Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$132
$2,650 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$1,376
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 05:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $84 | $84 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $3 | $43 | $41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $54 | $54 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +148 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| Feminine-Swanling 0x02c7…a28d | Yes | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:57 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 05-12 05:15 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 21:09 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-12 05:26 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x974500… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92c053… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x446be8… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa63fb6… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f3502… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x845ec9… |
| 05-12 05:26:04 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde0201… |
| 05-12 05:15:46 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x5528f9… |
| 05-12 05:00:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7adcf7… |
| 05-12 05:00:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa33580… |
| 05-12 05:00:50 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb029a9… |
| 05-12 04:40:41 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb7c142… |
| 05-12 03:35:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3d1d3… |
| 05-11 23:49:08 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x6f5b3e… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x905b47… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13efaf… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36388e… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf9bb41… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa175a7… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb1d450… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x579dc3… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb72ff… |
| 05-11 21:09:02 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff5b69… |
| 05-11 13:32:10 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc25554… |
| 05-11 12:17:16 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1adb8e… |
| 05-10 23:37:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3455a… |
| 05-10 07:23:52 | Heavy-Confidence 0x5b4a…089f | Yes | SELL | 425 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb820a0… |
| 05-10 05:57:01 | Feminine-Swanling 0x02c7…a28d | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x206fb0… |
| 05-10 05:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x87b02a… |