-1	+$1	09-30 07:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	-12	-$3	4¢	$-0	+$2	08-31 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$12	0	24	-24	open	—	09-30 07:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$12	0	24	-24	open	—	08-31 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-17 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-10 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcf5879…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfb4d83…
10-23 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x669075…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd09048…
10-22 22:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfa3b9f…
10-22 22:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb33c32…
10-22 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5ef2ca…
10-22 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbc89c0…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaf0572…
10-22 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x29c44e…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2ef63f…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9b1410…
10-22 08:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa80467…
10-22 07:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x42d7eb…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd29a3c…
10-22 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8628aa…
10-22 03:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6e02a…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x926df3…
10-22 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x266ef5…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc2821c…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x10cb33…
10-21 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x871889…
10-21 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x135bab…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x27acba…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x233455…
10-21 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x327b09…
10-21 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x71977c…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfbe6a4…
10-21 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd88329…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc75c51…
10-21 00:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb36cc6…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa003a0…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5b4135…
10-20 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6aaf2f…
10-20 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8e42b4…
10-20 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd3f160…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3621ff…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf3312d…
10-20 04:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc96a3c…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6bfd8b…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x10019f…
10-20 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3a9da1…
10-19 23:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeceeb7…
10-19 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe3d5d3…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6c2c5d…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a27f9…
10-19 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x809ce6…
10-19 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb68d37…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf2b060…
10-19 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe534dd…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf7bf53…
10-19 12:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x060017…
10-19 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf31be7…
10-19 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x95c0a0…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfe74b9…
10-18 18:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe00100…
10-18 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x83a3d5…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x89ee5c…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe15d4b…
10-18 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb60616…
10-18 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeeb498…
10-18 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9c8dbe…
10-18 03:48:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xafe8f3…
10-18 03:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc5e7b9…
10-18 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3865c5…
10-18 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xada267…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe641a5…
10-18 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4fcc45…
10-17 23:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x91952b…
10-17 22:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa72259…
10-17 21:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x23a029…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x38bbe8…
10-17 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7516e5…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfc4e26…
10-17 18:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xabd0b8…
10-17 17:19:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe6c47c…
10-17 15:15:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x48d745…
10-17 15:07:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5e3d5e…
10-17 13:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x866b91…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd22d1…
10-17 12:54:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x994ce2…
10-17 12:42:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd2ebb2…
10-17 12:00:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10f62a…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x637f86…
10-17 08:34:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcb399f…
10-17 04:05:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa2a8b9…
10-16 20:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x385e4b…
10-16 20:24:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x59dca1…
10-16 18:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x37bfd6…
10-16 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfc40e0…
10-16 12:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4b5f0a…
10-16 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xefe627…
10-15 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b645e…
10-15 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8f37d1…
10-15 15:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf0619e…
10-15 12:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdfbf2b…
10-15 11:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x49fdc3…
10-15 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x17b44d…
10-15 10:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc69f6e…
10-15 06:52:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x812bfa…