Dense-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

18,080

lifetime

Volume

$100.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

75% 82% +$192

Sports

14% 100% +$7

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 910 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	18	$3.7K	4,407	525	+3,882	open	—	01-05 02:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	89	$1.4K	940	972	-31	open	—	03-20 16:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	153	$1.2K	2,426	1,235	+1,190	open	—	02-28 07:18
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	77	$1.1K	1,121	817	+304	open	—	03-10 17:12
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	31	$1.1K	1,133	1,119	+14	open	—	02-10 20:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	142	$1.0K	1,383	498	+885	open	—	04-03 15:49
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	69	$1.0K	952	815	+137	open	—	04-24 15:52
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	61	$991	1,120	1,145	-24	open	—	04-15 17:08
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	46	$906	1,038	368	+670	open	—	04-22 15:56
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	48	$842	702	699	+3	open	—	04-15 15:22
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	65	$805	1,032	692	+340	open	—	04-17 15:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	108	$781	1,177	407	+770	open	—	02-21 02:44
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	97	$761	2,097	2,100	-4	open	—	04-24 15:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	127	$759	1,822	1,567	+255	open	—	04-03 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	58	$658	1,114	672	+443	open	—	04-25 05:58
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	119	$609	1,975	1,876	+99	open	—	04-17 15:38
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	22	$605	906	213	+693	open	—	04-22 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 25?	24	$585	411	207	+204	open	—	04-25 10:07
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	105	$584	1,861	707	+1,154	open	—	02-23 22:35
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	45	$573	2,155	676	+1,479	open	—	04-21 09:36
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	32	$558	494	439	+55	open	—	02-28 08:48
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	128	$534	1,333	49	+1,284	open	—	03-24 01:20
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	85	$533	1,686	1,538	+148	open	—	04-13 16:04
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	92	$531	3,338	3,363	-24	open	—	04-22 15:59
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	40	$527	709	691	+18	open	—	04-13 16:01
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	50	$523	1,156	960	+196	open	—	04-18 15:13
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	67	$514	577	239	+339	open	—	03-03 18:31
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 30c	18	$502	534	0	+534	open	—	04-18 07:22
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 19 2026 29c	12	$501	280	279	+1	open	—	04-19 11:14
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	32	$489	465	420	+45	open	—	04-03 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:19:31	val ge1 fs1 2026 06 09	FULL SENSE	BUY	299	45¢	$135	0xc209ad…
06-07 12:12:12	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0x377ff8…
06-04 17:28:16	mlb sf mil 2026 06 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xb33197…
06-03 14:23:25	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sinners	BUY	105	47¢	$50	0x430183…
06-03 14:21:08	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sinners	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x2b8de1…
06-03 14:20:40	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sinners	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x971bcc…
06-02 14:15:01	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	172	53¢	$91	0xddea09…
06-02 14:14:33	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x29a93c…
05-31 17:02:31	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xbb5c00…
05-31 16:53:13	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	250	52¢	$130	0x609ea5…
05-31 15:52:36	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x2b4e94…
05-31 15:50:09	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	63	53¢	$33	0x2d119b…
05-26 14:37:59	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x00698c…
05-25 23:35:36	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x705896…
05-25 23:35:36	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6d25f2…
05-25 23:35:34	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe85393…
05-25 23:35:34	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa9b419…
05-25 23:35:34	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1db70b…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xc1de4f…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x7b75cd…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4c0c54…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	103	54¢	$55	0x497821…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x26c65a…
05-25 23:35:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x1efe8a…
05-25 23:35:31	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x5715a7…
05-25 23:35:31	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x01208a…
05-25 23:35:24	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0xd35f00…
05-25 23:35:24	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc89947…
05-25 23:35:24	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x627e80…
05-25 23:35:24	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5187f5…
05-20 14:54:19	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Arthur Fery	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x50ad9f…
05-20 14:54:19	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Arthur Fery	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x03d873…
05-20 14:53:56	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Arthur Fery	BUY	285	50¢	$142	0xc44b33…
05-14 16:14:22	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x35f863…
05-14 04:37:06	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$111	0x65329e…
05-13 18:59:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x5b592f…
05-13 18:58:24	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x8bb709…
05-13 18:55:31	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0xe07ab5…
05-13 16:21:50	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xcd89b5…
05-13 11:56:41	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)	Team WE	BUY	199	34¢	$68	0x9e43cf…
05-13 03:12:48	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xf90c21…
05-12 23:48:17	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Astralis	BUY	499	52¢	$260	0xfadecc…
05-11 14:35:23	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	199	35¢	$70	0xb4fb3f…
05-11 14:34:37	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	98	63¢	$61	0x3c2b3a…
05-11 14:34:28	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xe4f39f…
05-11 14:34:27	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xcb7a7c…
05-11 14:34:25	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x8bf1cf…
05-11 14:34:25	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x19d9d2…
05-11 13:09:38	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x65cd43…
05-11 08:07:49	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	100¢	$153	0x1664e7…
05-11 05:34:36	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x7f59bf…
05-11 04:17:41	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8563aa…
05-09 13:31:35	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Heretics	BUY	191	62¢	$119	0x2f4dc6…
05-09 09:38:12	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	K27	BUY	175	35¢	$61	0xcabc45…
05-09 09:37:30	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	K27	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xc7c33f…
04-29 10:52:52	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	234	6¢	$14	0x8f44ab…
04-28 10:51:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x347b07…
04-28 10:42:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd083a9…
04-28 10:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3295b0…
04-28 09:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x2db58e…
04-28 09:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x9dee67…
04-28 09:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x928763…
04-28 09:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4ef925…
04-28 09:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xb6b989…
04-28 09:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x61ae72…
04-28 09:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x6a1e0a…
04-28 09:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x2934eb…
04-28 09:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x90990d…
04-28 09:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x91d3d4…
04-28 08:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x6a090f…
04-28 08:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x9fb74f…
04-28 08:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x48d56c…
04-28 08:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x8af59e…
04-28 08:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9a4808…
04-28 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x315b51…
04-28 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xc34990…
04-28 08:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xb074c8…
04-28 08:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x0fdfd1…
04-28 07:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xe71783…
04-28 07:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x294976…
04-28 07:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5f383b…
04-28 07:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xdb3875…
04-28 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfdd9ad…
04-28 07:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcc7c01…
04-28 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5a1492…
04-28 07:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0xcf3e95…
04-28 07:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbf41a5…
04-28 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc428f3…
04-28 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbbcf20…
04-28 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x84241d…
04-28 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x528696…
04-28 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c9292…
04-28 07:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x544318…
04-28 07:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x64e180…
04-28 07:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x464bce…
04-28 07:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x04481c…
04-28 07:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xf39b9b…
04-28 07:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb7f481…
04-28 07:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x1f302f…
04-28 07:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe29d5a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	687	$1.22M	109,074	05-04 11:13
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	600	$881.4K	67,861	06-09 19:23
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	562	$700	1,441	05-25 17:05
Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054	560	$292.4K	47,596	04-28 09:30
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	524	$459.3K	38,309	04-28 10:53
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	507	$65.9K	5,156	04-24 14:15
Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50	504	$109.4K	11,385	04-28 09:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	497	$2.20M	50,633	06-09 07:13