Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$254
$724 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$407
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 06:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $137 | $137 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $114 | $113 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $168 | $168 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 4 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $34 | $34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +117 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 05-10 15:20 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 19:24 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 13:43 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 04:00 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 06:46 |
| Pristine-Quality 0x18cd…bcbc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:31 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:10 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:19 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 13:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 06:46:18 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc5c87… |
| 05-12 04:10:26 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x821432… |
| 05-12 04:00:58 | Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x2787fc… |
| 05-12 04:00:56 | Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xc61ae3… |
| 05-12 01:08:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x539db7… |
| 05-12 00:11:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc83e84… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf972e4… |
| 05-12 00:03:08 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x882a7b… |
| 05-11 23:31:14 | Pristine-Quality 0x18cd…bcbc | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8ed17b… |
| 05-11 21:07:59 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x1fc4b4… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x482ea5… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x77138b… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7e6fad… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xc52232… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf80d7c… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec70f6… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8c08d1… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7cbfe2… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfc200c… |
| 05-11 15:17:28 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6e3134… |
| 05-11 13:43:08 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x53619a… |
| 05-11 05:19:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ef401… |
| 05-11 05:19:24 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xad6355… |
| 05-10 15:20:31 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x8fe076… |
| 05-10 13:36:42 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 98 | 92¢ | $90 | 0xdce622… |
| 05-10 13:35:57 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x0aa497… |
| 05-10 13:35:55 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xbc4833… |