Wiry-Talking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

2,030

Trades

2,503

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-05 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 4% -$23

Other

34% 77% -$21

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	10	$56	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 11?	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-11 10:48
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 25c	6	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-22 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-02 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	10	$36	31	31	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	10	$36	31	31	+0	Down	$0	05-01 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$34	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$34	18	18	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	10	$32	31	31	+0	Down	-$5	04-30 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$32	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 07:44
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 26c	6	$30	21	11	+10	No	+$1	04-19 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	6	$30	24	18	+6	Down	-$2	05-01 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-02 12:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 30c	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-18 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$25	25	25	+0	Up	$0	04-29 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$24	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	04-29 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-29 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	6	$24	18	18	+1	Up	+$0	04-28 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-01 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-01 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	Down	$0	04-29 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	6	$22	18	18	+0	Down	-$2	04-29 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$22	18	18	+0	Up	-$3	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 04:13
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	7	$21	30	30	+0	No	+$3	04-21 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	Down	$0	05-01 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	5	$20	17	17	+0	No	-$3	05-11 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 16:37
highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaed610…
10-05 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f95f5…
10-05 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x151b65…
10-05 13:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2fb906…
10-05 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3cab89…
10-05 13:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9beb80…
10-05 12:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d6e2d…
10-05 12:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b5380…
10-05 12:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5ac910…
10-05 12:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x50c1b9…
10-05 11:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa729b8…
10-05 11:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b1f3b…
10-05 11:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd8ad59…
10-05 11:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba1530…
10-05 11:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2b3ae8…
10-05 11:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6e50cc…
10-05 10:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x589fba…
10-05 10:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebacb4…
10-05 10:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee00f6…
10-05 10:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd5a509…
10-05 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x63c6fd…
10-05 10:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x560241…
10-05 10:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0cbc97…
10-05 10:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x35dc54…
10-05 09:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc2980…
10-05 09:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x20ce43…
10-05 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa0c60e…
10-05 09:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe79e6b…
10-05 09:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa873b4…
10-05 08:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf7cce9…
10-05 08:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb80f8c…
10-05 08:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9f71a6…
10-05 08:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x35e4d0…
10-05 08:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1f2228…
10-05 08:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c2bcd…
10-05 07:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x87f76e…
10-05 07:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66d8cb…
10-05 07:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xec3088…
10-05 07:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9fc07…
10-05 07:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c12c2…
10-05 07:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29054d…
10-05 07:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42386e…
10-05 06:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x572175…
10-05 06:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x872e24…
10-05 06:39:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5e7cd…
10-05 06:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdf4574…
10-05 06:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfcd95f…
10-05 06:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27fa33…
10-05 05:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc15b26…
10-05 05:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x300e75…
10-05 05:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7f56b…
10-05 05:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x850cc4…
10-05 05:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x947468…
10-05 05:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x23054c…
10-05 05:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x14932c…
10-05 05:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8527a1…
10-05 04:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbef05d…
10-05 04:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3849e6…
10-05 04:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x334f51…
10-05 03:49:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x80dc27…
10-05 03:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8443b4…
10-05 03:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x15db37…
10-05 03:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7640b5…
10-05 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3246f8…
10-05 02:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbd5a67…
10-05 02:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca1814…
10-05 02:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81b3a2…
10-05 02:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d8b6a…
10-05 02:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9ccc56…
10-05 01:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x776636…
10-05 01:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d36ce…
10-05 01:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x133678…
10-05 01:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1161c2…
10-05 01:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf3cff…
10-05 01:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1678b6…
10-05 01:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x243ec7…
10-05 01:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44ba39…
10-05 00:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55e827…
10-05 00:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29cbe1…
10-05 00:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x405b61…
10-05 00:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd59c74…
10-05 00:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe09b18…
10-05 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe643fb…
10-04 23:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0996da…
10-04 23:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65ea01…
10-04 23:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x132439…
10-04 23:27:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe08c4d…
10-04 23:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61248d…
10-04 23:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbbcdf2…
10-04 23:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc332c4…
10-04 23:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebeef3…
10-04 22:53:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6466d…
10-04 22:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x15a005…
10-04 22:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a6ed1…
10-04 22:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b668b…
10-04 22:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c1819…
10-04 22:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2cfb0…
10-04 22:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4db0f…
10-04 21:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x668283…
10-04 21:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x20ff8d…