Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$424
$1,287 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$2,769
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 18:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $279 | $97 | +$182 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $35 | $40 | $5 |
| Median | 4 | $16 | $3 | +$13 |
| Below median | 12 | $26 | $23 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $20 | $33 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $127 | — | +$127 |
| unranked | 3 | $20 | $14 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | +339 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-11 04:37 |
| Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | +90 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-11 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | +86 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | +57 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Thankful-Instant 0x36e1…eb43 | No | +52 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 11:23 |
| Edible-Directive 0x2fbb…bb99 | Yes | +45 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 10:23 |
| Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | No | +44 | $26 | $28 | 3 | 05-11 17:39 |
| Stiff-Rambler 0x3204…b1db | Yes | +36 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 05:23 |
| Impressive-Tilt 0x7296…3806 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +29 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-11 16:22 |
| Healthy-Desktop-Quartz 0xd48f…2327 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 10:20 |
| Staid-Reply 0xa30d…08b7 | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 11:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Alarmed-Deodorant 0x0330…5cbe | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:51 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:34 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Admirable-Dentist 0x4320…4a44 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 18:30 |
| Another-Prison 0x48a7…4eda | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:03 |
| Male-Hatred 0x14af…887e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 17:39 |
| Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:19 |
| Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:10 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:05 |
| Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:30:54 | Admirable-Dentist 0x4320…4a44 | No | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x06777f… |
| 05-11 17:39:16 | Male-Hatred 0x14af…887e | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x6a1674… |
| 05-11 17:39:01 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | No | BUY | 23 | 60¢ | $14 | 0x613c6e… |
| 05-11 17:12:12 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | No | BUY | 23 | 58¢ | $13 | 0x6172cd… |
| 05-11 16:22:39 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xb044bf… |
| 05-11 16:08:18 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | No | SELL | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x98be6a… |
| 05-11 14:42:07 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x1e81b5… |
| 05-11 13:14:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x90c76a… |
| 05-11 13:14:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x66e9ff… |
| 05-11 13:14:28 | Stiff-Rambler 0x3204…b1db | Yes | BUY | 36 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x9ce47b… |
| 05-11 13:14:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x4eb2bb… |
| 05-11 13:14:09 | Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x2683a8… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xe85599… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x159d5f… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xd11961… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x2bf8fc… |
| 05-11 11:23:19 | Thankful-Instant 0x36e1…eb43 | No | BUY | 52 | 56¢ | $29 | 0x337165… |
| 05-11 11:08:02 | Impressive-Tilt 0x7296…3806 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0xb40735… |
| 05-11 11:02:59 | Staid-Reply 0xa30d…08b7 | No | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x48dc38… |
| 05-11 10:51:31 | Alarmed-Deodorant 0x0330…5cbe | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xdb7a2c… |
| 05-11 10:36:49 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0xb98b61… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Edible-Directive 0x2fbb…bb99 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 45¢ | $20 | 0x752ff8… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0xe8e243… |
| 05-11 10:20:26 | Healthy-Desktop-Quartz 0xd48f…2327 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 44¢ | $10 | 0x7c30f7… |
| 05-11 10:16:42 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xb0af76… |
| 05-11 10:16:26 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xb4bd8a… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x1b7cfb… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x73b552… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xe0f5ce… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 40¢ | $22 | 0x5e0cbf… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x73e8db… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xf6e6d1… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x551cf1… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 38¢ | $34 | 0x98c7b6… |
| 05-11 05:28:21 | Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 32¢ | $9 | 0xe7f717… |
| 05-11 05:27:57 | Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x62da2e… |
| 05-11 05:23:40 | Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x5cbf84… |
| 05-11 05:23:38 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xb10b86… |
| 05-11 05:08:00 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x5b0d34… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | BUY | 339 | 33¢ | $111 | 0x1caf89… |
| 05-11 04:34:10 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x0f50fa… |
| 05-11 00:54:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xb194c1… |
| 05-11 00:19:11 | Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xae2979… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x334da9… |
| 05-10 14:06:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3d6646… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x3362ce… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x8d3307… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 71¢ | $11 | 0x89c8ca… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x9ac510… |
| 05-10 10:10:28 | Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2823a6… |
| 05-10 10:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x2173dd… |
| 05-10 09:37:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x88a4ae… |
| 05-10 05:03:10 | Another-Prison 0x48a7…4eda | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x713070… |
| 05-10 04:51:32 | Wiry-Talking 0xd5f8…385c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x02bb62… |