Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

148

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$336

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 37% +$27

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-10	-$7	88¢	$-9	-$2	08-31 14:19
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	-9	-$8	77¢	$-7	+$1	09-30 06:16
another fed rate hike in 2026	No	-9	-$1	23¢	$-2	-$1	09-30 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-10	-$3	12¢	$-1	+$2	08-31 14:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:19
another fed rate hike in 2026	2	$9	0	18	-18	open	—	09-30 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x737253…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x514526…
10-23 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x37c39b…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc17ee5…
10-22 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd44c69…
10-22 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a719e…
10-22 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39ff9a…
10-22 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1984cf…
10-22 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdcb087…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x362862…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x79b9b4…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x417abd…
10-22 07:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe76854…
10-22 05:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x18b96b…
10-22 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x04fcba…
10-22 04:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1bf0f2…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x298240…
10-22 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x800476…
10-22 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb3c931…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x62598d…
10-22 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x680ff8…
10-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x072c26…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x468376…
10-21 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x43c606…
10-21 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7e581a…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc9a4fa…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9e6f9b…
10-21 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xef6ec7…
10-21 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x23af1a…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x036571…
10-21 00:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x018c66…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc02889…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3bd603…
10-20 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8266ac…
10-20 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3b152b…
10-20 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0e49a4…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1452c4…
10-20 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59b012…
10-20 04:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9840df…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x29b991…
10-19 23:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x82cd67…
10-19 22:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcee806…
10-19 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa7d9b4…
10-19 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0c249…
10-19 14:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9b1222…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4add88…
10-19 13:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x038631…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa7fe2…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad496e…
10-19 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb71a4c…
10-19 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4837ff…
10-19 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x82be07…
10-18 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6dd501…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0571c1…
10-18 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc26959…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46698e…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa97480…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5fa6ee…
10-18 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf8e765…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4acc7e…
10-18 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x40bcdc…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf35f70…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3bf617…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x339420…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfca3d2…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x06cee5…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb5efcd…
10-17 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6fbe79…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5c8278…
10-17 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7d65a8…
10-17 17:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa98baf…
10-17 15:14:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x167772…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaa5ff8…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0f0d75…
10-17 13:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6212eb…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa6bbc1…
10-17 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb163fa…
10-17 12:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xde0ab5…
10-17 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb33c98…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x418723…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdceaed…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x804126…
10-17 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x58d612…
10-17 01:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x25491f…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f3bc8…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc381a2…
10-16 20:14:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x638788…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x64b0e2…
10-16 18:59:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x73fcb7…
10-16 18:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc291ed…
10-16 13:59:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc0e1b8…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x88bef9…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xccfb5a…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb5481…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2da5d5…
10-16 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4ccca5…
10-16 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd95f47…
10-15 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c662b…
10-15 16:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x759d3d…
10-15 12:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x660e60…