Capital-Sty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$898

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

6,348

Trades

11,219

lifetime

Volume

$720.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-27 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

93% 93% -$436

Politics

7% 69% -$406

Crypto

0% 61% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	4	$5.9K	5,981	0	+5,981	No	+$57	06-24 11:44
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	11	$5.1K	2,573	2,573	-0	No	+$2	08-21 03:19
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	6	$4.5K	2,260	2,260	+0	No	+$0	08-24 01:24
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$4.5K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$4	07-24 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?	26	$3.5K	1,760	1,760	+0	No	+$21	06-28 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	3	$3.1K	3,159	0	+3,159	No	+$15	08-16 23:56
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	8	$3.1K	2,940	170	+2,770	No	+$3	07-21 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?	4	$3.0K	1,524	1,524	+0	No	+$31	06-30 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on July 2?	4	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	No	+$10	07-01 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$3	08-08 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 29?	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$14	06-29 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?	35	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$15	06-30 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on June 29?	63	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$15	06-29 18:27
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	7	$2.8K	2,850	0	+2,850	No	+$3	08-15 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on July 1?	6	$2.8K	1,411	1,411	+0	No	+$10	07-01 03:20
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	8	$2.8K	2,787	0	+2,787	No	+$18	08-11 23:50
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	3	$2.4K	2,374	0	+2,374	No	+$3	08-08 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 6?	5	$2.2K	2,234	0	+2,234	No	+$2	07-06 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?	10	$2.2K	1,107	1,107	+0	No	+$10	06-29 06:31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 29?	97	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$11	06-29 21:02
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$2.1K	2,146	0	+2,146	No	+$6	07-22 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	5	$2.1K	2,132	0	+2,132	No	+$10	07-22 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$9	06-29 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on July 1?	7	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	06-30 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$11	06-30 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,080	874	+206	No	-$12	08-17 23:44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 19?	3	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$4	07-17 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?	34	$1.9K	1,424	1,424	+0	Yes	-$832	06-30 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27?	5	$1.8K	1,821	0	+1,821	No	+$3	06-27 05:22
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on July 2?	8	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$8	07-01 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x784c66…
10-27 09:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17afe8…
10-27 09:43:54	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x904697…
10-27 09:35:47	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x85e185…
10-27 08:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc9f610…
10-27 08:25:00	highest temperature in chicago on october 29 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8cb8c3…
10-27 07:27:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6c75be…
10-27 07:08:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69ddc2…
10-27 07:05:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcf7e3a…
10-27 00:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe0a228…
10-26 20:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 28?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xab1f75…
10-26 17:52:30	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 26?	No	BUY	66	85¢	$56	0xc133ad…
10-26 17:52:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 26?	No	BUY	110	85¢	$94	0x0e315f…
10-26 17:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 51°F or below on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4b5c47…
10-26 17:16:26	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 51°F or below on October 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd5cedb…
10-26 16:16:56	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x181e68…
10-26 13:18:27	highest temperature in sao paulo on october 28 2026 26c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x34ab46…
10-26 09:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d8eea…
10-26 09:22:57	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5065b…
10-26 09:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3cec0d…
10-26 08:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x61b0c8…
10-26 07:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x36f396…
10-26 07:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe5cb37…
10-26 07:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xad65d9…
10-26 06:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61e7b5…
10-26 06:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ca8f7…
10-26 05:50:18	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61acf2…
10-26 05:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x368f7a…
10-26 05:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbe29d7…
10-26 05:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xba0a84…
10-26 05:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x87c0c9…
10-26 05:16:08	highest temperature in busan on october 28 2026 9corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x954b65…
10-26 05:16:08	highest temperature in busan on october 28 2026 10c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x83f590…
10-26 05:15:56	highest temperature in moscow on october 28 2026 4corbelow	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc19a87…
10-26 05:15:56	highest temperature in karachi on october 28 2026 32corbelow	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xa20833…
10-26 05:15:56	highest temperature in moscow on october 28 2026 5c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x20fd6b…
10-26 05:15:54	highest temperature in qingdao on october 28 2026 12c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73a9f9…
10-26 05:15:54	highest temperature in qingdao on october 28 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x413c91…
10-26 05:15:54	highest temperature in busan on october 28 2026 11c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13d6e2…
10-26 05:15:23	highest temperature in manila on october 28 2026 27corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf98e6d…
10-26 05:15:23	highest temperature in karachi on october 28 2026 32corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe52fb3…
10-26 05:15:23	highest temperature in moscow on october 28 2026 5c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe36d21…
10-26 05:15:23	highest temperature in busan on october 28 2026 9corbelow	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8f2a07…
10-26 05:15:23	highest temperature in moscow on october 28 2026 4corbelow	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x866052…
10-26 05:15:21	highest temperature in qingdao on october 28 2026 12c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8224f6…
10-26 05:15:21	highest temperature in busan on october 28 2026 11c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x48acd9…
10-26 04:54:48	lowest temperature in ankara on october 28 2026 13c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcf5335…
10-26 04:49:05	lowest temperature in warsaw on october 28 2026 neg 1c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9adb2d…
10-26 04:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7d08ac…
10-26 02:46:48	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86c2f7…
10-26 02:46:48	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b3ffc…
10-26 02:46:45	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6dd56c…
10-25 18:53:56	highest temperature in toronto on october 27 2026 5c	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1a2dbc…
10-25 17:29:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x54bf55…
10-25 16:07:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf76788…
10-25 16:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb237c0…
10-25 16:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3ba4b1…
10-25 13:37:02	highest temperature in seattle on october 27 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x431024…
10-25 13:35:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e79d5…
10-25 13:35:23	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x52a0e6…
10-25 13:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa5e2ae…
10-25 13:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x318bf6…
10-25 08:21:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xccd579…
10-25 08:20:59	highest temperature in denver on october 27 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b9534…
10-25 08:10:24	lowest temperature in nyc on october 27 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0264fc…
10-25 08:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 26?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x44adc8…
10-25 07:24:57	lowest temperature in shanghai on october 27 2026 12c	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xab904d…
10-25 07:23:05	lowest temperature in shanghai on october 27 2026 12c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd15f59…
10-25 06:54:45	highest temperature in wuhan on october 27 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x441777…
10-25 06:50:53	lowest temperature in london on october 27 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf71d48…
10-25 06:50:51	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e13dc…
10-25 06:50:29	highest temperature in cape town on october 27 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd301d…
10-25 06:50:29	highest temperature in ankara on october 27 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5e95a…
10-25 06:50:29	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa02455…
10-25 06:50:29	lowest temperature in london on october 27 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a3665…
10-25 06:50:29	lowest temperature in london on october 27 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x505a81…
10-25 06:49:59	lowest temperature in los angeles on october 26 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89ba92…
10-25 06:49:56	lowest temperature in shanghai on october 27 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3c7ca…
10-25 06:49:56	highest temperature in cape town on october 27 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xadd5fd…
10-25 06:49:54	lowest temperature in london on october 27 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb4e68a…
10-25 06:49:53	lowest temperature in london on october 27 2026 15c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbc4268…
10-25 06:49:53	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x48c2c8…
10-25 06:49:51	highest temperature in ankara on october 27 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd15c5a…
10-25 06:49:24	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd865b…
10-25 06:49:23	highest temperature in ankara on october 27 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x93c9fe…
10-25 06:49:17	highest temperature in wuhan on october 27 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e829a…
10-25 06:49:15	highest temperature in wellington on october 27 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd78ba3…
10-25 06:48:54	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe30dca…
10-25 06:48:54	highest temperature in tokyo on october 27 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd150d9…
10-25 06:48:54	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 21c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8747d…
10-25 06:48:53	highest temperature in ankara on october 27 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ad433…
10-25 06:48:53	highest temperature in seoul on october 27 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x76bc1d…
10-25 06:48:53	highest temperature in tokyo on october 27 2026 25c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x21475d…
10-25 06:48:50	highest temperature in helsinki on october 27 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc74136…
10-25 06:48:50	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 21c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb6fbab…
10-25 06:48:50	highest temperature in tokyo on october 27 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x3e8429…
10-25 06:48:48	highest temperature in helsinki on october 27 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfb16cc…
10-25 06:48:48	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 27 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x138658…
10-25 06:48:47	highest temperature in istanbul on october 27 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x46c88c…
10-25 06:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf6225b…