Will the highest temperature in Austin be 63°F or below on May 14?
open
Total volume
$1,083
$6,507 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$14,736
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 05:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $523 | $523 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | — | $466 | $466 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $745 | $745 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 5 | — | $228 | $228 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +524 | $523 | $523 | 2 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-12 20:42 |
| Mean-Linseed 0x917d…0b8d | No | +131 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 05-13 00:27 |
| Ample-Website 0x8fd1…0372 | No | +43 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-13 01:38 |
| Specific-Jumbo 0x7df8…bc1b | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-13 02:33 |
| Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 04:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Unwitting-Reunion 0x5999…94e8 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 05:13 |
| Made-Up-Pepper 0x4d0a…b664 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Wary-Background 0x44b6…de7b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:06 |
| Grown-Tub 0x2e1b…146b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 05:13:24 | Unwitting-Reunion 0x5999…94e8 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xd1e037… |
| 05-13 04:51:47 | Grown-Tub 0x2e1b…146b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe0904f… |
| 05-13 03:06:28 | Wary-Background 0x44b6…de7b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x674703… |
| 05-13 02:33:22 | Specific-Jumbo 0x7df8…bc1b | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0xe92ca0… |
| 05-13 01:43:47 | Made-Up-Pepper 0x4d0a…b664 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x82cdcb… |
| 05-13 01:43:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x6970e2… |
| 05-13 01:38:53 | Ample-Website 0x8fd1…0372 | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x439dfd… |
| 05-13 00:41:09 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4c489… |
| 05-13 00:27:11 | Mean-Linseed 0x917d…0b8d | No | BUY | 131 | 100¢ | $131 | 0xa24790… |
| 05-12 21:40:53 | Scared-Decrease 0x6d77…a694 | No | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0xb87065… |
| 05-12 20:42:43 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xb2990a… |
| 05-12 10:57:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 357 | 100¢ | $357 | 0xb879b1… |
| 05-12 10:57:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 167 | 100¢ | $167 | 0x0281ab… |
| 05-12 10:57:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 235 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x594fca… |
| 05-12 05:21:01 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01813c… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e5cb1… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98f3e4… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x895c29… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71ae7a… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a494a… |
| 05-12 04:54:22 | Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x021474… |