Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

190

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$432

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 31% +$9

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-42	-$34	88¢	$-37	-$4	09-30 07:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-8	-$7	96¢	$-8	$0	08-31 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-42	-$8	12¢	$-5	+$3	09-30 07:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-8	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$0	08-31 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$42	0	84	-84	open	—	09-30 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$12	10-06 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	0	16	-16	open	—	08-31 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-06 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x48eb65…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbb586…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfd9326…
10-23 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2752c3…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8ee2cd…
10-22 22:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe146e8…
10-22 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7f0b08…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x900811…
10-22 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8a6cce…
10-22 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x98b6fb…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10f156…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a254d…
10-22 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x66f9bc…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23fef0…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7e1f9e…
10-22 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x778e2d…
10-22 10:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x944953…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3fc0a0…
10-22 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x394d6d…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa60b23…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x05caa6…
10-22 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b1a63…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf7acd1…
10-22 00:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb815cf…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9c72b5…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4c29b8…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe23312…
10-21 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbe9b75…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x440347…
10-21 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x61ca7c…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x017461…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe3ef5b…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x71a46e…
10-21 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c9163…
10-21 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x48b7f3…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3caae7…
10-21 05:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f9dd3…
10-21 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb92210…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x773f8a…
10-21 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59c337…
10-21 00:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfcd8c5…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x568fe7…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xedd2db…
10-20 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xefa651…
10-20 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb067b5…
10-20 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe8d7ac…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4cf1fb…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x582d0d…
10-20 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x635f1e…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x33bb54…
10-20 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x219b22…
10-20 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf03602…
10-20 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc39165…
10-20 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x51d63a…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a44bd…
10-20 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x078b17…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x17d3b0…
10-19 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6860d7…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xce122a…
10-19 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7a742f…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3b284a…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdbd33a…
10-19 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd3a5c0…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x670156…
10-18 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x462b93…
10-18 23:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe597d7…
10-18 18:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd13dcb…
10-18 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x856c60…
10-18 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x37076b…
10-18 12:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb890dc…
10-18 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5ded72…
10-18 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1d5ae8…
10-18 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0f26ca…
10-18 03:48:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x08219d…
10-18 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x01cb93…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xebf3d8…
10-17 23:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea058d…
10-17 21:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x437a94…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x437127…
10-17 20:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2c4fa…
10-17 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdd9ede…
10-17 18:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8e0ef…
10-17 15:15:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1de8ef…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x01f38b…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc1b45c…
10-17 13:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5e8e43…
10-17 13:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8f10b5…
10-17 12:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdfce29…
10-17 12:00:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfde637…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18a92b…
10-17 08:34:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd35f1e…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9db87f…
10-17 02:33:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1714aa…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b53f4…
10-16 20:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd3644c…
10-16 20:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe4304c…
10-16 18:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3112a7…
10-16 18:20:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x140869…
10-16 18:11:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x218444…
10-16 17:21:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x51ab05…