Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

170

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 40% +$33

Other

8% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		-22	-$18	88¢	$-19	-$2	09-30 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-22	-$4	12¢	$-3	+$2	09-30 07:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 07:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$9	0	18	-18	No	$0	08-31 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac797d…
10-23 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x91a509…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d799b…
10-23 01:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc7ed5f…
10-23 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x251ec6…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4975a7…
10-22 22:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6532ca…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb17c7d…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10526e…
10-22 14:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa2bef8…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6dd8ca…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x40c83d…
10-22 13:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x18cf3d…
10-22 13:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd2b1ee…
10-22 12:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe261f0…
10-22 05:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x82a5a5…
10-22 05:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x478f1f…
10-22 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x12486e…
10-22 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe9dab3…
10-22 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4969be…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x850a73…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x48d241…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdee6b2…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2a4bf7…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc88476…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xef903d…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc23b44…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2d903d…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0bfdd8…
10-21 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5b9236…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08bee0…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf27596…
10-21 01:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xad01b2…
10-21 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9b831a…
10-21 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x37ad7f…
10-21 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbba9cf…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x66c41f…
10-20 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf6c89a…
10-20 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xade95a…
10-20 10:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe11166…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75cb94…
10-20 04:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x025f60…
10-20 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdd56fd…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdc6171…
10-19 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d3164…
10-19 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf33b9…
10-19 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1db3d4…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x971f53…
10-19 14:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa347e9…
10-19 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfa0414…
10-19 13:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x003bc5…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa8d3ca…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x422a9d…
10-19 10:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc4d8b5…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9e888a…
10-18 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x700fb9…
10-18 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc4796b…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x345cb1…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3c737a…
10-18 11:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x63165d…
10-18 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd193e1…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0bb986…
10-18 04:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5820f9…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x851bfb…
10-18 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x80d2d6…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xafaacc…
10-17 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x199dba…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdde4b1…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3d42b8…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0e4fcb…
10-17 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc555c…
10-17 17:20:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2fa672…
10-17 14:57:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdda3b4…
10-17 13:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb75c00…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x877a50…
10-17 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd61980…
10-17 12:00:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea815d…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x46baf3…
10-17 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6add3f…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xde7dbc…
10-17 07:21:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ee77b…
10-17 04:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe53dfb…
10-17 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcc732a…
10-17 01:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x63cdd4…
10-17 01:12:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x573a07…
10-16 20:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x55aeba…
10-16 20:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6737a8…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xee6af0…
10-16 13:58:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1d6eb8…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x20bda0…
10-16 13:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf46a10…
10-16 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb721f8…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xae0413…
10-16 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdaf53a…
10-16 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbc3b17…
10-16 00:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6d1608…
10-15 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x65b33a…
10-15 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc61c8d…
10-15 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6f814f…
10-15 10:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7fc615…